Match analysis

Argentina Argentina vs Austria Austria

Match forecast and score distribution for Match 43, Group J, generated from the current simulator ratings.

Group J Dallas, USA

Forecast last updated:

Average score Argentina 1.74 - 0.85 Austria Total goals average 2.59
Argentina win 58.4%
Draw 23.6%
Austria win 18.0%

Goal bands

Total goals distribution

0 7.6%
1 19.4%
2 25.1%
3 21.9%
4 13.6%
5+ 12.4%

Goal thresholds

Total-goal thresholds

Total 0.5 At least 92.4% Below 7.6%
Total 1.5 At least 73.0% Below 27.0%
Total 2.5 At least 47.9% Below 52.1%
Total 3.5 At least 26.1% Below 74.0%
Total 4.5 At least 12.4% Below 87.6%

Team goals

Argentina goal thresholds

Argentina 0.5 At least 82.5% Below 17.5%
Argentina 1.5 At least 51.8% Below 48.3%
Argentina 2.5 At least 25.1% Below 74.9%
Argentina 3.5 At least 10.1% Below 89.9%
Argentina 4.5 At least 3.5% Below 96.5%

Team goals

Austria goal thresholds

Austria 0.5 At least 57.2% Below 42.8%
Austria 1.5 At least 20.9% Below 79.1%
Austria 2.5 At least 5.5% Below 94.5%
Austria 3.5 At least 1.0% Below 99.0%
Austria 4.5 At least 0.1% Below 99.9%

Scoring frequency

Both teams scoring

Both teams score 47.3%
Argentina clean sheet 42.8%
Austria clean sheet 17.5%

Common scorelines

Top exact scores

1 Argentina 1-0 Austria 13.2%
2 Argentina 2-0 Austria 11.2%
3 Argentina 1-1 Austria 11.2%
4 Argentina 2-1 Austria 9.8%
5 Argentina 0-0 Austria 7.6%
6 Argentina 3-0 Austria 6.4%
7 Argentina 0-1 Austria 6.3%
8 Argentina 3-1 Austria 5.4%
9 Argentina 1-2 Austria 4.8%
10 Argentina 2-2 Austria 4.1%

Guide

What this simulation preview shows

This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.

Score distribution

How to read the numbers

Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.

Model note

Simulation reference, not certainty

A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.

Model note: These are simulation outputs for understanding possible score patterns. They are not betting advice or gambling guidance.