Match analysis

Austria Austria vs Algeria Algeria

Match forecast and score distribution for Match 69, Group J, generated from the current simulator ratings.

Group J Seattle, USA

Forecast last updated:

Average score Austria 1.33 - 1.02 Algeria Total goals average 2.35
Austria win 43.4%
Draw 27.8%
Algeria win 28.8%

Goal bands

Total goals distribution

0 9.6%
1 22.0%
2 26.5%
3 20.5%
4 12.6%
5+ 8.8%

Goal thresholds

Total-goal thresholds

Total 0.5 At least 90.4% Below 9.6%
Total 1.5 At least 68.4% Below 31.6%
Total 2.5 At least 41.9% Below 58.1%
Total 3.5 At least 21.4% Below 78.6%
Total 4.5 At least 8.8% Below 91.2%

Team goals

Austria goal thresholds

Austria 0.5 At least 73.5% Below 26.6%
Austria 1.5 At least 38.2% Below 61.9%
Austria 2.5 At least 15.1% Below 84.9%
Austria 3.5 At least 4.7% Below 95.4%
Austria 4.5 At least 1.3% Below 98.8%

Team goals

Algeria goal thresholds

Algeria 0.5 At least 64.3% Below 35.7%
Algeria 1.5 At least 27.6% Below 72.4%
Algeria 2.5 At least 8.3% Below 91.8%
Algeria 3.5 At least 1.9% Below 98.1%
Algeria 4.5 At least 0.3% Below 99.7%

Scoring frequency

Both teams scoring

Both teams score 47.4%
Austria clean sheet 35.7%
Algeria clean sheet 26.6%

Common scorelines

Top exact scores

1 Austria 1-1 Algeria 13.0%
2 Austria 1-0 Algeria 12.5%
3 Austria 0-0 Algeria 9.6%
4 Austria 0-1 Algeria 9.5%
5 Austria 2-1 Algeria 8.5%
6 Austria 2-0 Algeria 8.3%
7 Austria 1-2 Algeria 6.8%
8 Austria 0-2 Algeria 5.3%
9 Austria 2-2 Algeria 4.5%
10 Austria 3-1 Algeria 4.0%

Guide

What this simulation preview shows

This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.

Score distribution

How to read the numbers

Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.

Model note

Simulation reference, not certainty

A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee.

Model note: These are simulation outputs for understanding possible score patterns. They are not a guarantee of the match result.