Group L

Panama Panama

This profile is based on 100,000 simulations using the current WC26 simulator engine. The numbers are a model snapshot, not a guarantee. Team ratings, squads and injury updates may change over time.

Champion 0.0%
Group qualification 23.2%
Squad value €34.9m
Avg age 30.4
Avg height 1.812m
Manager Thomas Christiansen

Group

Finish probabilities

1st 2.0%
2nd 8.2%
3rd qualified 13.1%
3rd not qualified 12.6%
4th 64.1%

Tournament

Stage reach probabilities

R32 23.2%
R16 4.5%
QF 1.0%
SF 0.2%
Final 0.0%
Champion 0.0%

Conditional path

Path by group finish

Finish Sample R32R16QFSFFinalChampion
1st 2.0% 100.0%27.3%7.4%1.1%0.1%0.1%
2nd 8.2% 100.0%22.9%2.8%0.6%0.1%0.0%
3rd 25.7% 50.8%8.1%2.3%0.3%0.1%0.0%

Overall opponent pool

Most common opponents by round

If reached shows the opponent split among this team's matches in that round. All sims shows how often the matchup happens across the full 100,000-simulation snapshot.

R32

Portugal Portugal If reached: 44.3% All sims: 10.3% Win rate: 10.6%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 32.5% All sims: 7.6% Win rate: 19.2%
DR Congo DR Congo If reached: 13.4% All sims: 3.1% Win rate: 35.6%
Uzbekistan Uzbekistan If reached: 6.6% All sims: 1.5% Win rate: 45.5%
Senegal Senegal If reached: 1.1% All sims: 0.2% Win rate: 20.1%

R16

Spain Spain If reached: 23.4% All sims: 1.1% Win rate: 6.2%
Switzerland Switzerland If reached: 15.4% All sims: 0.7% Win rate: 24.2%
Austria Austria If reached: 8.5% All sims: 0.4% Win rate: 28.1%
Canada Canada If reached: 7.5% All sims: 0.3% Win rate: 33.2%
Algeria Algeria If reached: 6.7% All sims: 0.3% Win rate: 27.2%

QF

Argentina Argentina If reached: 23.9% All sims: 0.2% Win rate: 6.9%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 10.2% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 15.3%
Uruguay Uruguay If reached: 8.6% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 14.5%
USA USA If reached: 8.3% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 16.3%
Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 6.5% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 19.0%

SF

France France If reached: 17.6% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 3.6%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 15.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 4.2%
England England If reached: 11.9% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 6.9% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 18.2%
Norway Norway If reached: 6.3% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 40.0%

Final

Germany Germany If reached: 14.3% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 66.7%
England England If reached: 14.3% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 9.5% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 9.5% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Spain Spain If reached: 9.5% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Finish 1st

Panama opponent pool if finishing 1st

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

DR Congo DR Congo If reached: 25.7% Path sims: 25.7% Win rate: 36.5%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 14.4% Path sims: 14.4% Win rate: 15.3%
Uzbekistan Uzbekistan If reached: 13.9% Path sims: 13.9% Win rate: 49.6%
Senegal Senegal If reached: 12.5% Path sims: 12.5% Win rate: 20.1%
Norway Norway If reached: 7.9% Path sims: 7.9% Win rate: 10.3%

R16

Mexico Mexico If reached: 23.5% Path sims: 6.4% Win rate: 28.8%
South Korea South Korea If reached: 17.9% Path sims: 4.9% Win rate: 26.3%
Ivory Coast Ivory Coast If reached: 10.5% Path sims: 2.9% Win rate: 21.4%
Czechia Czechia If reached: 8.8% Path sims: 2.4% Win rate: 29.8%
Ecuador Ecuador If reached: 7.9% Path sims: 2.2% Win rate: 11.9%

QF

Brazil Brazil If reached: 35.4% Path sims: 2.6% Win rate: 9.8%
France France If reached: 9.7% Path sims: 0.7% Win rate: 0.0%
Norway Norway If reached: 9.7% Path sims: 0.7% Win rate: 28.6%
Ecuador Ecuador If reached: 8.3% Path sims: 0.6% Win rate: 16.7%
Germany Germany If reached: 6.9% Path sims: 0.5% Win rate: 20.0%

SF

Portugal Portugal If reached: 27.3% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 0.0%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 22.7% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 0.0%
Spain Spain If reached: 9.1% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
England England If reached: 9.1% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Canada Canada If reached: 9.1% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Final

Germany Germany If reached: 100.0% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 100.0%

Finish 2nd

Panama opponent pool if finishing 2nd

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Colombia Colombia If reached: 42.8% Path sims: 42.8% Win rate: 19.7%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 26.4% Path sims: 26.4% Win rate: 10.4%
DR Congo DR Congo If reached: 20.0% Path sims: 20.0% Win rate: 35.4%
Uzbekistan Uzbekistan If reached: 10.7% Path sims: 10.7% Win rate: 42.7%

R16

Spain Spain If reached: 55.7% Path sims: 12.7% Win rate: 6.1%
Uruguay Uruguay If reached: 13.2% Path sims: 3.0% Win rate: 16.9%
Austria Austria If reached: 11.9% Path sims: 2.7% Win rate: 27.2%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 10.6% Path sims: 2.4% Win rate: 6.5%
Algeria Algeria If reached: 7.6% Path sims: 1.7% Win rate: 27.1%

QF

Belgium Belgium If reached: 25.1% Path sims: 0.7% Win rate: 19.3%
USA USA If reached: 15.0% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 17.6%
Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 11.0% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 16.0%
Egypt Egypt If reached: 5.3% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 58.3%
Mexico Mexico If reached: 4.8% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 9.1%

SF

France France If reached: 33.3% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 6.3%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 12.5% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 16.7%
Morocco Morocco If reached: 8.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 25.0%
Germany Germany If reached: 8.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 8.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Final

England England If reached: 28.6% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Sweden Sweden If reached: 14.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0%
France France If reached: 14.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Morocco Morocco If reached: 14.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 14.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Finish 3rd

Panama opponent pool if finishing 3rd

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Portugal Portugal If reached: 61.1% Path sims: 31.0% Win rate: 10.6%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 28.7% Path sims: 14.6% Win rate: 19.0%
DR Congo DR Congo If reached: 7.4% Path sims: 3.7% Win rate: 35.4%
Uzbekistan Uzbekistan If reached: 2.9% Path sims: 1.4% Win rate: 49.2%

R16

Switzerland Switzerland If reached: 33.1% Path sims: 2.7% Win rate: 24.2%
Canada Canada If reached: 16.2% Path sims: 1.3% Win rate: 33.2%
Bosnia-Herz. Bosnia-Herz. If reached: 8.1% Path sims: 0.7% Win rate: 32.7%
Austria Austria If reached: 7.7% Path sims: 0.6% Win rate: 29.4%
Algeria Algeria If reached: 7.5% Path sims: 0.6% Win rate: 27.4%

QF

Argentina Argentina If reached: 38.7% Path sims: 0.9% Win rate: 7.0%
Uruguay Uruguay If reached: 13.8% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 14.6%
Spain Spain If reached: 8.1% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 2.1%
USA USA If reached: 7.7% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 15.2%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 6.9% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 9.8%

SF

Brazil Brazil If reached: 22.5% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 5.0%
England England If reached: 19.1% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
France France If reached: 13.5% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Norway Norway If reached: 9.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 5.6% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 20.0%

Final

Germany Germany If reached: 15.4% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 15.4% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 15.4% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Spain Spain If reached: 15.4% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Ivory Coast Ivory Coast If reached: 7.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Squad

Current squad

26 players
Pos Player Age Height Club Value
GK Orlando Mosquera 31 1,91m Al-Fayha FC €650k
GK César Samudio 32 1,88m CD Marathón €300k
GK Luis Mejía 35 1,91m Club Nacional €250k
CB José Córdoba 25 1,85m Norwich City €5.0m
CB Andrés Andrade 27 1,87m LASK €2.5m
CB Edgardo Fariña 24 1,94m FC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod €900k
CB Jiovany Ramos 29 1,89m Academia Puerto Cabello €450k
CB Fidel Escobar 31 1,82m Deportivo Saprissa €350k
CB Roderick Miller 34 1,90m Turan-Tovuz IK €200k
LB Jorge Gutiérrez 27 1,71m Deportivo La Guaira €800k
LB Éric Davis 35 1,80m CD Plaza Amador €50k
RB Amir Murillo 30 1,84m Besiktas JK €7.0m
RB César Blackman 28 1,74m Slovan Bratislava €2.5m
DM Cristian Martínez 29 1,70m Ironi Kiryat Shmona €750k
DM Carlos Harvey 26 1,84m Minnesota United FC €600k
DM Aníbal Godoy 36 1,83m San Diego FC €100k
CM Adalberto Carrasquilla 27 1,71m UNAM Pumas €4.0m
LW José Luis Rodríguez 27 1,83m FC Juárez €2.5m
LW Ismael Díaz 29 1,83m Club León FC €1.8m
RW Yoel Bárcenas 32 1,78m Mazatlán FC €650k
RW César Yanis 30 1,60m CD Cobresal €350k
RW Alberto Quintero 38 1,65m CD Plaza Amador €75k
CF Azarías Londoño 24 1,85m CD Universidad Católica €1.2m
CF Tomás Rodríguez 27 1,83m Deportivo Saprissa €1.0m
CF José Fajardo 32 1,81m CD Universidad Católica €600k
CF Cecilio Waterman 35 1,80m Universidad de Concepción €350k