Match analysis

England England vs Panama Panama

Match forecast and score distribution for Match 67, Group L, generated from the current simulator ratings.

Group L Boston, USA

Forecast last updated:

Average score England 2.35 - 0.49 Panama Total goals average 2.85
England win 79.3%
Draw 14.9%
Panama win 5.8%

Goal bands

Total goals distribution

0 5.9%
1 16.5%
2 23.2%
3 22.3%
4 16.2%
5+ 15.9%

Goal thresholds

Total-goal thresholds

Total 0.5 At least 94.1% Below 5.9%
Total 1.5 At least 77.5% Below 22.5%
Total 2.5 At least 54.4% Below 45.6%
Total 3.5 At least 32.1% Below 67.9%
Total 4.5 At least 15.9% Below 84.1%

Team goals

England goal thresholds

England 0.5 At least 90.6% Below 9.4%
England 1.5 At least 68.1% Below 31.9%
England 2.5 At least 42.0% Below 58.0%
England 3.5 At least 21.0% Below 79.0%
England 4.5 At least 9.0% Below 91.0%

Team goals

Panama goal thresholds

Panama 0.5 At least 38.8% Below 61.2%
Panama 1.5 At least 8.8% Below 91.2%
Panama 2.5 At least 1.5% Below 98.5%
Panama 3.5 At least 0.2% Below 99.8%
Panama 4.5 At least 0.0% Below 100.0%

Scoring frequency

Both teams scoring

Both teams score 35.3%
England clean sheet 61.2%
Panama clean sheet 9.4%

Common scorelines

Top exact scores

1 England 2-0 Panama 15.8%
2 England 1-0 Panama 13.9%
3 England 3-0 Panama 12.7%
4 England 2-1 Panama 7.9%
5 England 4-0 Panama 7.3%
6 England 1-1 Panama 6.7%
7 England 3-1 Panama 6.5%
8 England 0-0 Panama 5.9%
9 England 5-0 Panama 3.6%
10 England 4-1 Panama 3.6%

Guide

What this simulation preview shows

This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.

Score distribution

How to read the numbers

Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.

Model note

Simulation reference, not certainty

A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee.

Model note: These are simulation outputs for understanding possible score patterns. They are not a guarantee of the match result.