Group
Finish probabilities
1st 100.0%
2nd 0%
3rd place 0% Qualified from 3rd 0% Eliminated in 3rd 0%
4th 0%
Group L
England
Perennial nearly-men who have recently gotten closer to actually doing it. The squad depth is genuinely elite: Premier League quality across every line. Penalty shootouts remain a recurring trauma and the system under Tuchel is still settling. The talent is not the problem. It never was.
This profile summarizes England's World Cup 2026 simulation path from the latest current-state snapshot: group outlook, finish distribution, possible knockout routes, opponent pools, squad context, and title chances.
Champion 18.8%
Group qualification 100%
Squad market €1.31b
Avg age 27.2
Avg height 1.851m
Manager Thomas Tuchel
Current-state snapshot
This profile is based on 10k current-state simulations using the WC26 simulator engine. The numbers are a model snapshot, not a guarantee. Team ratings, squads and injury updates may change over time.
Latest result included: France 0-2 Spain
Guide
How to read this team profile
Group finish and stage reach values are model outputs from the latest current-state team profile snapshot. Path sections show how England's route changes by group finish, while opponent pools summarize the teams most often appearing in each round.
This page uses Knockout-phase current-state snapshot using latest committed Match Updates, official locked results, current ratings, and fixed knockout bracket state as of 15 Jul 2026 1:47 PM UTC+3. Other public forecast pages may still use root compatibility datasets until they are updated separately, and custom Team Strength settings can change future tournament paths in the live simulator.
Tournament
Stage reach probabilities
R32 100%
R16 100%
QF 100%
SF 100%
Final 47.6%
Champion 18.8%
Conditional path
Path by group finish
| Finish | Sample | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Champion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 100.0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 47.6% | 18.8% |
| 2nd | No longer possible | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3rd | No longer possible | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Overall opponent pool
Most common opponents by round
If reached shows the opponent split among this team's matches in that round. All sims shows how often the matchup happens across the latest current-state snapshot.
R32
DR Congo If reached: 100.0% All sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 100.0% R16
Mexico If reached: 100.0% All sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 100.0% QF
Norway If reached: 100.0% All sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 100.0% SF
Argentina If reached: 100.0% All sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 47.6% Final
Spain If reached: 100.0% All sims: 47.6% Matchup win rate: 39.5% Finish 1st
England opponent pool if finishing 1st
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
DR Congo If reached: 100.0% Path sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 100.0% R16
Mexico If reached: 100.0% Path sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 100.0% QF
Norway If reached: 100.0% Path sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 100.0% SF
Argentina If reached: 100.0% Path sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 47.6% Final
Spain If reached: 100.0% Path sims: 47.6% Matchup win rate: 39.5% Finish 2nd
England opponent pool if finishing 2nd
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
No longer possible
R16
No longer possible
QF
No longer possible
SF
No longer possible
Final
No longer possible
Finish 3rd
England opponent pool if finishing 3rd
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
No longer possible
R16
No longer possible
QF
No longer possible
SF
No longer possible
Final
No longer possible
Squad
Current squad
| Pos | Player | Age | Height | Club | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GK | Dean Henderson | 29 | 1,88m | Crystal Palace | €28.0m |
| GK | James Trafford | 23 | 1,92m | Manchester City | €25.0m |
| GK | Jordan Pickford | 32 | 1,85m | Everton FC | €15.0m |
| CB | Marc Guéhi | 25 | 1,82m | Manchester City | €65.0m |
| CB | Jarell Quansah | 23 | 1,90m | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | €45.0m |
| CB | Ezri Konsa | 28 | 1,83m | Aston Villa | €40.0m |
| CB | John Stones | 32 | 1,88m | Manchester City | €15.0m |
| CB | Dan Burn | 34 | 2,01m | Newcastle United | €5.0m |
| LB | Nico O'Reilly | 21 | 1,93m | Manchester City | €50.0m |
| LB | Djed Spence | 25 | 1,84m | Tottenham Hotspur | €30.0m |
| RB | Reece James | 26 | 1,80m | Chelsea FC | €60.0m |
| RB | Tino Livramento | 23 | 1,82m | Newcastle United | €40.0m |
| DM | Jordan Henderson | 35 | 1,82m | Brentford FC | €2.0m |
| CM | Declan Rice | 27 | 1,88m | Arsenal FC | €120.0m |
| CM | Elliot Anderson | 24 | 1,79m | Nottingham Forest | €60.0m |
| CM | Kobbie Mainoo | 21 | 1,84m | Manchester United | €50.0m |
| AM | Jude Bellingham | 22 | 1,86m | Real Madrid | €140.0m |
| AM | Morgan Rogers | 23 | 1,87m | Aston Villa | €80.0m |
| AM | Eberechi Eze | 27 | 1,78m | Arsenal FC | €60.0m |
| LW | Anthony Gordon | 25 | 1,83m | Newcastle United | €60.0m |
| LW | Marcus Rashford | 28 | 1,85m | FC Barcelona | €40.0m |
| RW | Bukayo Saka | 24 | 1,78m | Arsenal FC | €120.0m |
| RW | Noni Madueke | 24 | 1,82m | Arsenal FC | €50.0m |
| CF | Harry Kane | 32 | 1,88m | Bayern Munich | €60.0m |
| CF | Ollie Watkins | 30 | 1,80m | Aston Villa | €30.0m |
| CF | Ivan Toney | 30 | 1,85m | Al-Ahli SFC | €20.0m |
Important note: This simulator and its probability outputs are for entertainment and informational purposes only. They are not investment advice, financial advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, trade, or participate in any prediction market. No real-money contest is offered or accepted on baplab.