Match analysis
England vs Croatia 
Match forecast and score distribution for Match 22, Group L, generated from the current simulator ratings.
Forecast last updated:
Goal bands
Total goals distribution
0 9.7%
1 23.0%
2 26.9%
3 20.2%
4 11.5%
5+ 8.6%
Goal thresholds
Total-goal thresholds
Total 0.5 At least 90.3% Below 9.7%
Total 1.5 At least 67.3% Below 32.7%
Total 2.5 At least 40.4% Below 59.6%
Total 3.5 At least 20.1% Below 79.9%
Total 4.5 At least 8.6% Below 91.4%
Team goals
England goal thresholds
England 0.5 At least 75.8% Below 24.2%
England 1.5 At least 41.1% Below 58.9%
England 2.5 At least 17.0% Below 83.0%
England 3.5 At least 5.6% Below 94.5%
England 4.5 At least 1.3% Below 98.7%
Team goals
Croatia goal thresholds
Croatia 0.5 At least 59.5% Below 40.6%
Croatia 1.5 At least 22.5% Below 77.5%
Croatia 2.5 At least 6.0% Below 94.0%
Croatia 3.5 At least 1.4% Below 98.6%
Croatia 4.5 At least 0.3% Below 99.8%
Scoring frequency
Both teams scoring
Both teams score 44.9%
England clean sheet 40.6%
Croatia clean sheet 24.2%
Common scorelines
Top exact scores
1 England 1-0 Croatia 14.2%
2 England 1-1 Croatia 12.8%
3 England 2-0 Croatia 9.8%
4 England 0-0 Croatia 9.7%
5 England 2-1 Croatia 8.9%
6 England 0-1 Croatia 8.8%
7 England 1-2 Croatia 5.5%
8 England 3-0 Croatia 4.7%
9 England 0-2 Croatia 4.3%
10 England 3-1 Croatia 4.2%
Guide
What this simulation preview shows
This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.
Score distribution
How to read the numbers
Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.
Model note
Simulation reference, not certainty
A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.