Match analysis

England England vs Ghana Ghana

Match forecast and score distribution for Match 45, Group L, generated from the current simulator ratings.

Group L Philadelphia, USA

Forecast last updated:

Average score England 1.96 - 0.70 Ghana Total goals average 2.65
England win 67.2%
Draw 20.8%
Ghana win 11.9%

Goal bands

Total goals distribution

0 7.3%
1 18.7%
2 24.2%
3 22.3%
4 14.6%
5+ 13.0%

Goal thresholds

Total-goal thresholds

Total 0.5 At least 92.7% Below 7.3%
Total 1.5 At least 74.1% Below 25.9%
Total 2.5 At least 49.9% Below 50.1%
Total 3.5 At least 27.6% Below 72.4%
Total 4.5 At least 13.0% Below 87.1%

Team goals

England goal thresholds

England 0.5 At least 85.9% Below 14.1%
England 1.5 At least 58.3% Below 41.7%
England 2.5 At least 31.1% Below 68.9%
England 3.5 At least 13.2% Below 86.8%
England 4.5 At least 4.9% Below 95.1%

Team goals

Ghana goal thresholds

Ghana 0.5 At least 50.3% Below 49.7%
Ghana 1.5 At least 15.5% Below 84.5%
Ghana 2.5 At least 3.5% Below 96.5%
Ghana 3.5 At least 0.5% Below 99.5%
Ghana 4.5 At least 0.1% Below 100.0%

Scoring frequency

Both teams scoring

Both teams score 43.5%
England clean sheet 49.7%
Ghana clean sheet 14.1%

Common scorelines

Top exact scores

1 England 1-0 Ghana 13.9%
2 England 2-0 Ghana 13.2%
3 England 2-1 Ghana 9.8%
4 England 1-1 Ghana 9.5%
5 England 3-0 Ghana 8.8%
6 England 0-0 Ghana 7.3%
7 England 3-1 Ghana 6.1%
8 England 0-1 Ghana 4.8%
9 England 4-0 Ghana 4.1%
10 England 2-2 Ghana 3.5%

Guide

What this simulation preview shows

This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.

Score distribution

How to read the numbers

Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.

Model note

Simulation reference, not certainty

A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.

Model note: These are simulation outputs for understanding possible score patterns. They are not betting advice or gambling guidance.