Match analysis

Panama Panama vs Croatia Croatia

Match forecast and score distribution for Match 46, Group L, generated from the current simulator ratings.

Group L Miami, USA

Forecast last updated:

Average score Panama 0.58 - 1.80 Croatia Total goals average 2.38
Panama win 11.6%
Draw 21.9%
Croatia win 66.5%

Goal bands

Total goals distribution

0 9.5%
1 21.6%
2 26.3%
3 21.0%
4 12.3%
5+ 9.3%

Goal thresholds

Total-goal thresholds

Total 0.5 At least 90.5% Below 9.5%
Total 1.5 At least 68.9% Below 31.1%
Total 2.5 At least 42.7% Below 57.4%
Total 3.5 At least 21.6% Below 78.4%
Total 4.5 At least 9.3% Below 90.7%

Team goals

Panama goal thresholds

Panama 0.5 At least 44.2% Below 55.8%
Panama 1.5 At least 11.6% Below 88.4%
Panama 2.5 At least 2.3% Below 97.8%
Panama 3.5 At least 0.4% Below 99.6%
Panama 4.5 At least 0.0% Below 100.0%

Team goals

Croatia goal thresholds

Croatia 0.5 At least 83.3% Below 16.7%
Croatia 1.5 At least 53.8% Below 46.3%
Croatia 2.5 At least 27.0% Below 73.0%
Croatia 3.5 At least 10.7% Below 89.3%
Croatia 4.5 At least 3.7% Below 96.3%

Scoring frequency

Both teams scoring

Both teams score 36.9%
Panama clean sheet 16.7%
Croatia clean sheet 55.8%

Common scorelines

Top exact scores

1 Panama 0-1 Croatia 16.2%
2 Panama 0-2 Croatia 15.1%
3 Panama 1-1 Croatia 9.7%
4 Panama 0-0 Croatia 9.5%
5 Panama 0-3 Croatia 9.2%
6 Panama 1-2 Croatia 8.7%
7 Panama 1-0 Croatia 5.4%
8 Panama 1-3 Croatia 5.3%
9 Panama 0-4 Croatia 3.9%
10 Panama 2-1 Croatia 2.9%

Guide

What this simulation preview shows

This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.

Score distribution

How to read the numbers

Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.

Model note

Simulation reference, not certainty

A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.

Model note: These are simulation outputs for understanding possible score patterns. They are not betting advice or gambling guidance.