Group B

Qatar Qatar

This profile is based on 100,000 simulations using the current WC26 simulator engine. The numbers are a model snapshot, not a guarantee. Team ratings, squads and injury updates may change over time.

Champion 0.0%
Group qualification 30.0%
Squad value €19.9m
Avg age 29.5
Avg height 1.818m
Manager Julen Lopetegui

Group

Finish probabilities

1st 4.2%
2nd 11.0%
3rd qualified 14.8%
3rd not qualified 9.3%
4th 60.6%

Tournament

Stage reach probabilities

R32 30.0%
R16 7.0%
QF 1.2%
SF 0.1%
Final 0.0%
Champion 0.0%

Conditional path

Path by group finish

Finish Sample R32R16QFSFFinalChampion
1st 4.2% 100.0%30.5%4.6%0.5%0.0%0.0%
2nd 11.0% 100.0%24.1%3.9%0.4%0.0%0.0%
3rd 24.1% 61.3%12.5%2.3%0.3%0.1%0.0%

Overall opponent pool

Most common opponents by round

If reached shows the opponent split among this team's matches in that round. All sims shows how often the matchup happens across the full 100,000-simulation snapshot.

R32

USA USA If reached: 19.2% All sims: 5.7% Win rate: 16.7%
Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 18.5% All sims: 5.6% Win rate: 17.2%
South Korea South Korea If reached: 11.1% All sims: 3.3% Win rate: 20.3%
Mexico Mexico If reached: 10.8% All sims: 3.3% Win rate: 17.2%
Czechia Czechia If reached: 10.1% All sims: 3.0% Win rate: 26.3%

R16

Belgium Belgium If reached: 20.1% All sims: 1.4% Win rate: 12.2%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 11.3% All sims: 0.8% Win rate: 11.1%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 8.5% All sims: 0.6% Win rate: 9.0%
Morocco Morocco If reached: 7.1% All sims: 0.5% Win rate: 19.6%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 6.2% All sims: 0.4% Win rate: 5.1%

QF

Spain Spain If reached: 20.2% All sims: 0.2% Win rate: 6.3%
France France If reached: 11.5% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 5.9%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 8.2% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 5.2%
Germany Germany If reached: 6.6% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 6.4%
Uruguay Uruguay If reached: 6.2% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 12.2%

SF

Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 12.5% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 11.8%
Spain Spain If reached: 11.0% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 6.7%
France France If reached: 10.3% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 9.6% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 7.7%
Germany Germany If reached: 8.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 18.2%

Final

Portugal Portugal If reached: 15.8% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
France France If reached: 10.5% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Spain Spain If reached: 10.5% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 10.5% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Germany Germany If reached: 10.5% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0%

Finish 1st

Qatar opponent pool if finishing 1st

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Iran Iran If reached: 17.9% Path sims: 17.9% Win rate: 41.4%
Algeria Algeria If reached: 17.2% Path sims: 17.2% Win rate: 26.6%
Austria Austria If reached: 14.2% Path sims: 14.2% Win rate: 21.2%
Egypt Egypt If reached: 12.6% Path sims: 12.6% Win rate: 26.8%
New Zealand New Zealand If reached: 12.2% Path sims: 12.2% Win rate: 52.0%

R16

Portugal Portugal If reached: 45.6% Path sims: 13.9% Win rate: 9.0%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 17.4% Path sims: 5.3% Win rate: 14.7%
Ghana Ghana If reached: 7.2% Path sims: 2.2% Win rate: 37.6%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 6.6% Path sims: 2.0% Win rate: 9.3%
Senegal Senegal If reached: 4.3% Path sims: 1.3% Win rate: 19.6%

QF

Argentina Argentina If reached: 33.3% Path sims: 1.5% Win rate: 6.2%
Uruguay Uruguay If reached: 16.4% Path sims: 0.8% Win rate: 12.5%
Spain Spain If reached: 12.3% Path sims: 0.6% Win rate: 8.3%
Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 8.2% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 6.3%
USA USA If reached: 7.2% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 14.3%

SF

Brazil Brazil If reached: 30.0% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Germany Germany If reached: 15.0% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Norway Norway If reached: 10.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 10.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
England England If reached: 10.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Final

Mexico Mexico If reached: 50.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 50.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Finish 2nd

Qatar opponent pool if finishing 2nd

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

South Korea South Korea If reached: 30.4% Path sims: 30.4% Win rate: 20.3%
Mexico Mexico If reached: 29.6% Path sims: 29.6% Win rate: 17.2%
Czechia Czechia If reached: 27.5% Path sims: 27.5% Win rate: 26.3%
South Africa South Africa If reached: 12.5% Path sims: 12.5% Win rate: 45.1%

R16

Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 29.7% Path sims: 7.2% Win rate: 11.1%
Morocco Morocco If reached: 18.7% Path sims: 4.5% Win rate: 19.6%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 16.2% Path sims: 3.9% Win rate: 5.1%
Japan Japan If reached: 14.5% Path sims: 3.5% Win rate: 17.5%
Sweden Sweden If reached: 10.7% Path sims: 2.6% Win rate: 21.1%

QF

France France If reached: 32.0% Path sims: 1.2% Win rate: 5.9%
Germany Germany If reached: 18.4% Path sims: 0.7% Win rate: 6.4%
Norway Norway If reached: 10.8% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 15.2%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 4.7% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 10.0%
Ivory Coast Ivory Coast If reached: 4.7% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 5.0%

SF

Spain Spain If reached: 31.3% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 6.7%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 14.6% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 10.4% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 6.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 6.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Final

Croatia Croatia If reached: 50.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Germany Germany If reached: 50.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0%

Finish 3rd

Qatar opponent pool if finishing 3rd

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

USA USA If reached: 38.9% Path sims: 23.8% Win rate: 16.7%
Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 37.7% Path sims: 23.1% Win rate: 17.2%
Paraguay Paraguay If reached: 16.5% Path sims: 10.1% Win rate: 27.9%
Australia Australia If reached: 6.8% Path sims: 4.1% Win rate: 40.3%
Germany Germany If reached: 0.1% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 7.1%

R16

Belgium Belgium If reached: 46.6% Path sims: 5.8% Win rate: 12.2%
Egypt Egypt If reached: 9.9% Path sims: 1.2% Win rate: 23.2%
Czechia Czechia If reached: 8.6% Path sims: 1.1% Win rate: 25.3%
South Korea South Korea If reached: 8.0% Path sims: 1.0% Win rate: 22.6%
Mexico Mexico If reached: 7.4% Path sims: 0.9% Win rate: 18.8%

QF

Spain Spain If reached: 37.8% Path sims: 0.9% Win rate: 6.1%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 11.3% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 15.6%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 9.4% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 17.0%
England England If reached: 9.0% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 5.9%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 8.3% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 12.8%

SF

Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 22.1% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 13.3%
France France If reached: 17.6% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Germany Germany If reached: 11.8% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 25.0%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 10.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 14.3%
Switzerland Switzerland If reached: 4.4% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 33.3%

Final

Portugal Portugal If reached: 20.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
France France If reached: 13.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Spain Spain If reached: 13.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 13.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
England England If reached: 13.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Squad

Current squad

26 players
Pos Player Age Height Club Value
GK Meshaal Barsham 28 1,80m Al-Sadd SC €700k
GK Mahmoud Abunada 26 1,91m Al-Rayyan SC €400k
GK Salah Zakaria 27 1,88m Al-Duhail SC €400k
CB Lucas Mendes 35 1,84m Al-Wakrah SC €350k
CB Al-Hashmi Al-Hussain 22 1,84m Al-Arabi SC €250k
CB Issa Laye 28 1,88m Al-Arabi SC €200k
CB Boualem Khoukhi 35 1,80m Al-Sadd SC €200k
CB Pedro Miguel 35 1,82m Al-Sadd SC €150k
LB Homam Al-Amin 26 1,88m Cultural Leonesa €500k
LB Sultan Al-Brake 30 1,75m Al-Duhail SC €300k
RB Ayoub Al-Oui 21 1,87m Al-Gharafa SC €375k
DM Mohamed Al-Mannai 22 1,89m Al-Shamal SC €500k
DM Jassem Gaber 24 1,88m Al-Rayyan SC €500k
DM Assim Madibo 29 1,68m Al-Wakrah SC €350k
DM Ahmed Fathi 33 1,71m Al-Arabi SC €250k
DM Karim Boudiaf 35 1,87m Al-Duhail SC €175k
CM Abdulaziz Hatim 35 1,83m Al-Rayyan SC €250k
AM Hasan Al-Haydos 35 1,74m Al-Sadd SC €300k
CF Almoez Ali 29 1,80m Al-Duhail SC €2.5m
CF Mohammed Muntari 32 1,94m Al-Gharafa SC €200k
LW Akram Afif 29 1,77m Al-Sadd SC €8.0m
LW Edmílson Junior 31 1,80m Al-Duhail SC €1.8m
LW Yusuf Abdurisag 26 1,77m Al-Wakrah SC €275k
LW Tahsin Mohammed Jamshid 19 1,77m Al-Duhail SC €200k
RW Ahmed Al-Ganehi 25 1,78m Al-Gharafa SC €500k
CF Ahmed Alaaeldin 33 1,77m Al-Rayyan SC €300k