Group
Finish probabilities
1st 0%
2nd 0%
3rd place 0% Qualified from 3rd 0% Eliminated in 3rd 0%
4th 100.0%
Group B
Qatar
Hosting rights got them to 2022, where they became the first host nation to exit in the group stage. The Aspire Academy has built a generation with genuine technical training, but the physical and experiential gap against international opposition is real. No home crowd this time. The gap has not narrowed enough.
This profile summarizes Qatar's World Cup 2026 simulation path from the latest current-state snapshot: group outlook, finish distribution, possible knockout routes, opponent pools, squad context, and title chances.
Champion 0%
Group qualification 0%
Squad market €19.9m
Avg age 29.5
Avg height 1.818m
Manager Julen Lopetegui
Saved forecast
Forecast as of Updated 2026-07-15 10:47 UTC, based on 10k current-state simulations. Tournament-wide official results included at that time stay fixed. These are saved model forecasts, not the team's actual final finish.
Tournament-wide result cutoff: France 0-2 Spain
Guide
How to read this team profile
Group finish and stage reach values are model outputs from the latest current-state team profile snapshot. Path sections show how Qatar's route changes by group finish, while opponent pools summarize the teams most often appearing in each round.
Other forecast pages may show a different saved date. The interactive replay simulator is separate: changing Team Strength settings creates alternative scenarios without changing this saved forecast.
Tournament
Stage reach probabilities
R32 0%
R16 0%
QF 0%
SF 0%
Final 0%
Champion 0%
Conditional path
Path by group finish
| Finish | Sample | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Champion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | No longer possible | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2nd | No longer possible | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3rd | No longer possible | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Overall opponent pool
Most common opponents by round
If reached shows the opponent split among this team's matches in that round. All sims shows how often the matchup happens across the latest current-state snapshot.
R32
No opponent samples.
R16
No opponent samples.
QF
No opponent samples.
SF
No opponent samples.
Final
No opponent samples.
Finish 1st
Qatar opponent pool if finishing 1st
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
No longer possible
R16
No longer possible
QF
No longer possible
SF
No longer possible
Final
No longer possible
Finish 2nd
Qatar opponent pool if finishing 2nd
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
No longer possible
R16
No longer possible
QF
No longer possible
SF
No longer possible
Final
No longer possible
Finish 3rd
Qatar opponent pool if finishing 3rd
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
No longer possible
R16
No longer possible
QF
No longer possible
SF
No longer possible
Final
No longer possible
Squad
Current squad
| Pos | Player | Age | Height | Club | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GK | Meshaal Barsham | 28 | 1,80m | Al-Sadd SC | €700k |
| GK | Mahmoud Abunada | 26 | 1,91m | Al-Rayyan SC | €400k |
| GK | Salah Zakaria | 27 | 1,88m | Al-Duhail SC | €400k |
| CB | Lucas Mendes | 35 | 1,84m | Al-Wakrah SC | €350k |
| CB | Al-Hashmi Al-Hussain | 22 | 1,84m | Al-Arabi SC | €250k |
| CB | Issa Laye | 28 | 1,88m | Al-Arabi SC | €200k |
| CB | Boualem Khoukhi | 35 | 1,80m | Al-Sadd SC | €200k |
| CB | Pedro Miguel | 35 | 1,82m | Al-Sadd SC | €150k |
| LB | Homam Al-Amin | 26 | 1,88m | Cultural Leonesa | €500k |
| LB | Sultan Al-Brake | 30 | 1,75m | Al-Duhail SC | €300k |
| RB | Ayoub Al-Oui | 21 | 1,87m | Al-Gharafa SC | €375k |
| DM | Mohamed Al-Mannai | 22 | 1,89m | Al-Shamal SC | €500k |
| DM | Jassem Gaber | 24 | 1,88m | Al-Rayyan SC | €500k |
| DM | Assim Madibo | 29 | 1,68m | Al-Wakrah SC | €350k |
| DM | Ahmed Fathi | 33 | 1,71m | Al-Arabi SC | €250k |
| DM | Karim Boudiaf | 35 | 1,87m | Al-Duhail SC | €175k |
| CM | Abdulaziz Hatim | 35 | 1,83m | Al-Rayyan SC | €250k |
| AM | Hasan Al-Haydos | 35 | 1,74m | Al-Sadd SC | €300k |
| CF | Almoez Ali | 29 | 1,80m | Al-Duhail SC | €2.5m |
| CF | Mohammed Muntari | 32 | 1,94m | Al-Gharafa SC | €200k |
| LW | Akram Afif | 29 | 1,77m | Al-Sadd SC | €8.0m |
| LW | Edmílson Junior | 31 | 1,80m | Al-Duhail SC | €1.8m |
| LW | Yusuf Abdurisag | 26 | 1,77m | Al-Wakrah SC | €275k |
| LW | Tahsin Mohammed Jamshid | 19 | 1,77m | Al-Duhail SC | €200k |
| RW | Ahmed Al-Ganehi | 25 | 1,78m | Al-Gharafa SC | €500k |
| CF | Ahmed Alaaeldin | 33 | 1,77m | Al-Rayyan SC | €300k |
Important note: This simulator and its probability outputs are for entertainment and informational purposes only. They are not investment advice, financial advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, trade, or participate in any prediction market. No real-money contest is offered or accepted on baplab.