Match analysis

Canada Canada vs Qatar Qatar

Match forecast and score distribution for Match 27, Group B, generated from the current simulator ratings.

Group B Vancouver, Canada

Forecast last updated:

Average score Canada 1.62 - 0.81 Qatar Total goals average 2.43
Canada win 56.7%
Draw 25.1%
Qatar win 18.2%

Goal bands

Total goals distribution

0 8.9%
1 21.3%
2 26.1%
3 21.3%
4 12.5%
5+ 10.0%

Goal thresholds

Total-goal thresholds

Total 0.5 At least 91.1% Below 8.9%
Total 1.5 At least 69.8% Below 30.1%
Total 2.5 At least 43.7% Below 56.3%
Total 3.5 At least 22.4% Below 77.6%
Total 4.5 At least 10.0% Below 90.1%

Team goals

Canada goal thresholds

Canada 0.5 At least 80.2% Below 19.8%
Canada 1.5 At least 48.2% Below 51.8%
Canada 2.5 At least 22.0% Below 78.0%
Canada 3.5 At least 8.2% Below 91.9%
Canada 4.5 At least 2.6% Below 97.4%

Team goals

Qatar goal thresholds

Qatar 0.5 At least 55.7% Below 44.3%
Qatar 1.5 At least 19.2% Below 80.8%
Qatar 2.5 At least 4.7% Below 95.3%
Qatar 3.5 At least 0.8% Below 99.2%
Qatar 4.5 At least 0.1% Below 99.9%

Scoring frequency

Both teams scoring

Both teams score 44.8%
Canada clean sheet 44.3%
Qatar clean sheet 19.8%

Common scorelines

Top exact scores

1 Canada 1-0 Qatar 14.2%
2 Canada 1-1 Qatar 11.9%
3 Canada 2-0 Qatar 11.5%
4 Canada 2-1 Qatar 9.7%
5 Canada 0-0 Qatar 8.9%
6 Canada 0-1 Qatar 7.1%
7 Canada 3-0 Qatar 6.3%
8 Canada 3-1 Qatar 4.9%
9 Canada 1-2 Qatar 4.5%
10 Canada 2-2 Qatar 3.8%

Guide

What this simulation preview shows

This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.

Score distribution

How to read the numbers

Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.

Model note

Simulation reference, not certainty

A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.

Model note: These are simulation outputs for understanding possible score patterns. They are not betting advice or gambling guidance.