Group
Finish probabilities
1st 100.0%
2nd 0%
3rd place 0% Qualified from 3rd 0% Eliminated in 3rd 0%
4th 0%
Group B
Switzerland
Impossible to eliminate, rarely thrilling, always there at the end. Xhaka leads with veteran authority, the structure is solid, the finishing is not. Consistent deep runs in major tournaments that somehow always stop just short. The ceiling is known and so is the wall they keep hitting.
This profile summarizes Switzerland's World Cup 2026 simulation path from the latest current-state snapshot: group outlook, finish distribution, possible knockout routes, opponent pools, squad context, and title chances.
Champion 0%
Group qualification 100%
Squad market €331.1m
Avg age 28.4
Avg height 1.854m
Manager Murat Yakin
Saved forecast
Forecast as of Updated 2026-07-15 10:47 UTC, based on 10k current-state simulations. Tournament-wide official results included at that time stay fixed. These are saved model forecasts, not the team's actual final finish.
Tournament-wide result cutoff: France 0-2 Spain
Guide
How to read this team profile
Group finish and stage reach values are model outputs from the latest current-state team profile snapshot. Path sections show how Switzerland's route changes by group finish, while opponent pools summarize the teams most often appearing in each round.
Other forecast pages may show a different saved date. The interactive replay simulator is separate: changing Team Strength settings creates alternative scenarios without changing this saved forecast.
Tournament
Stage reach probabilities
R32 100%
R16 100%
QF 100%
SF 0%
Final 0%
Champion 0%
Conditional path
Path by group finish
| Finish | Sample | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Champion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 100.0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 2nd | No longer possible | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3rd | No longer possible | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Overall opponent pool
Most common opponents by round
If reached shows the opponent split among this team's matches in that round. All sims shows how often the matchup happens across the latest current-state snapshot.
R32
Algeria If reached: 100.0% All sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 100.0% R16
Colombia If reached: 100.0% All sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 100.0% QF
Argentina If reached: 100.0% All sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 0% SF
No opponent samples.
Final
No opponent samples.
Finish 1st
Switzerland opponent pool if finishing 1st
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
Algeria If reached: 100.0% Path sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 100.0% R16
Colombia If reached: 100.0% Path sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 100.0% QF
Argentina If reached: 100.0% Path sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 0% SF
Not enough samples.
Final
Not enough samples.
Finish 2nd
Switzerland opponent pool if finishing 2nd
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
No longer possible
R16
No longer possible
QF
No longer possible
SF
No longer possible
Final
No longer possible
Finish 3rd
Switzerland opponent pool if finishing 3rd
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
No longer possible
R16
No longer possible
QF
No longer possible
SF
No longer possible
Final
No longer possible
Squad
Current squad
| Pos | Player | Age | Height | Club | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GK | Gregor Kobel | 29 | 1,95m | Borussia Dortmund | €40.0m |
| GK | Marvin Keller | 23 | 1,90m | BSC Young Boys | €7.0m |
| GK | Yvon Mvogo | 32 | 1,87m | FC Lorient | €3.0m |
| CB | Manuel Akanji | 30 | 1,88m | Inter Milan | €17.0m |
| CB | Luca Jaquez | 23 | 1,87m | VfB Stuttgart | €10.0m |
| CB | Aurèle Amenda | 22 | 1,97m | Eintracht Frankfurt | €10.0m |
| CB | Nico Elvedi | 29 | 1,87m | Borussia Mönchengladbach | €8.0m |
| LB | Miro Muheim | 28 | 1,82m | Hamburger SV | €5.0m |
| CB | Eray Cömert | 28 | 1,83m | Valencia CF | €2.5m |
| LB | Ricardo Rodríguez | 33 | 1,82m | Real Betis Balompié | €1.5m |
| RB | Silvan Widmer | 33 | 1,83m | 1.FSV Mainz 05 | €800k |
| DM | Ardon Jashari | 23 | 1,81m | AC Milan | €25.0m |
| DM | Denis Zakaria | 29 | 1,91m | AS Monaco | €25.0m |
| DM | Granit Xhaka | 33 | 1,86m | Sunderland AFC | €10.0m |
| CM | Johan Manzambi | 20 | 1,82m | SC Freiburg | €50.0m |
| CM | Djibril Sow | 29 | 1,84m | Sevilla FC | €7.5m |
| CM | Michel Aebischer | 29 | 1,83m | Pisa Sporting Club | €4.0m |
| CM | Remo Freuler | 34 | 1,81m | Bologna FC 1909 | €3.0m |
| RW | Dan Ndoye | 25 | 1,83m | Nottingham Forest | €35.0m |
| AM | Fabian Rieder | 24 | 1,81m | FC Augsburg | €12.0m |
| AM | Christian Fassnacht | 32 | 1,85m | BSC Young Boys | €2.0m |
| CF | Breel Embolo | 29 | 1,87m | Stade Rennais FC | €12.0m |
| CF | Zeki Amdouni | 26 | 1,85m | Burnley FC | €9.0m |
| CF | Cedric Itten | 29 | 1,89m | Fortuna Düsseldorf | €1.8m |
| LW | Noah Okafor | 26 | 1,85m | Leeds United | €18.0m |
| LW | Rubén Vargas | 27 | 1,77m | Sevilla FC | €12.0m |
Important note: This simulator and its probability outputs are for entertainment and informational purposes only. They are not investment advice, financial advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, trade, or participate in any prediction market. No real-money contest is offered or accepted on baplab.