Match analysis

Qatar Qatar vs Switzerland Switzerland

Match forecast and score distribution for Match 8, Group B, generated from the current simulator ratings.

Group B San Francisco, USA

Forecast reference: Jun 10, 2026

Official result is now known: Qatar 1-1 Switzerland ยท Final. This page shows the model's simulated score distribution for comparison.

Average score Qatar 0.68 - 1.94 Switzerland Total goals average 2.62
Qatar win 12.2%
Draw 20.3%
Switzerland win 67.5%

Goal bands

Total goals distribution

0 7.0%
1 19.5%
2 24.8%
3 21.9%
4 14.2%
5+ 12.6%

Goal thresholds

Total-goal thresholds

Total 0.5 At least 93.0% Below 7.0%
Total 1.5 At least 73.4% Below 26.6%
Total 2.5 At least 48.6% Below 51.4%
Total 3.5 At least 26.8% Below 73.2%
Total 4.5 At least 12.6% Below 87.5%

Team goals

Qatar goal thresholds

Qatar 0.5 At least 49.2% Below 50.8%
Qatar 1.5 At least 15.0% Below 85.0%
Qatar 2.5 At least 3.0% Below 97.0%
Qatar 3.5 At least 0.5% Below 99.5%
Qatar 4.5 At least 0.1% Below 100.0%

Team goals

Switzerland goal thresholds

Switzerland 0.5 At least 85.8% Below 14.2%
Switzerland 1.5 At least 57.8% Below 42.2%
Switzerland 2.5 At least 30.9% Below 69.1%
Switzerland 3.5 At least 13.1% Below 86.9%
Switzerland 4.5 At least 4.7% Below 95.3%

Scoring frequency

Both teams scoring

Both teams score 42.0%
Qatar clean sheet 14.2%
Switzerland clean sheet 50.8%

Common scorelines

Top exact scores

1 Qatar 0-1 Switzerland 14.4%
2 Qatar 0-2 Switzerland 13.5%
3 Qatar 1-1 Switzerland 9.6%
4 Qatar 1-2 Switzerland 9.2%
5 Qatar 0-3 Switzerland 9.1%
6 Qatar 0-0 Switzerland 7.0%
7 Qatar 1-3 Switzerland 6.0%
8 Qatar 1-0 Switzerland 5.1%
9 Qatar 0-4 Switzerland 4.3%
10 Qatar 2-1 Switzerland 3.2%

Guide

What this simulation preview shows

This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.

Score distribution

How to read the numbers

Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.

Model note

Simulation reference, not certainty

A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.

Model note: These are simulation outputs for understanding possible score patterns. They are not betting advice or gambling guidance.