Match forecast and score distribution for Match 8, Group B, generated from the current simulator ratings.
Group BSan Francisco, USA
Forecast reference: Jun 10, 2026
Official result is now known: Qatar 1-1 Switzerland ยท Final. This page shows the model's simulated score distribution for comparison.
Average scoreQatar 0.68 - 1.94 Switzerland Total goals average 2.62 Qatar win12.2%Draw20.3%Switzerland win67.5%
Goal bands
Total goals distribution
07.0%
119.5%
224.8%
321.9%
414.2%
5+12.6%
Goal thresholds
Total-goal thresholds
Total 0.5At least 93.0%Below 7.0%
Total 1.5At least 73.4%Below 26.6%
Total 2.5At least 48.6%Below 51.4%
Total 3.5At least 26.8%Below 73.2%
Total 4.5At least 12.6%Below 87.5%
Team goals
Qatar goal thresholds
Qatar 0.5At least 49.2%Below 50.8%
Qatar 1.5At least 15.0%Below 85.0%
Qatar 2.5At least 3.0%Below 97.0%
Qatar 3.5At least 0.5%Below 99.5%
Qatar 4.5At least 0.1%Below 100.0%
Team goals
Switzerland goal thresholds
Switzerland 0.5At least 85.8%Below 14.2%
Switzerland 1.5At least 57.8%Below 42.2%
Switzerland 2.5At least 30.9%Below 69.1%
Switzerland 3.5At least 13.1%Below 86.9%
Switzerland 4.5At least 4.7%Below 95.3%
Scoring frequency
Both teams scoring
Both teams score42.0%
Qatar clean sheet14.2%
Switzerland clean sheet50.8%
Common scorelines
Top exact scores
1Qatar 0-1 Switzerland14.4%
2Qatar 0-2 Switzerland13.5%
3Qatar 1-1 Switzerland9.6%
4Qatar 1-2 Switzerland9.2%
5Qatar 0-3 Switzerland9.1%
6Qatar 0-0 Switzerland7.0%
7Qatar 1-3 Switzerland6.0%
8Qatar 1-0 Switzerland5.1%
9Qatar 0-4 Switzerland4.3%
10Qatar 2-1 Switzerland3.2%
Guide
What this simulation preview shows
This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.
Score distribution
How to read the numbers
Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.
Model note
Simulation reference, not certainty
A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.
Model note: These are simulation outputs for understanding possible score patterns. They are not betting advice or gambling guidance.