Group C

Haiti Haiti

This profile is based on 100,000 simulations using the current WC26 simulator engine. The numbers are a model snapshot, not a guarantee. Team ratings, squads and injury updates may change over time.

Champion 0.0%
Group qualification 22.8%
Squad value €56.0m
Avg age 27.6
Avg height 1.818m
Manager Sébastien Migné

Group

Finish probabilities

1st 2.0%
2nd 8.2%
3rd qualified 12.5%
3rd not qualified 11.4%
4th 65.8%

Tournament

Stage reach probabilities

R32 22.8%
R16 4.5%
QF 0.9%
SF 0.1%
Final 0.0%
Champion 0.0%

Conditional path

Path by group finish

Finish Sample R32R16QFSFFinalChampion
1st 2.0% 100.0%20.5%4.0%0.5%0.2%0.0%
2nd 8.2% 100.0%18.0%5.4%0.8%0.1%0.0%
3rd 23.9% 52.4%10.9%1.7%0.3%0.0%0.0%

Overall opponent pool

Most common opponents by round

If reached shows the opponent split among this team's matches in that round. All sims shows how often the matchup happens across the full 100,000-simulation snapshot.

R32

Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 20.6% All sims: 4.7% Win rate: 12.8%
Germany Germany If reached: 18.8% All sims: 4.3% Win rate: 12.1%
Japan Japan If reached: 12.1% All sims: 2.8% Win rate: 20.8%
Sweden Sweden If reached: 10.5% All sims: 2.4% Win rate: 21.8%
Mexico Mexico If reached: 8.7% All sims: 2.0% Win rate: 22.2%

R16

France France If reached: 17.6% All sims: 0.8% Win rate: 7.0%
England England If reached: 12.3% All sims: 0.6% Win rate: 10.3%
Norway Norway If reached: 8.0% All sims: 0.4% Win rate: 11.5%
Mexico Mexico If reached: 5.7% All sims: 0.3% Win rate: 31.0%
South Korea South Korea If reached: 5.5% All sims: 0.2% Win rate: 21.7%

QF

France France If reached: 19.2% All sims: 0.2% Win rate: 5.6%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 12.2% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 7.1%
Germany Germany If reached: 11.1% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 18.6%
Norway Norway If reached: 7.9% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 17.8%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 7.4% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 10.3%

SF

Spain Spain If reached: 25.7% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 8.3%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 13.6% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 10.5%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 10.0% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 14.3%
Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 6.4% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 11.1%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 5.0% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 28.6%

Final

Argentina Argentina If reached: 19.0% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
France France If reached: 14.3% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 9.5% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0%
Norway Norway If reached: 9.5% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
USA USA If reached: 9.5% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Finish 1st

Haiti opponent pool if finishing 1st

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Japan Japan If reached: 31.4% Path sims: 31.4% Win rate: 22.2%
Sweden Sweden If reached: 30.5% Path sims: 30.5% Win rate: 20.8%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 30.1% Path sims: 30.1% Win rate: 10.4%
Tunisia Tunisia If reached: 8.0% Path sims: 8.0% Win rate: 51.2%

R16

Norway Norway If reached: 22.3% Path sims: 4.6% Win rate: 14.1%
France France If reached: 19.4% Path sims: 4.0% Win rate: 10.0%
Senegal Senegal If reached: 15.7% Path sims: 3.2% Win rate: 27.7%
Ecuador Ecuador If reached: 15.0% Path sims: 3.1% Win rate: 22.6%
Germany Germany If reached: 14.0% Path sims: 2.9% Win rate: 15.5%

QF

England England If reached: 32.5% Path sims: 1.3% Win rate: 3.8%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 13.8% Path sims: 0.5% Win rate: 18.2%
South Korea South Korea If reached: 11.3% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 11.1%
Mexico Mexico If reached: 8.8% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 28.6%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 5.0% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 0.0%

SF

Uruguay Uruguay If reached: 18.2% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 50.0%
England England If reached: 9.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 9.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Austria Austria If reached: 9.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 9.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Final

Belgium Belgium If reached: 25.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Senegal Senegal If reached: 25.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Egypt Egypt If reached: 25.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0%
Norway Norway If reached: 25.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Finish 2nd

Haiti opponent pool if finishing 2nd

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 49.6% Path sims: 49.6% Win rate: 13.2%
Japan Japan If reached: 25.9% Path sims: 25.9% Win rate: 20.3%
Sweden Sweden If reached: 21.7% Path sims: 21.7% Win rate: 22.1%
Tunisia Tunisia If reached: 2.8% Path sims: 2.8% Win rate: 51.3%

R16

Mexico Mexico If reached: 17.1% Path sims: 3.1% Win rate: 30.7%
South Korea South Korea If reached: 16.7% Path sims: 3.0% Win rate: 21.8%
Switzerland Switzerland If reached: 16.6% Path sims: 3.0% Win rate: 21.9%
Canada Canada If reached: 15.7% Path sims: 2.8% Win rate: 28.2%
Czechia Czechia If reached: 14.5% Path sims: 2.6% Win rate: 31.2%

QF

France France If reached: 32.8% Path sims: 1.8% Win rate: 4.1%
Germany Germany If reached: 18.1% Path sims: 1.0% Win rate: 19.8%
Norway Norway If reached: 10.7% Path sims: 0.6% Win rate: 20.8%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 4.9% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 0.0%
Ecuador Ecuador If reached: 4.5% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 10.0%

SF

Spain Spain If reached: 28.6% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 0.0%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 12.7% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 9.5% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 7.9% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 20.0%
Uruguay Uruguay If reached: 6.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Final

France France If reached: 33.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 33.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Germany Germany If reached: 16.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
England England If reached: 16.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Finish 3rd

Haiti opponent pool if finishing 3rd

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Germany Germany If reached: 34.2% Path sims: 17.9% Win rate: 12.1%
Mexico Mexico If reached: 15.8% Path sims: 8.3% Win rate: 22.2%
Ecuador Ecuador If reached: 14.0% Path sims: 7.3% Win rate: 21.1%
Ivory Coast Ivory Coast If reached: 12.9% Path sims: 6.7% Win rate: 23.0%
South Korea South Korea If reached: 12.2% Path sims: 6.4% Win rate: 25.3%

R16

France France If reached: 27.3% Path sims: 3.0% Win rate: 6.6%
England England If reached: 21.2% Path sims: 2.3% Win rate: 10.3%
Norway Norway If reached: 10.2% Path sims: 1.1% Win rate: 10.5%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 8.1% Path sims: 0.9% Win rate: 18.5%
Senegal Senegal If reached: 6.0% Path sims: 0.6% Win rate: 20.6%

QF

Brazil Brazil If reached: 25.3% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 8.0%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 11.6% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 15.2%
Morocco Morocco If reached: 10.4% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 17.1%
France France If reached: 6.8% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 14.8%
Norway Norway If reached: 5.6% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 13.6%

SF

Spain Spain If reached: 25.8% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 17.6%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 18.2% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 16.7%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 7.6% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 20.0%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 7.6% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 20.0%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 6.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0%

Final

Croatia Croatia If reached: 18.2% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 18.2% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
USA USA If reached: 18.2% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 9.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0%
Norway Norway If reached: 9.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Squad

Current squad

26 players
Pos Player Age Height Club Value
GK Alexandre Pierre 25 1,90m FC Sochaux-Montbéliard €700k
GK Johny Placide 38 1,81m SC Bastia €150k
GK Josué Duverger 26 1,87m FC Cosmos Koblenz €50k
CB Jean-Kévin Duverne 28 1,86m KAA Gent €2.0m
CB Hannes Delcroix 27 1,84m FC Lugano €2.0m
CB Ricardo Adé 36 1,90m LDU Quito €300k
CB Keeto Thermoncy 20 1,85m BSC Young Boys U21 €25k
LB Martin Expérience 27 1,78m AS Nancy-Lorraine €350k
LB Duke Lacroix 32 1,75m Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC €125k
RB Carlens Arcus 29 1,76m Angers SCO €1.8m
RB Wilguens Paugain 24 1,80m Zulte Waregem €600k
DM Danley Jean Jacques 26 1,82m Philadelphia Union €3.0m
DM Leverton Pierre 28 1,78m FC Vizela €200k
DM Dominique Simon 25 1,79m FC Tatran Presov €200k
DM Carl Sainté 23 1,82m El Paso Locomotive FC €125k
DM Woodensky Pierre 21 1,80m Violette Athletic Club €100k
CM Jean-Ricner Bellegarde 27 1,72m Wolverhampton Wanderers €16.0m
LW Derrick Etienne Jr. 29 1,78m Toronto FC €800k
LW Ruben Providence 24 1,78m Almere City FC €300k
RW Josué Casimir 24 1,78m AJ Auxerre €3.5m
RW Louicius Deedson 25 1,78m FC Dallas €1.2m
CF Wilson Isidor 25 1,86m Sunderland AFC €18.0m
CF Lenny Joseph 25 1,83m Ferencvárosi TC €2.0m
CF Frantzdy Pierrot 31 1,94m Caykur Rizespor €1.5m
CF Duckens Nazon 32 1,81m Esteghlal FC €800k
CF Yassin Fortuné 27 1,86m FC Vizela €200k