Group
Finish probabilities
1st 9.8%
2nd 25.3%
3rd qualified 27.4%
3rd not qualified 14.7%
4th 22.8%
Group C
Scotland
This profile is based on 100,000 simulations using the current WC26 simulator engine. The numbers are a model snapshot, not a guarantee. Team ratings, squads and injury updates may change over time.
Champion 0.2%
Group qualification 62.5%
Squad value €176.3m
Avg age 29.2
Avg height 1.847m
Manager Steve Clarke
Tournament
Stage reach probabilities
R32 62.5%
R16 22.1%
QF 7.9%
SF 2.4%
Final 0.7%
Champion 0.2%
Conditional path
Path by group finish
| Finish | Sample | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Champion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9.8% | 100.0% | 37.5% | 11.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 2nd | 25.3% | 100.0% | 33.6% | 15.5% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 3rd | 42.1% | 65.1% | 23.6% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Overall opponent pool
Most common opponents by round
If reached shows the opponent split among this team's matches in that round. All sims shows how often the matchup happens across the full 100,000-simulation snapshot.
R32
Netherlands If reached: 24.8% All sims: 15.5% Win rate: 26.9% 
Japan If reached: 15.8% All sims: 9.9% Win rate: 37.2% 
Germany If reached: 14.8% All sims: 9.3% Win rate: 25.6% 
Sweden If reached: 13.3% All sims: 8.3% Win rate: 40.4% 
Mexico If reached: 7.0% All sims: 4.4% Win rate: 36.9% 
Ecuador If reached: 6.3% All sims: 3.9% Win rate: 38.6% 
Ivory Coast If reached: 5.7% All sims: 3.5% Win rate: 41.7% 
South Korea If reached: 5.2% All sims: 3.3% Win rate: 42.7% 
Czechia If reached: 3.4% All sims: 2.1% Win rate: 48.3% 
Tunisia If reached: 2.3% All sims: 1.4% Win rate: 67.6% 
South Africa If reached: 0.9% All sims: 0.6% Win rate: 65.9% 
Curaçao If reached: 0.2% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 77.2% 
France If reached: 0.2% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 20.4% 
Norway If reached: 0.1% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 24.1% 
Senegal If reached: <0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 40.0% R16
France If reached: 16.2% All sims: 3.6% Win rate: 16.6% 
England If reached: 9.2% All sims: 2.0% Win rate: 21.2% Norway If reached: 8.9% All sims: 2.0% Win rate: 29.3% South Korea If reached: 6.8% All sims: 1.5% Win rate: 41.9% Mexico If reached: 6.8% All sims: 1.5% Win rate: 39.5% 
Switzerland If reached: 6.4% All sims: 1.4% Win rate: 37.4% 
Canada If reached: 6.2% All sims: 1.4% Win rate: 48.0% Czechia If reached: 5.2% All sims: 1.2% Win rate: 50.3% Senegal If reached: 4.8% All sims: 1.1% Win rate: 40.4% 
Bosnia-Herz. If reached: 4.6% All sims: 1.0% Win rate: 54.2% 
Croatia If reached: 3.1% All sims: 0.7% Win rate: 32.3% Germany If reached: 2.8% All sims: 0.6% Win rate: 26.6% Ecuador If reached: 2.5% All sims: 0.6% Win rate: 41.0% Ivory Coast If reached: 2.4% All sims: 0.5% Win rate: 40.9% South Africa If reached: 1.6% All sims: 0.4% Win rate: 67.7% 
Colombia If reached: 1.3% All sims: 0.3% Win rate: 32.3% Japan If reached: 1.2% All sims: 0.3% Win rate: 40.0% Sweden If reached: 1.2% All sims: 0.3% Win rate: 41.6% 
DR Congo If reached: 1.1% All sims: 0.3% Win rate: 46.4% 
Qatar If reached: 1.0% All sims: 0.2% Win rate: 70.2% Netherlands If reached: 0.9% All sims: 0.2% Win rate: 29.1% 
Portugal If reached: 0.7% All sims: 0.2% Win rate: 15.5% 
Paraguay If reached: 0.7% All sims: 0.2% Win rate: 46.9% 
USA If reached: 0.7% All sims: 0.2% Win rate: 45.5% 
Ghana If reached: 0.7% All sims: 0.2% Win rate: 52.7% 
Türkiye If reached: 0.7% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 37.0% 
Uzbekistan If reached: 0.5% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 62.4% 
Australia If reached: 0.4% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 70.9% Tunisia If reached: 0.3% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 66.7% 
Iraq If reached: 0.2% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 64.4% 
Uruguay If reached: 0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 37.5% 
Iran If reached: 0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 60.0% 
Algeria If reached: 0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0% 
Spain If reached: 0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 33.3% Curaçao If reached: 0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 69.6% 
Cape Verde If reached: 0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 64.7% 
Belgium If reached: 0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 16.7% 
Saudi Arabia If reached: 0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 70.8% 
Austria If reached: 0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 23.8% 
Panama If reached: 0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 64.7% 
Argentina If reached: <0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 30.0% 
Egypt If reached: <0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 72.7% 
New Zealand If reached: <0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 66.7% 
Jordan If reached: <0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0% QF
France If reached: 19.1% All sims: 1.5% Win rate: 16.5% Germany If reached: 11.5% All sims: 0.9% Win rate: 28.4% 
Brazil If reached: 10.0% All sims: 0.8% Win rate: 20.4% Netherlands If reached: 7.3% All sims: 0.6% Win rate: 27.8% 
Morocco If reached: 7.0% All sims: 0.5% Win rate: 32.3% Norway If reached: 6.6% All sims: 0.5% Win rate: 33.9% England If reached: 4.7% All sims: 0.4% Win rate: 17.6% Japan If reached: 3.9% All sims: 0.3% Win rate: 41.6% Ecuador If reached: 3.5% All sims: 0.3% Win rate: 40.0% Mexico If reached: 3.2% All sims: 0.3% Win rate: 33.9% Ivory Coast If reached: 3.1% All sims: 0.2% Win rate: 44.0% Sweden If reached: 3.0% All sims: 0.2% Win rate: 39.7% Senegal If reached: 2.6% All sims: 0.2% Win rate: 33.3% South Korea If reached: 2.2% All sims: 0.2% Win rate: 49.1% Czechia If reached: 1.4% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 52.8% Switzerland If reached: 1.4% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 43.1% USA If reached: 1.2% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 39.8% Türkiye If reached: 1.2% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 36.5% Croatia If reached: 1.2% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 30.9% Canada If reached: 0.9% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 55.6% Paraguay If reached: 0.7% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 47.3% Colombia If reached: 0.6% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 40.8% Bosnia-Herz. If reached: 0.6% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 55.6% Portugal If reached: 0.4% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 22.6% Uruguay If reached: 0.4% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 45.5% Spain If reached: 0.3% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 22.7% Australia If reached: 0.3% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 53.8% Belgium If reached: 0.2% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 8.3% DR Congo If reached: 0.2% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 78.9% Ghana If reached: 0.2% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 66.7% Tunisia If reached: 0.2% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% 
Haiti If reached: 0.2% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 64.7% South Africa If reached: 0.2% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 61.1% Saudi Arabia If reached: 0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 66.7% Qatar If reached: 0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 66.7% Uzbekistan If reached: 0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 77.8% Egypt If reached: 0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 37.5% Austria If reached: 0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 33.3% Iraq If reached: <0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Iran If reached: <0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% New Zealand If reached: <0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Algeria If reached: <0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 66.7% Curaçao If reached: <0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Cape Verde If reached: <0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 66.7% Panama If reached: <0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% SF
Spain If reached: 22.6% All sims: 0.5% Win rate: 15.9% Belgium If reached: 11.4% All sims: 0.3% Win rate: 27.4% Argentina If reached: 10.9% All sims: 0.3% Win rate: 24.2% Portugal If reached: 10.0% All sims: 0.2% Win rate: 23.2% England If reached: 5.6% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 18.2% Uruguay If reached: 5.4% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 38.3% Colombia If reached: 4.1% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 36.7% Croatia If reached: 4.0% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 34.7% USA If reached: 3.8% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 41.8% Türkiye If reached: 3.4% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 40.0% Austria If reached: 2.5% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 50.0% Switzerland If reached: 2.5% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 36.7% Algeria If reached: 1.6% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 62.2% Egypt If reached: 1.5% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 42.9% Canada If reached: 1.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0% South Korea If reached: 1.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 42.3% Paraguay If reached: 1.0% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 37.5% Mexico If reached: 1.0% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 45.8% France If reached: 0.9% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 18.2% Ghana If reached: 0.9% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 57.1% Germany If reached: 0.7% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 17.6% Norway If reached: 0.7% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 41.2% Senegal If reached: 0.6% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 20.0% Ecuador If reached: 0.5% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 30.8% Czechia If reached: 0.4% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 55.6% Bosnia-Herz. If reached: 0.4% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 55.6% DR Congo If reached: 0.3% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 33.3% Australia If reached: 0.3% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 83.3% Ivory Coast If reached: 0.2% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 75.0% Uzbekistan If reached: 0.2% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 60.0% Japan If reached: 0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0% Saudi Arabia If reached: 0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Panama If reached: 0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0% Iran If reached: <0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Qatar If reached: <0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Jordan If reached: <0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Sweden If reached: <0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% New Zealand If reached: <0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% South Africa If reached: <0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Iraq If reached: <0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0% Final
Spain If reached: 12.1% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 12.0% Brazil If reached: 10.8% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 24.3% Argentina If reached: 10.5% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 13.9% France If reached: 9.7% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 20.9% Portugal If reached: 9.6% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 27.3% England If reached: 8.3% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 21.1% Germany If reached: 5.8% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 27.5% Netherlands If reached: 3.6% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 20.0% Croatia If reached: 3.2% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 36.4% Belgium If reached: 2.8% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 26.3% Uruguay If reached: 2.6% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 33.3% Norway If reached: 2.3% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 37.5% Türkiye If reached: 1.9% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 30.8% Colombia If reached: 1.7% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 33.3% Morocco If reached: 1.5% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0% USA If reached: 1.5% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 60.0% Ecuador If reached: 1.5% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 30.0% Switzerland If reached: 1.5% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 20.0% Mexico If reached: 1.3% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 44.4% Ivory Coast If reached: 1.2% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0% Austria If reached: 1.0% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 57.1% South Korea If reached: 1.0% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 71.4% Japan If reached: 1.0% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 28.6% Canada If reached: 0.9% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 16.7% DR Congo If reached: 0.4% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 33.3% Senegal If reached: 0.4% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 66.7% Bosnia-Herz. If reached: 0.4% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 33.3% Ghana If reached: 0.3% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0% Paraguay If reached: 0.3% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0% Sweden If reached: 0.3% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0% Egypt If reached: 0.3% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Australia If reached: 0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Saudi Arabia If reached: 0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Algeria If reached: 0.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Finish 1st
Scotland opponent pool if finishing 1st
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
Japan If reached: 32.8% Path sims: 32.8% Win rate: 37.4% Sweden If reached: 30.4% Path sims: 30.4% Win rate: 39.9% Netherlands If reached: 29.0% Path sims: 29.0% Win rate: 27.2% Tunisia If reached: 7.7% Path sims: 7.7% Win rate: 67.7% R16
Norway If reached: 24.9% Path sims: 9.3% Win rate: 28.1% France If reached: 18.4% Path sims: 6.9% Win rate: 16.4% Germany If reached: 15.2% Path sims: 5.7% Win rate: 26.4% Senegal If reached: 13.8% Path sims: 5.2% Win rate: 42.1% Ecuador If reached: 13.5% Path sims: 5.1% Win rate: 40.3% Ivory Coast If reached: 13.1% Path sims: 4.9% Win rate: 41.2% Iraq If reached: 0.7% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 58.3% Curaçao If reached: 0.5% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 61.1% QF
England If reached: 31.9% Path sims: 3.8% Win rate: 17.6% Mexico If reached: 10.9% Path sims: 1.3% Win rate: 32.5% Croatia If reached: 8.4% Path sims: 1.0% Win rate: 30.9% South Korea If reached: 5.4% Path sims: 0.6% Win rate: 62.9% Brazil If reached: 4.3% Path sims: 0.5% Win rate: 14.0% Colombia If reached: 4.2% Path sims: 0.5% Win rate: 40.8% Morocco If reached: 3.5% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 32.5% Czechia If reached: 3.2% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 54.1% Germany If reached: 3.2% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 35.1% France If reached: 3.2% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 13.5% Ivory Coast If reached: 2.9% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 30.3% Ecuador If reached: 2.8% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 46.9% Portugal If reached: 2.7% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 22.6% Senegal If reached: 2.5% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 37.9% Norway If reached: 2.4% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 28.6% Uruguay If reached: 2.0% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 39.1% DR Congo If reached: 1.6% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 78.9% Spain If reached: 1.3% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 26.7% Ghana If reached: 1.0% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 66.7% Uzbekistan If reached: 0.8% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 77.8% Austria If reached: 0.5% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 33.3% Saudi Arabia If reached: 0.4% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 80.0% Algeria If reached: 0.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 66.7% Curaçao If reached: 0.2% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Cape Verde If reached: 0.2% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% South Africa If reached: 0.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Panama If reached: 0.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% SF
Argentina If reached: 24.1% Path sims: 0.9% Win rate: 27.6% Portugal If reached: 19.9% Path sims: 0.7% Win rate: 16.7% Spain If reached: 7.8% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 21.4% Uruguay If reached: 7.5% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 37.0% Switzerland If reached: 5.8% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 33.3% Belgium If reached: 4.4% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 18.8% Colombia If reached: 3.9% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 50.0% Austria If reached: 3.3% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 41.7% USA If reached: 3.0% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 54.5% Croatia If reached: 2.8% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 40.0% Türkiye If reached: 2.5% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 55.6% Canada If reached: 2.5% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 44.4% France If reached: 1.7% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 16.7% Paraguay If reached: 1.7% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 33.3% England If reached: 1.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 25.0% Algeria If reached: 1.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 25.0% Egypt If reached: 1.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 75.0% Australia If reached: 0.8% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Ecuador If reached: 0.8% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 33.3% Ghana If reached: 0.8% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Senegal If reached: 0.6% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0% Saudi Arabia If reached: 0.6% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Norway If reached: 0.6% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0% Bosnia-Herz. If reached: 0.6% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0% Jordan If reached: 0.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Germany If reached: 0.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Uzbekistan If reached: 0.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Iraq If reached: 0.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0% Final
Spain If reached: 21.7% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 8.0% France If reached: 17.4% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 15.0% Brazil If reached: 10.4% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 25.0% Belgium If reached: 7.8% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 33.3% Netherlands If reached: 7.0% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 25.0% Germany If reached: 4.3% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 20.0% England If reached: 3.5% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 25.0% Portugal If reached: 3.5% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 75.0% Austria If reached: 3.5% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 75.0% Canada If reached: 2.6% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0% USA If reached: 2.6% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 33.3% Croatia If reached: 1.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0% Japan If reached: 1.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0% South Korea If reached: 1.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0% Argentina If reached: 1.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0% Bosnia-Herz. If reached: 1.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0% Türkiye If reached: 0.9% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Uruguay If reached: 0.9% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0% Mexico If reached: 0.9% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0% Switzerland If reached: 0.9% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0% Morocco If reached: 0.9% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Sweden If reached: 0.9% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0% Colombia If reached: 0.9% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0% Ecuador If reached: 0.9% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0% Finish 2nd
Scotland opponent pool if finishing 2nd
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
Netherlands If reached: 49.9% Path sims: 49.9% Win rate: 26.9% Japan If reached: 26.4% Path sims: 26.4% Win rate: 37.1% Sweden If reached: 20.9% Path sims: 20.9% Win rate: 40.7% Tunisia If reached: 2.7% Path sims: 2.7% Win rate: 67.4% R16
South Korea If reached: 17.7% Path sims: 5.9% Win rate: 41.9% Mexico If reached: 17.5% Path sims: 5.9% Win rate: 39.5% Switzerland If reached: 16.6% Path sims: 5.6% Win rate: 37.4% Canada If reached: 16.0% Path sims: 5.4% Win rate: 48.0% Czechia If reached: 13.5% Path sims: 4.5% Win rate: 50.5% Bosnia-Herz. If reached: 12.0% Path sims: 4.0% Win rate: 54.2% South Africa If reached: 4.1% Path sims: 1.4% Win rate: 67.6% Qatar If reached: 2.5% Path sims: 0.8% Win rate: 70.2% QF
France If reached: 33.1% Path sims: 5.1% Win rate: 16.6% Germany If reached: 19.5% Path sims: 3.0% Win rate: 28.5% Norway If reached: 8.7% Path sims: 1.4% Win rate: 33.9% Morocco If reached: 4.9% Path sims: 0.8% Win rate: 32.0% Netherlands If reached: 4.6% Path sims: 0.7% Win rate: 28.7% Ecuador If reached: 4.1% Path sims: 0.6% Win rate: 38.5% Ivory Coast If reached: 3.9% Path sims: 0.6% Win rate: 47.4% Brazil If reached: 3.4% Path sims: 0.5% Win rate: 19.4% Japan If reached: 3.3% Path sims: 0.5% Win rate: 39.2% Sweden If reached: 2.8% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 43.6% Senegal If reached: 2.7% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 35.5% USA If reached: 2.4% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 39.8% Türkiye If reached: 2.4% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 36.5% Paraguay If reached: 1.4% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 47.3% Australia If reached: 0.7% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 53.8% Belgium If reached: 0.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 8.3% Uruguay If reached: 0.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 60.0% Spain If reached: 0.2% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 14.3% Tunisia If reached: 0.2% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Haiti If reached: 0.2% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0% Egypt If reached: 0.2% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 37.5% Czechia If reached: 0.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 75.0% Iran If reached: 0.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% New Zealand If reached: 0.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% South Korea If reached: 0.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% South Africa If reached: 0.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 75.0% Mexico If reached: 0.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0% Switzerland If reached: 0.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0% Iraq If reached: <0.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Saudi Arabia If reached: <0.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0% Cape Verde If reached: <0.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0% SF
Spain If reached: 28.8% Path sims: 1.3% Win rate: 15.3% Belgium If reached: 14.0% Path sims: 0.6% Win rate: 24.5% England If reached: 7.4% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 15.9% Portugal If reached: 6.8% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 26.7% Argentina If reached: 5.3% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 23.7% Croatia If reached: 4.8% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 30.2% USA If reached: 4.7% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 38.5% Uruguay If reached: 4.2% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 46.8% Türkiye If reached: 4.2% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 34.0% Colombia If reached: 3.6% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 35.0% Austria If reached: 2.6% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 51.7% South Korea If reached: 1.4% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 43.8% Algeria If reached: 1.4% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 68.8% Mexico If reached: 1.3% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 64.3% Egypt If reached: 1.2% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 23.1% Switzerland If reached: 1.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 33.3% Ghana If reached: 1.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 54.5% Norway If reached: 0.8% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 33.3% Paraguay If reached: 0.8% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 33.3% Canada If reached: 0.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 62.5% Senegal If reached: 0.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 12.5% Germany If reached: 0.5% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 40.0% France If reached: 0.5% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 16.7% Ecuador If reached: 0.5% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 20.0% Czechia If reached: 0.4% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 75.0% DR Congo If reached: 0.4% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0% Uzbekistan If reached: 0.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 33.3% Bosnia-Herz. If reached: 0.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 33.3% Australia If reached: 0.2% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0% Qatar If reached: 0.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% South Africa If reached: 0.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Panama If reached: 0.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Final
Argentina If reached: 14.8% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 13.3% Portugal If reached: 11.8% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 16.7% Brazil If reached: 11.2% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 20.6% England If reached: 9.9% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 26.7% Spain If reached: 7.6% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 8.7% France If reached: 7.2% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 22.7% Germany If reached: 5.6% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 41.2% Croatia If reached: 4.6% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 42.9% Norway If reached: 3.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 40.0% Uruguay If reached: 3.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 44.4% Netherlands If reached: 2.6% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 12.5% Switzerland If reached: 2.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 28.6% Türkiye If reached: 2.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 16.7% Ecuador If reached: 2.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 16.7% Colombia If reached: 1.6% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 60.0% Ivory Coast If reached: 1.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 25.0% Japan If reached: 1.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 25.0% Belgium If reached: 1.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0% Mexico If reached: 1.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 66.7% Senegal If reached: 1.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 66.7% Austria If reached: 0.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0% USA If reached: 0.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Canada If reached: 0.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0% Egypt If reached: 0.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Morocco If reached: 0.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0% Ghana If reached: 0.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Saudi Arabia If reached: 0.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Algeria If reached: 0.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Paraguay If reached: 0.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% DR Congo If reached: 0.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0% Finish 3rd
Scotland opponent pool if finishing 3rd
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
Germany If reached: 33.8% Path sims: 22.0% Win rate: 25.6% Mexico If reached: 15.9% Path sims: 10.4% Win rate: 36.9% Ecuador If reached: 14.3% Path sims: 9.3% Win rate: 38.6% Ivory Coast If reached: 12.9% Path sims: 8.4% Win rate: 41.7% South Korea If reached: 11.9% Path sims: 7.8% Win rate: 42.7% Czechia If reached: 7.7% Path sims: 5.0% Win rate: 48.3% South Africa If reached: 2.0% Path sims: 1.3% Win rate: 65.9% Curaçao If reached: 0.5% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 77.2% France If reached: 0.5% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 20.4% Norway If reached: 0.2% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 24.1% Senegal If reached: 0.1% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 40.0% R16
France If reached: 29.3% Path sims: 6.9% Win rate: 16.6% England If reached: 20.4% Path sims: 4.8% Win rate: 21.2% Norway If reached: 10.7% Path sims: 2.5% Win rate: 30.3% Croatia If reached: 7.0% Path sims: 1.6% Win rate: 32.3% Senegal If reached: 5.5% Path sims: 1.3% Win rate: 38.8% Colombia If reached: 2.8% Path sims: 0.7% Win rate: 32.3% Japan If reached: 2.6% Path sims: 0.6% Win rate: 40.0% Sweden If reached: 2.6% Path sims: 0.6% Win rate: 41.6% DR Congo If reached: 2.5% Path sims: 0.6% Win rate: 46.4% Netherlands If reached: 2.1% Path sims: 0.5% Win rate: 29.1% Portugal If reached: 1.6% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 15.5% Paraguay If reached: 1.6% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 46.9% USA If reached: 1.6% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 45.5% Ghana If reached: 1.5% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 52.7% Türkiye If reached: 1.5% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 37.0% Uzbekistan If reached: 1.1% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 62.4% Australia If reached: 0.9% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 70.9% Ivory Coast If reached: 0.6% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 37.9% Tunisia If reached: 0.6% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 66.7% Ecuador If reached: 0.5% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 48.1% Germany If reached: 0.5% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 28.3% Uruguay If reached: 0.2% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 37.5% Algeria If reached: 0.2% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 50.0% Saudi Arabia If reached: 0.2% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 70.8% Iran If reached: 0.2% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 60.0% Cape Verde If reached: 0.2% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 64.7% Belgium If reached: 0.2% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 16.7% Austria If reached: 0.2% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 23.8% Panama If reached: 0.2% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 64.7% Iraq If reached: 0.2% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 71.4% Argentina If reached: 0.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 30.0% Czechia If reached: 0.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 20.0% Spain If reached: 0.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 33.3% Egypt If reached: 0.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 72.7% South Korea If reached: 0.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 42.9% New Zealand If reached: 0.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 66.7% Mexico If reached: 0.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 42.9% Curaçao If reached: 0.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Jordan If reached: <0.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0% South Africa If reached: <0.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% QF
Brazil If reached: 21.4% Path sims: 1.4% Win rate: 21.1% Netherlands If reached: 14.0% Path sims: 0.9% Win rate: 27.4% Morocco If reached: 11.2% Path sims: 0.7% Win rate: 32.5% Japan If reached: 6.4% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 43.3% France If reached: 5.9% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 16.3% Norway If reached: 5.3% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 34.9% Sweden If reached: 4.6% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 36.4% Mexico If reached: 4.4% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 35.8% South Korea If reached: 3.9% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 40.4% Switzerland If reached: 3.8% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 43.9% Germany If reached: 3.8% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 25.2% Ecuador If reached: 2.9% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 40.2% Canada If reached: 2.6% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 55.6% Czechia If reached: 2.4% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 50.7% Senegal If reached: 2.3% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 27.7% Ivory Coast If reached: 2.0% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 42.9% Bosnia-Herz. If reached: 1.6% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 55.6% South Africa If reached: 0.5% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 53.8% Haiti If reached: 0.4% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 72.7% Qatar If reached: 0.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 66.7% Tunisia If reached: 0.2% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Iraq If reached: 0.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% SF
Spain If reached: 20.8% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 16.0% Argentina If reached: 12.6% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 21.9% Belgium If reached: 10.9% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 33.3% Portugal If reached: 9.9% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 25.6% Uruguay If reached: 6.0% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 31.5% England If reached: 5.1% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 21.7% Colombia If reached: 4.9% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 34.1% Croatia If reached: 3.5% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 40.6% USA If reached: 3.1% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 42.9% Switzerland If reached: 3.0% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 40.7% Türkiye If reached: 2.7% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 45.8% Austria If reached: 2.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 52.6% Egypt If reached: 2.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0% Algeria If reached: 1.9% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 64.7% Germany If reached: 1.2% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0% South Korea If reached: 1.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 40.0% France If reached: 1.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 20.0% Mexico If reached: 1.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 20.0% Canada If reached: 1.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 44.4% Paraguay If reached: 1.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 44.4% Ghana If reached: 0.8% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 42.9% Norway If reached: 0.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0% Ecuador If reached: 0.6% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 40.0% Czechia If reached: 0.6% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 40.0% Senegal If reached: 0.6% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 40.0% Ivory Coast If reached: 0.4% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 75.0% Bosnia-Herz. If reached: 0.4% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 75.0% DR Congo If reached: 0.2% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0% Japan If reached: 0.2% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0% Iran If reached: 0.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Sweden If reached: 0.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Uzbekistan If reached: 0.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Australia If reached: 0.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% New Zealand If reached: 0.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Panama If reached: 0.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0% Final
Spain If reached: 13.0% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 17.1% Brazil If reached: 10.4% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 28.6% Portugal If reached: 9.7% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 34.6% Argentina If reached: 9.3% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 12.0% France If reached: 9.3% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 24.0% England If reached: 8.6% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 13.0% Germany If reached: 6.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 16.7% Netherlands If reached: 3.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 22.2% Uruguay If reached: 3.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 25.0% Morocco If reached: 2.6% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 42.9% Belgium If reached: 2.6% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 28.6% Colombia If reached: 2.2% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 16.7% Türkiye If reached: 2.2% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 33.3% Norway If reached: 2.2% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 33.3% Croatia If reached: 2.2% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 16.7% South Korea If reached: 1.9% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 80.0% USA If reached: 1.9% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 60.0% Mexico If reached: 1.9% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 40.0% Ivory Coast If reached: 1.5% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 75.0% Ecuador If reached: 1.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 66.7% Switzerland If reached: 0.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0% DR Congo If reached: 0.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0% Paraguay If reached: 0.4% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0% Austria If reached: 0.4% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0% Australia If reached: 0.4% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0% Ghana If reached: 0.4% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0% Sweden If reached: 0.4% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0% Japan If reached: 0.4% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0% Canada If reached: 0.4% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0% Bosnia-Herz. If reached: 0.4% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0% Squad
Current squad
| Pos | Player | Age | Height | Club | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GK | Angus Gunn | 30 | 1,96m | Nottingham Forest | €1.5m |
| GK | Liam Kelly | 30 | 1,84m | Rangers FC | €800k |
| GK | Craig Gordon | 43 | 1,93m | Heart of Midlothian FC | €25k |
| CB | Scott McKenna | 29 | 1,89m | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | €4.0m |
| CB | Jack Hendry | 31 | 1,92m | Al-Ettifaq FC | €2.5m |
| CB | John Souttar | 29 | 1,86m | Rangers FC | €2.0m |
| CB | Dominic Hyam | 30 | 1,88m | Wrexham AFC | €2.0m |
| CB | Grant Hanley | 34 | 1,88m | Hibernian FC | €200k |
| LB | Andrew Robertson | 32 | 1,78m | Liverpool FC | €10.0m |
| LB | Kieran Tierney | 29 | 1,80m | Celtic FC | €8.0m |
| RB | Aaron Hickey | 24 | 1.85m | Brentford FC | €16.0m |
| RB | Nathan Patterson | 24 | 1,89m | Everton FC | €10.0m |
| RB | Anthony Ralston | 27 | 1,78m | Celtic FC | €1.5m |
| CM | Scott McTominay | 29 | 1,91m | SSC Napoli | €40.0m |
| CM | John McGinn | 31 | 1,78m | Aston Villa | €15.0m |
| CM | Lewis Ferguson | 26 | 1,81m | Bologna FC 1909 | €14.0m |
| CM | Ryan Christie | 31 | 1,78m | AFC Bournemouth | €9.0m |
| CM | Kenny McLean | 34 | 1,80m | Norwich City | €400k |
| CM | Tyler Fletcher | 19 | 1,83m | Manchester United U21 | €90k |
| LW | Findlay Curtis | 19 | 1,80m | Rangers FC | €2.0m |
| RW | Ben Gannon-Doak | 20 | 1,73m | AFC Bournemouth | €16.0m |
| CF | George Hirst | 27 | 1,91m | Ipswich Town | €10.0m |
| CF | Ché Adams | 29 | 1,79m | Torino FC | €5.0m |
| CF | Lawrence Shankland | 30 | 1,85m | Heart of Midlothian FC | €3.0m |
| CF | Ross Stewart | 29 | 1,88m | Southampton FC | €2.5m |
| CF | Lyndon Dykes | 30 | 1,88m | Charlton Athletic | €800k |