Match analysis
Haiti vs Scotland 
Match forecast and score distribution for Match 5, Group C, generated from the current simulator ratings.
Forecast reference: Jun 10, 2026
Official result is now known: Haiti 0-1 Scotland ยท Final. This page shows the model's simulated score distribution for comparison.
Goal bands
Total goals distribution
0 8.6%
1 20.7%
2 26.4%
3 21.1%
4 12.8%
5+ 10.4%
Goal thresholds
Total-goal thresholds
Total 0.5 At least 91.4% Below 8.6%
Total 1.5 At least 70.6% Below 29.4%
Total 2.5 At least 44.3% Below 55.7%
Total 3.5 At least 23.2% Below 76.8%
Total 4.5 At least 10.4% Below 89.6%
Team goals
Haiti goal thresholds
Haiti 0.5 At least 60.1% Below 39.9%
Haiti 1.5 At least 23.8% Below 76.2%
Haiti 2.5 At least 6.9% Below 93.1%
Haiti 3.5 At least 1.5% Below 98.5%
Haiti 4.5 At least 0.3% Below 99.7%
Team goals
Scotland goal thresholds
Scotland 0.5 At least 78.5% Below 21.5%
Scotland 1.5 At least 45.3% Below 54.7%
Scotland 2.5 At least 19.8% Below 80.3%
Scotland 3.5 At least 6.8% Below 93.2%
Scotland 4.5 At least 1.9% Below 98.1%
Scoring frequency
Both teams scoring
Both teams score 47.3%
Haiti clean sheet 21.5%
Scotland clean sheet 39.9%
Common scorelines
Top exact scores
1 Haiti 0-1 Scotland 13.0%
2 Haiti 1-1 Scotland 12.2%
3 Haiti 0-2 Scotland 10.5%
4 Haiti 1-2 Scotland 9.2%
5 Haiti 0-0 Scotland 8.6%
6 Haiti 1-0 Scotland 7.7%
7 Haiti 2-1 Scotland 5.7%
8 Haiti 0-3 Scotland 5.1%
9 Haiti 1-3 Scotland 4.8%
10 Haiti 2-2 Scotland 4.1%
Guide
What this simulation preview shows
This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.
Score distribution
How to read the numbers
Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.
Model note
Simulation reference, not certainty
A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.