Group C

Morocco Morocco

This profile is based on 100,000 simulations using the current WC26 simulator engine. The numbers are a model snapshot, not a guarantee. Team ratings, squads and injury updates may change over time.

Champion 1.4%
Group qualification 84.0%
Squad value €487.2m
Avg age 26.5
Avg height 1.831m
Manager Mohamed Ouahbi

Group

Finish probabilities

1st 24.1%
2nd 41.5%
3rd qualified 18.4%
3rd not qualified 6.7%
4th 9.3%

Tournament

Stage reach probabilities

R32 84.0%
R16 40.9%
QF 20.9%
SF 8.9%
Final 3.7%
Champion 1.4%

Conditional path

Path by group finish

Finish Sample R32R16QFSFFinalChampion
1st 24.1% 100.0%51.0%22.7%10.4%4.6%1.9%
2nd 41.5% 100.0%46.9%28.2%11.4%4.6%1.7%
3rd 25.1% 73.4%36.5%15.0%6.8%2.8%1.1%

Overall opponent pool

Most common opponents by round

If reached shows the opponent split among this team's matches in that round. All sims shows how often the matchup happens across the full 100,000-simulation snapshot.

R32

Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 32.8% All sims: 27.6% Win rate: 39.8%
Japan Japan If reached: 22.3% All sims: 18.8% Win rate: 50.8%
Sweden Sweden If reached: 19.2% All sims: 16.1% Win rate: 55.0%
Germany Germany If reached: 7.3% All sims: 6.2% Win rate: 38.1%
Tunisia Tunisia If reached: 3.8% All sims: 3.2% Win rate: 75.9%

R16

France France If reached: 12.1% All sims: 4.9% Win rate: 27.7%
Norway Norway If reached: 9.7% All sims: 4.0% Win rate: 43.1%
Mexico Mexico If reached: 8.7% All sims: 3.6% Win rate: 52.8%
South Korea South Korea If reached: 8.4% All sims: 3.4% Win rate: 57.1%
Switzerland Switzerland If reached: 8.0% All sims: 3.3% Win rate: 52.6%

QF

France France If reached: 21.2% All sims: 4.4% Win rate: 27.4%
Germany Germany If reached: 12.7% All sims: 2.7% Win rate: 38.2%
England England If reached: 8.3% All sims: 1.7% Win rate: 33.6%
Norway Norway If reached: 7.1% All sims: 1.5% Win rate: 42.2%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 5.4% All sims: 1.1% Win rate: 39.7%

SF

Spain Spain If reached: 22.5% All sims: 2.0% Win rate: 27.5%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 12.3% All sims: 1.1% Win rate: 34.6%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 10.4% All sims: 0.9% Win rate: 35.6%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 10.0% All sims: 0.9% Win rate: 43.3%
Uruguay Uruguay If reached: 4.9% All sims: 0.4% Win rate: 50.5%

Final

Brazil Brazil If reached: 13.5% All sims: 0.5% Win rate: 37.2%
Spain Spain If reached: 11.0% All sims: 0.4% Win rate: 30.6%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 10.1% All sims: 0.4% Win rate: 28.2%
France France If reached: 10.0% All sims: 0.4% Win rate: 28.9%
England England If reached: 9.3% All sims: 0.3% Win rate: 29.4%

Finish 1st

Morocco opponent pool if finishing 1st

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Japan Japan If reached: 32.9% Path sims: 32.9% Win rate: 50.7%
Sweden Sweden If reached: 30.1% Path sims: 30.1% Win rate: 55.1%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 28.8% Path sims: 28.8% Win rate: 40.0%
Tunisia Tunisia If reached: 8.3% Path sims: 8.3% Win rate: 75.5%

R16

Norway Norway If reached: 23.9% Path sims: 12.2% Win rate: 43.6%
France France If reached: 18.8% Path sims: 9.6% Win rate: 27.6%
Germany Germany If reached: 16.1% Path sims: 8.2% Win rate: 38.8%
Ecuador Ecuador If reached: 14.3% Path sims: 7.3% Win rate: 52.1%
Senegal Senegal If reached: 13.3% Path sims: 6.8% Win rate: 54.3%

QF

England England If reached: 31.6% Path sims: 7.2% Win rate: 33.6%
Mexico Mexico If reached: 10.1% Path sims: 2.3% Win rate: 52.6%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 9.9% Path sims: 2.3% Win rate: 47.1%
South Korea South Korea If reached: 6.1% Path sims: 1.4% Win rate: 56.5%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 4.1% Path sims: 0.9% Win rate: 51.8%

SF

Argentina Argentina If reached: 25.1% Path sims: 2.6% Win rate: 35.5%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 18.3% Path sims: 1.9% Win rate: 35.8%
Spain Spain If reached: 8.1% Path sims: 0.8% Win rate: 27.7%
Uruguay Uruguay If reached: 7.5% Path sims: 0.8% Win rate: 52.7%
Switzerland Switzerland If reached: 6.0% Path sims: 0.6% Win rate: 53.6%

Final

Spain Spain If reached: 17.9% Path sims: 0.8% Win rate: 35.0%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 15.3% Path sims: 0.7% Win rate: 36.7%
France France If reached: 13.5% Path sims: 0.6% Win rate: 25.5%
Germany Germany If reached: 6.2% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 52.9%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 5.5% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 36.1%

Finish 2nd

Morocco opponent pool if finishing 2nd

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 49.7% Path sims: 49.7% Win rate: 39.8%
Japan Japan If reached: 26.1% Path sims: 26.1% Win rate: 50.8%
Sweden Sweden If reached: 21.4% Path sims: 21.4% Win rate: 54.9%
Tunisia Tunisia If reached: 2.8% Path sims: 2.8% Win rate: 76.7%

R16

Mexico Mexico If reached: 18.2% Path sims: 8.5% Win rate: 52.8%
South Korea South Korea If reached: 17.6% Path sims: 8.2% Win rate: 57.0%
Switzerland Switzerland If reached: 16.7% Path sims: 7.8% Win rate: 52.6%
Canada Canada If reached: 15.7% Path sims: 7.4% Win rate: 61.4%
Czechia Czechia If reached: 13.9% Path sims: 6.5% Win rate: 64.0%

QF

France France If reached: 35.3% Path sims: 9.9% Win rate: 27.4%
Germany Germany If reached: 19.8% Path sims: 5.6% Win rate: 38.5%
Norway Norway If reached: 9.6% Path sims: 2.7% Win rate: 42.6%
Ecuador Ecuador If reached: 5.5% Path sims: 1.5% Win rate: 52.3%
Ivory Coast Ivory Coast If reached: 4.0% Path sims: 1.1% Win rate: 53.1%

SF

Spain Spain If reached: 30.7% Path sims: 3.5% Win rate: 27.6%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 13.4% Path sims: 1.5% Win rate: 44.2%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 5.9% Path sims: 0.7% Win rate: 34.8%
England England If reached: 5.7% Path sims: 0.6% Win rate: 28.8%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 5.3% Path sims: 0.6% Win rate: 34.1%

Final

Brazil Brazil If reached: 14.5% Path sims: 0.7% Win rate: 36.0%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 14.2% Path sims: 0.6% Win rate: 29.7%
England England If reached: 12.6% Path sims: 0.6% Win rate: 30.5%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 10.4% Path sims: 0.5% Win rate: 30.5%
France France If reached: 7.4% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 30.0%

Finish 3rd

Morocco opponent pool if finishing 3rd

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Germany Germany If reached: 33.6% Path sims: 24.6% Win rate: 38.1%
Mexico Mexico If reached: 16.0% Path sims: 11.7% Win rate: 51.2%
Ecuador Ecuador If reached: 14.6% Path sims: 10.7% Win rate: 55.1%
Ivory Coast Ivory Coast If reached: 13.0% Path sims: 9.5% Win rate: 53.1%
South Korea South Korea If reached: 11.7% Path sims: 8.6% Win rate: 56.3%

R16

France France If reached: 28.8% Path sims: 10.5% Win rate: 27.8%
England England If reached: 19.6% Path sims: 7.2% Win rate: 33.6%
Norway Norway If reached: 11.4% Path sims: 4.2% Win rate: 41.7%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 7.1% Path sims: 2.6% Win rate: 48.5%
Senegal Senegal If reached: 5.7% Path sims: 2.1% Win rate: 54.4%

QF

Brazil Brazil If reached: 20.9% Path sims: 3.1% Win rate: 32.3%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 17.6% Path sims: 2.6% Win rate: 39.1%
Japan Japan If reached: 6.5% Path sims: 1.0% Win rate: 44.7%
Scotland Scotland If reached: 6.2% Path sims: 0.9% Win rate: 67.9%
Norway Norway If reached: 5.7% Path sims: 0.9% Win rate: 38.0%

SF

Spain Spain If reached: 20.9% Path sims: 1.4% Win rate: 27.0%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 12.6% Path sims: 0.9% Win rate: 32.2%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 11.0% Path sims: 0.7% Win rate: 36.4%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 9.5% Path sims: 0.6% Win rate: 38.3%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 4.7% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 47.5%

Final

Spain Spain If reached: 14.5% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 23.5%
France France If reached: 11.5% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 33.3%
England England If reached: 9.5% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 20.9%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 9.2% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 20.0%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 8.4% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 39.0%

Squad

Current squad

26 players
Pos Player Age Height Club Value
GK Yassine Bounou 35 1,95m Al-Hilal SFC €3.5m
GK Ahmed Reda Tagnaouti 30 1,92m AS FAR Rabat €800k
GK Munir El Kajoui 37 1,90m Renaissance de Berkane €700k
RB Achraf Hakimi 28 1,81m Paris Saint-Germain €80.0m
RB Noussair Mazraoui 28 1,83m Manchester United €20.0m
CB Nayef Aguerd 30 1,90m Olympique Marseille €20.0m
RB Zakaria El Ouahdi 24 1,75m KRC Genk €15.0m
CB Chadi Riad 22 1,87m Crystal Palace €12.0m
LB Anass Salah-Eddine 24 1,80m PSV Eindhoven €12.0m
CB Issa Diop 29 1,94m Fulham FC €10.0m
CB Redouane Halhal 23 1,88m KV Mechelen €3.0m
LB Youssef Belammari 27 1,80m Al Ahly FC €1.2m
DM Sofyan Amrabat 29 1,83m Real Betis Balompié €12.0m
CM Ayyoub Bouaddi 19 1,85m LOSC Lille €50.0m
CM Neil El Aynaoui 24 1,86m AS Roma €23.0m
CM Samir El Mourabet 21 1,86m RC Strasbourg Alsace €18.0m
CM Azzedine Ounahi 26 1,82m Girona FC €10.0m
RW Brahim Díaz 26 1,70m Real Madrid €35.0m
RW Chemsdine Talbi 21 1,75m Sunderland AFC €25.0m
RW Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab 21 1,78m Eintracht Frankfurt €10.0m
RW Gessime Yassine 20 1,73m RC Strasbourg Alsace €10.0m
AM Ismael Saibari 25 1,85m PSV Eindhoven €40.0m
AM Bilal El Khannouss 22 1,80m VfB Stuttgart €35.0m
CF Ayoub El Kaabi 32 1,82m Olympiacos Piraeus €5.0m
LW Abde Ezzalzouli 24 1,77m Real Betis Balompié €30.0m
LW Soufiane Rahimi 30 1,83m Al-Ain FC €6.0m