Match analysis

Morocco Morocco vs Scotland Scotland

Match forecast and score distribution for Match 30, Group C, generated from the current simulator ratings.

Group C Boston, USA

Forecast last updated:

Average score Morocco 1.38 - 0.89 Scotland Total goals average 2.27
Morocco win 48.2%
Draw 27.6%
Scotland win 24.3%

Goal bands

Total goals distribution

0 10.2%
1 23.5%
2 26.7%
3 20.2%
4 11.5%
5+ 7.9%

Goal thresholds

Total-goal thresholds

Total 0.5 At least 89.8% Below 10.2%
Total 1.5 At least 66.3% Below 33.7%
Total 2.5 At least 39.6% Below 60.4%
Total 3.5 At least 19.4% Below 80.6%
Total 4.5 At least 7.9% Below 92.1%

Team goals

Morocco goal thresholds

Morocco 0.5 At least 74.7% Below 25.3%
Morocco 1.5 At least 40.3% Below 59.8%
Morocco 2.5 At least 16.1% Below 83.9%
Morocco 3.5 At least 5.1% Below 94.9%
Morocco 4.5 At least 1.4% Below 98.6%

Team goals

Scotland goal thresholds

Scotland 0.5 At least 59.3% Below 40.7%
Scotland 1.5 At least 22.4% Below 77.6%
Scotland 2.5 At least 5.8% Below 94.2%
Scotland 3.5 At least 1.3% Below 98.8%
Scotland 4.5 At least 0.2% Below 99.8%

Scoring frequency

Both teams scoring

Both teams score 44.3%
Morocco clean sheet 40.7%
Scotland clean sheet 25.3%

Common scorelines

Top exact scores

1 Morocco 1-0 Scotland 14.1%
2 Morocco 1-1 Scotland 12.7%
3 Morocco 0-0 Scotland 10.2%
4 Morocco 2-0 Scotland 9.8%
5 Morocco 0-1 Scotland 9.4%
6 Morocco 2-1 Scotland 8.9%
7 Morocco 1-2 Scotland 5.7%
8 Morocco 3-0 Scotland 4.5%
9 Morocco 0-2 Scotland 4.2%
10 Morocco 2-2 Scotland 4.1%

Guide

What this simulation preview shows

This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.

Score distribution

How to read the numbers

Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.

Model note

Simulation reference, not certainty

A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.

Model note: These are simulation outputs for understanding possible score patterns. They are not betting advice or gambling guidance.