Group
Finish probabilities
1st 100.0%
2nd 0%
3rd place 0% Qualified from 3rd 0% Eliminated in 3rd 0%
4th 0%
Group C
Brazil
Brazil will always be Brazil: flair, pace, individual quality baked into the culture. Vinícius Jr. is genuinely terrifying in transition. The problem is structural: defensively they are porous in ways that feel systemic rather than accidental, and coaching changes have disrupted any sense of tactical continuity. Still, you don't bet against five stars.
This profile summarizes Brazil's World Cup 2026 simulation path from the latest current-state snapshot: group outlook, finish distribution, possible knockout routes, opponent pools, squad context, and title chances.
Champion 0%
Group qualification 100%
Squad market €909.2m
Avg age 29.2
Avg height 1.828m
Manager Carlo Ancelotti
Saved forecast
Forecast as of Updated 2026-07-15 10:47 UTC, based on 10k current-state simulations. Tournament-wide official results included at that time stay fixed. These are saved model forecasts, not the team's actual final finish.
Tournament-wide result cutoff: France 0-2 Spain
Guide
How to read this team profile
Group finish and stage reach values are model outputs from the latest current-state team profile snapshot. Path sections show how Brazil's route changes by group finish, while opponent pools summarize the teams most often appearing in each round.
Other forecast pages may show a different saved date. The interactive replay simulator is separate: changing Team Strength settings creates alternative scenarios without changing this saved forecast.
Tournament
Stage reach probabilities
R32 100%
R16 100%
QF 0%
SF 0%
Final 0%
Champion 0%
Conditional path
Path by group finish
| Finish | Sample | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Champion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 100.0% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 2nd | n/a | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3rd | No longer possible | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Overall opponent pool
Most common opponents by round
If reached shows the opponent split among this team's matches in that round. All sims shows how often the matchup happens across the latest current-state snapshot.
R32
Japan If reached: 100.0% All sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 100.0% R16
Norway If reached: 100.0% All sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 0% QF
No opponent samples.
SF
No opponent samples.
Final
No opponent samples.
Finish 1st
Brazil opponent pool if finishing 1st
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
Japan If reached: 100.0% Path sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 100.0% R16
Norway If reached: 100.0% Path sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 0% QF
Not enough samples.
SF
Not enough samples.
Final
Not enough samples.
Finish 2nd
Brazil opponent pool if finishing 2nd
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
Not enough samples.
R16
Not enough samples.
QF
Not enough samples.
SF
Not enough samples.
Final
Not enough samples.
Finish 3rd
Brazil opponent pool if finishing 3rd
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
No longer possible
R16
No longer possible
QF
No longer possible
SF
No longer possible
Final
No longer possible
Squad
Current squad
| Pos | Player | Age | Height | Club | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GK | Alisson | 34 | 1,93m | Liverpool FC | €17.0m |
| GK | Ederson | 32 | 1,88m | Fenerbahce | €10.0m |
| GK | Weverton | 38 | 1,89m | Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense | €700k |
| CB | Gabriel | 28 | 1,90m | Arsenal FC | €75.0m |
| RB | Wesley | 22 | 1,78m | AS Roma | €40.0m |
| CB | Bremer | 29 | 1,88m | Juventus FC | €35.0m |
| CB | Marquinhos | 32 | 1,83m | Paris Saint-Germain | €30.0m |
| CB | Roger Ibañez | 27 | 1,85m | Al-Ahli SFC | €17.0m |
| CB | Léo Pereira | 30 | 1,89m | CR Flamengo | €12.0m |
| LB | Douglas Santos | 32 | 1,75m | Zenit St. Petersburg | €7.5m |
| CB | Danilo (DF) | 34 | 1,84m | CR Flamengo | €2.0m |
| LB | Alex Sandro | 35 | 1,80m | CR Flamengo | €1.0m |
| DM | Fabinho | 32 | 1,88m | Al-Ittihad Club | €13.0m |
| DM | Casemiro | 34 | 1,85m | Manchester United | €8.0m |
| CM | Bruno Guimarães | 28 | 1,82m | Newcastle United | €75.0m |
| CM | Danilo | 25 | 1,76m | Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas | €32.0m |
| RW | Rayan | 19 | 1,87m | AFC Bournemouth | €40.0m |
| RW | Luiz Henrique | 25 | 1,82m | Zenit St. Petersburg | €24.0m |
| AM | Lucas Paquetá | 28 | 1,80m | CR Flamengo | €32.0m |
| AM | Neymar | 34 | 1,75m | Santos FC | €8.0m |
| CF | Igor Thiago | 24 | 1,91m | Brentford FC | €50.0m |
| CF | Endrick | 19 | 1,73m | Olympique Lyon | €35.0m |
| LW | Vinicius Junior | 25 | 1,76m | Real Madrid | €150.0m |
| LW | Raphinha | 29 | 1,76m | FC Barcelona | €80.0m |
| LW | Matheus Cunha | 27 | 1,83m | Manchester United | €70.0m |
| LW | Gabriel Martinelli | 24 | 1,78m | Arsenal FC | €45.0m |
Important note: This simulator and its probability outputs are for entertainment and informational purposes only. They are not investment advice, financial advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, trade, or participate in any prediction market. No real-money contest is offered or accepted on baplab.