Match analysis

Brazil Brazil vs Morocco Morocco

Match forecast and score distribution for Match 7, Group C, generated from the current simulator ratings.

Group C New York/NJ, USA

Forecast reference: Jun 10, 2026

Official result is now known: Brazil 1-1 Morocco ยท Final. This page shows the model's simulated score distribution for comparison.

Average score Brazil 1.43 - 0.91 Morocco Total goals average 2.34
Brazil win 49.0%
Draw 26.8%
Morocco win 24.2%

Goal bands

Total goals distribution

0 9.7%
1 22.9%
2 26.0%
3 20.6%
4 11.9%
5+ 9.0%

Goal thresholds

Total-goal thresholds

Total 0.5 At least 90.3% Below 9.7%
Total 1.5 At least 67.5% Below 32.5%
Total 2.5 At least 41.5% Below 58.5%
Total 3.5 At least 20.9% Below 79.1%
Total 4.5 At least 9.0% Below 91.0%

Team goals

Brazil goal thresholds

Brazil 0.5 At least 76.0% Below 24.1%
Brazil 1.5 At least 41.6% Below 58.4%
Brazil 2.5 At least 17.5% Below 82.5%
Brazil 3.5 At least 5.5% Below 94.5%
Brazil 4.5 At least 1.6% Below 98.4%

Team goals

Morocco goal thresholds

Morocco 0.5 At least 59.8% Below 40.3%
Morocco 1.5 At least 23.3% Below 76.7%
Morocco 2.5 At least 6.5% Below 93.5%
Morocco 3.5 At least 1.5% Below 98.5%
Morocco 4.5 At least 0.3% Below 99.8%

Scoring frequency

Both teams scoring

Both teams score 45.4%
Brazil clean sheet 40.3%
Morocco clean sheet 24.1%

Common scorelines

Top exact scores

1 Brazil 1-0 Morocco 13.9%
2 Brazil 1-1 Morocco 12.5%
3 Brazil 0-0 Morocco 9.7%
4 Brazil 2-0 Morocco 9.4%
5 Brazil 0-1 Morocco 9.0%
6 Brazil 2-1 Morocco 9.0%
7 Brazil 1-2 Morocco 5.7%
8 Brazil 3-0 Morocco 4.9%
9 Brazil 3-1 Morocco 4.2%
10 Brazil 0-2 Morocco 4.0%

Guide

What this simulation preview shows

This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.

Score distribution

How to read the numbers

Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.

Model note

Simulation reference, not certainty

A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.

Model note: These are simulation outputs for understanding possible score patterns. They are not betting advice or gambling guidance.