Group
Finish probabilities
1st 0%
2nd 0%
3rd place 100.0% Qualified from 3rd 100.0% Eliminated in 3rd 0%
4th 0%
Group F
Sweden
A workmanlike side with genuine physical presence, set-piece danger, and defensive organization. Gyökeres has arrived as a genuinely world-class striker, giving Sweden an attacking focal point they have not had since Ibrahimović decided he was the only one allowed to be famous. Isak offers a different dimension off the bench. The shadow is finally lifting.
This profile summarizes Sweden's World Cup 2026 simulation path from the latest current-state snapshot: group outlook, finish distribution, possible knockout routes, opponent pools, squad context, and title chances.
Champion 0%
Group qualification 100%
Squad market €428.2m
Avg age 27.6
Avg height 1.863m
Manager Graham Potter
Current-state snapshot
This profile is based on 10k current-state simulations using the WC26 simulator engine. The numbers are a model snapshot, not a guarantee. Team ratings, squads and injury updates may change over time.
Latest result included: France 0-2 Spain
Guide
How to read this team profile
Group finish and stage reach values are model outputs from the latest current-state team profile snapshot. Path sections show how Sweden's route changes by group finish, while opponent pools summarize the teams most often appearing in each round.
This page uses Knockout-phase current-state snapshot using latest committed Match Updates, official locked results, current ratings, and fixed knockout bracket state as of 15 Jul 2026 1:47 PM UTC+3. Other public forecast pages may still use root compatibility datasets until they are updated separately, and custom Team Strength settings can change future tournament paths in the live simulator.
Tournament
Stage reach probabilities
R32 100%
R16 0%
QF 0%
SF 0%
Final 0%
Champion 0%
Conditional path
Path by group finish
| Finish | Sample | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Champion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | No longer possible | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2nd | No longer possible | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3rd | 100.0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Overall opponent pool
Most common opponents by round
If reached shows the opponent split among this team's matches in that round. All sims shows how often the matchup happens across the latest current-state snapshot.
R32
France If reached: 100.0% All sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 0% R16
No opponent samples.
QF
No opponent samples.
SF
No opponent samples.
Final
No opponent samples.
Finish 1st
Sweden opponent pool if finishing 1st
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
No longer possible
R16
No longer possible
QF
No longer possible
SF
No longer possible
Final
No longer possible
Finish 2nd
Sweden opponent pool if finishing 2nd
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
No longer possible
R16
No longer possible
QF
No longer possible
SF
No longer possible
Final
No longer possible
Finish 3rd
Sweden opponent pool if finishing 3rd
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
France If reached: 100.0% Path sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 0% R16
Not enough samples.
QF
Not enough samples.
SF
Not enough samples.
Final
Not enough samples.
Squad
Current squad
| Pos | Player | Age | Height | Club | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GK | Viktor Johansson | 27 | 1,86m | Stoke City | €12.0m |
| GK | Jacob Widell Zetterström | 27 | 1,97m | Derby County | €2.5m |
| GK | Kristoffer Nordfeldt | 36 | 1,90m | AIK | €175k |
| CB | Isak Hien | 27 | 1,91m | Atalanta BC | €22.0m |
| CB | Gustaf Lagerbielke | 26 | 1,93m | SC Braga | €10.0m |
| CB | Victor Lindelöf | 31 | 1,87m | Aston Villa | €6.0m |
| CB | Hjalmar Ekdal | 27 | 1,87m | Burnley FC | €6.0m |
| CB | Carl Starfelt | 31 | 1,87m | Celta de Vigo | €5.0m |
| CB | Eric Smith | 29 | 1,92m | FC St. Pauli | €5.0m |
| LB | Daniel Svensson | 24 | 1,83m | Borussia Dortmund | €22.0m |
| LB | Gabriel Gudmundsson | 27 | 1,80m | Leeds United | €20.0m |
| LB | Ken Sema | 32 | 1,80m | Pafos FC | €1.0m |
| DM | Jesper Karlström | 30 | 1,85m | Udinese Calcio | €4.0m |
| CM | Lucas Bergvall | 20 | 1,87m | Tottenham Hotspur | €40.0m |
| CM | Yasin Ayari | 22 | 1,72m | Brighton & Hove Albion | €30.0m |
| CM | Mattias Svanberg | 27 | 1,85m | VfL Wolfsburg | €8.0m |
| CM | Besfort Zeneli | 23 | 1,87m | Union Saint-Gilloise | €4.5m |
| LM | Elliot Stroud | 23 | 1,85m | Mjällby AIF | €3.0m |
| RM | Herman Johansson | 28 | 1,90m | FC Dallas | €1.8m |
| AM | Benjamin Nygren | 24 | 1,88m | Celtic FC | €14.0m |
| LW | Taha Ali | 27 | 1,74m | Malmö FF | €1.2m |
| RW | Anthony Elanga | 24 | 1,78m | Newcastle United | €40.0m |
| RW | Alexander Bernhardsson | 27 | 1,84m | Holstein Kiel | €3.0m |
| CF | Alexander Isak | 26 | 1,92m | Liverpool FC | €100.0m |
| CF | Viktor Gyökeres | 28 | 1,89m | Arsenal FC | €65.0m |
| CF | Gustaf Nilsson | 29 | 1,96m | Club Brugge KV | €2.0m |
Important note: This simulator and its probability outputs are for entertainment and informational purposes only. They are not investment advice, financial advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, trade, or participate in any prediction market. No real-money contest is offered or accepted on baplab.