Match analysis
Japan vs Sweden 
Match forecast and score distribution for Match 57, Group F, generated from the current simulator ratings.
Forecast last updated:
Goal bands
Total goals distribution
0 7.9%
1 20.0%
2 25.2%
3 22.0%
4 13.7%
5+ 11.2%
Goal thresholds
Total-goal thresholds
Total 0.5 At least 92.1% Below 7.9%
Total 1.5 At least 72.1% Below 27.9%
Total 2.5 At least 46.9% Below 53.1%
Total 3.5 At least 24.9% Below 75.1%
Total 4.5 At least 11.2% Below 88.8%
Team goals
Japan goal thresholds
Japan 0.5 At least 74.6% Below 25.4%
Japan 1.5 At least 38.8% Below 61.2%
Japan 2.5 At least 14.9% Below 85.1%
Japan 3.5 At least 4.5% Below 95.5%
Japan 4.5 At least 1.3% Below 98.7%
Team goals
Sweden goal thresholds
Sweden 0.5 At least 69.5% Below 30.5%
Sweden 1.5 At least 33.4% Below 66.6%
Sweden 2.5 At least 11.8% Below 88.3%
Sweden 3.5 At least 3.3% Below 96.7%
Sweden 4.5 At least 0.7% Below 99.3%
Scoring frequency
Both teams scoring
Both teams score 51.9%
Japan clean sheet 30.5%
Sweden clean sheet 25.4%
Common scorelines
Top exact scores
1 Japan 1-1 Sweden 12.8%
2 Japan 1-0 Sweden 10.9%
3 Japan 0-1 Sweden 9.2%
4 Japan 2-1 Sweden 8.5%
5 Japan 1-2 Sweden 8.1%
6 Japan 0-0 Sweden 7.9%
7 Japan 2-0 Sweden 7.1%
8 Japan 0-2 Sweden 5.3%
9 Japan 2-2 Sweden 5.2%
10 Japan 3-1 Sweden 3.8%
Guide
What this simulation preview shows
This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.
Score distribution
How to read the numbers
Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.
Model note
Simulation reference, not certainty
A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.