Match analysis
Netherlands vs Sweden 
Match forecast and score distribution for Match 35, Group F, generated from the current simulator ratings.
Forecast last updated:
Goal bands
Total goals distribution
0 7.7%
1 20.0%
2 25.3%
3 21.4%
4 14.0%
5+ 11.7%
Goal thresholds
Total-goal thresholds
Total 0.5 At least 92.3% Below 7.7%
Total 1.5 At least 72.3% Below 27.7%
Total 2.5 At least 47.1% Below 52.9%
Total 3.5 At least 25.7% Below 74.3%
Total 4.5 At least 11.7% Below 88.3%
Team goals
Netherlands goal thresholds
Netherlands 0.5 At least 79.2% Below 20.8%
Netherlands 1.5 At least 46.0% Below 54.0%
Netherlands 2.5 At least 20.5% Below 79.5%
Netherlands 3.5 At least 7.3% Below 92.7%
Netherlands 4.5 At least 2.2% Below 97.8%
Team goals
Sweden goal thresholds
Sweden 0.5 At least 63.6% Below 36.4%
Sweden 1.5 At least 26.0% Below 74.0%
Sweden 2.5 At least 8.0% Below 92.1%
Sweden 3.5 At least 1.9% Below 98.1%
Sweden 4.5 At least 0.3% Below 99.7%
Scoring frequency
Both teams scoring
Both teams score 50.5%
Netherlands clean sheet 36.4%
Sweden clean sheet 20.8%
Common scorelines
Top exact scores
1 Netherlands 1-1 Sweden 12.5%
2 Netherlands 1-0 Sweden 12.2%
3 Netherlands 2-1 Sweden 9.6%
4 Netherlands 2-0 Sweden 9.0%
5 Netherlands 0-1 Sweden 7.8%
6 Netherlands 0-0 Sweden 7.7%
7 Netherlands 1-2 Sweden 5.9%
8 Netherlands 3-1 Sweden 5.0%
9 Netherlands 2-2 Sweden 4.8%
10 Netherlands 3-0 Sweden 4.7%
Guide
What this simulation preview shows
This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.
Score distribution
How to read the numbers
Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.
Model note
Simulation reference, not certainty
A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.