Match analysis

France France vs Norway Norway

Match forecast and score distribution for Match 61, Group I, generated from the current simulator ratings.

Group I Dallas, USA

Forecast last updated:

Average score France 1.81 - 1.03 Norway Total goals average 2.83
France win 56.0%
Draw 23.0%
Norway win 21.0%

Goal bands

Total goals distribution

0 6.1%
1 16.2%
2 24.0%
3 22.2%
4 15.6%
5+ 16.0%

Goal thresholds

Total-goal thresholds

Total 0.5 At least 93.9% Below 6.1%
Total 1.5 At least 77.8% Below 22.3%
Total 2.5 At least 53.8% Below 46.3%
Total 3.5 At least 31.6% Below 68.4%
Total 4.5 At least 16.0% Below 84.1%

Team goals

France goal thresholds

France 0.5 At least 83.7% Below 16.4%
France 1.5 At least 54.0% Below 46.0%
France 2.5 At least 27.4% Below 72.6%
France 3.5 At least 10.8% Below 89.2%
France 4.5 At least 3.6% Below 96.4%

Team goals

Norway goal thresholds

Norway 0.5 At least 63.9% Below 36.1%
Norway 1.5 At least 27.5% Below 72.5%
Norway 2.5 At least 8.6% Below 91.4%
Norway 3.5 At least 2.1% Below 97.9%
Norway 4.5 At least 0.4% Below 99.6%

Scoring frequency

Both teams scoring

Both teams score 53.6%
France clean sheet 36.1%
Norway clean sheet 16.4%

Common scorelines

Top exact scores

1 France 1-1 Norway 11.1%
2 France 1-0 Norway 10.6%
3 France 2-1 Norway 9.8%
4 France 2-0 Norway 9.7%
5 France 3-1 Norway 6.1%
6 France 0-0 Norway 6.1%
7 France 3-0 Norway 5.8%
8 France 0-1 Norway 5.6%
9 France 1-2 Norway 5.5%
10 France 2-2 Norway 4.8%

Guide

What this simulation preview shows

This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.

Score distribution

How to read the numbers

Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.

Model note

Simulation reference, not certainty

A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee.

Model note: These are simulation outputs for understanding possible score patterns. They are not a guarantee of the match result.