Match analysis

Norway Norway vs Senegal Senegal

Match forecast and score distribution for Match 41, Group I, generated from the current simulator ratings.

Group I Philadelphia, USA

Forecast last updated:

Average score Norway 1.63 - 1.16 Senegal Total goals average 2.79
Norway win 48.4%
Draw 24.4%
Senegal win 27.2%

Goal bands

Total goals distribution

0 6.1%
1 17.0%
2 24.2%
3 22.4%
4 15.1%
5+ 15.2%

Goal thresholds

Total-goal thresholds

Total 0.5 At least 93.9% Below 6.1%
Total 1.5 At least 76.9% Below 23.2%
Total 2.5 At least 52.7% Below 47.3%
Total 3.5 At least 30.3% Below 69.7%
Total 4.5 At least 15.2% Below 84.8%

Team goals

Norway goal thresholds

Norway 0.5 At least 80.4% Below 19.7%
Norway 1.5 At least 48.2% Below 51.9%
Norway 2.5 At least 22.6% Below 77.5%
Norway 3.5 At least 8.3% Below 91.7%
Norway 4.5 At least 2.8% Below 97.2%

Team goals

Senegal goal thresholds

Senegal 0.5 At least 68.8% Below 31.2%
Senegal 1.5 At least 32.3% Below 67.7%
Senegal 2.5 At least 11.1% Below 88.9%
Senegal 3.5 At least 2.9% Below 97.1%
Senegal 4.5 At least 0.6% Below 99.5%

Scoring frequency

Both teams scoring

Both teams score 55.3%
Norway clean sheet 31.2%
Senegal clean sheet 19.7%

Common scorelines

Top exact scores

1 Norway 1-1 Senegal 11.8%
2 Norway 1-0 Senegal 10.0%
3 Norway 2-1 Senegal 9.4%
4 Norway 2-0 Senegal 8.2%
5 Norway 0-1 Senegal 7.1%
6 Norway 1-2 Senegal 6.9%
7 Norway 0-0 Senegal 6.1%
8 Norway 3-1 Senegal 5.2%
9 Norway 2-2 Senegal 5.2%
10 Norway 3-0 Senegal 4.3%

Guide

What this simulation preview shows

This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.

Score distribution

How to read the numbers

Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.

Model note

Simulation reference, not certainty

A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.

Model note: These are simulation outputs for understanding possible score patterns. They are not betting advice or gambling guidance.