Match analysis
Canada vs Bosnia-Herz. 
Match forecast and score distribution for Match 3, Group B, generated from the current simulator ratings.
Forecast reference: Jun 10, 2026
Official result is now known: Canada 1-1 Bosnia-Herz. ยท Final. This page shows the model's simulated score distribution for comparison.
Goal bands
Total goals distribution
0 10.8%
1 22.9%
2 26.4%
3 20.5%
4 11.2%
5+ 8.2%
Goal thresholds
Total-goal thresholds
Total 0.5 At least 89.3% Below 10.8%
Total 1.5 At least 66.3% Below 33.7%
Total 2.5 At least 39.9% Below 60.1%
Total 3.5 At least 19.4% Below 80.6%
Total 4.5 At least 8.2% Below 91.8%
Team goals
Canada goal thresholds
Canada 0.5 At least 70.8% Below 29.2%
Canada 1.5 At least 35.2% Below 64.8%
Canada 2.5 At least 13.2% Below 86.8%
Canada 3.5 At least 4.0% Below 96.1%
Canada 4.5 At least 0.9% Below 99.1%
Team goals
Bosnia-Herz. goal thresholds
Bosnia-Herz. 0.5 At least 64.6% Below 35.4%
Bosnia-Herz. 1.5 At least 27.7% Below 72.3%
Bosnia-Herz. 2.5 At least 8.3% Below 91.7%
Bosnia-Herz. 3.5 At least 1.9% Below 98.2%
Bosnia-Herz. 4.5 At least 0.4% Below 99.6%
Scoring frequency
Both teams scoring
Both teams score 46.1%
Canada clean sheet 35.4%
Bosnia-Herz. clean sheet 29.2%
Common scorelines
Top exact scores
1 Canada 1-1 Bosnia-Herz. 13.2%
2 Canada 1-0 Bosnia-Herz. 12.3%
3 Canada 0-0 Bosnia-Herz. 10.8%
4 Canada 0-1 Bosnia-Herz. 10.7%
5 Canada 2-1 Bosnia-Herz. 8.3%
6 Canada 2-0 Bosnia-Herz. 7.6%
7 Canada 1-2 Bosnia-Herz. 7.0%
8 Canada 0-2 Bosnia-Herz. 5.5%
9 Canada 2-2 Bosnia-Herz. 4.2%
10 Canada 3-0 Bosnia-Herz. 3.3%
Guide
What this simulation preview shows
This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.
Score distribution
How to read the numbers
Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.
Model note
Simulation reference, not certainty
A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.