Match analysis
Netherlands vs Tunisia 
Match forecast and score distribution for Match 58, Group F, generated from the current simulator ratings.
Forecast last updated:
Goal bands
Total goals distribution
0 4.9%
1 14.8%
2 22.2%
3 22.2%
4 16.9%
5+ 18.9%
Goal thresholds
Total-goal thresholds
Total 0.5 At least 95.1% Below 4.9%
Total 1.5 At least 80.3% Below 19.7%
Total 2.5 At least 58.0% Below 42.0%
Total 3.5 At least 35.9% Below 64.1%
Total 4.5 At least 18.9% Below 81.1%
Team goals
Netherlands goal thresholds
Netherlands 0.5 At least 90.6% Below 9.4%
Netherlands 1.5 At least 68.8% Below 31.2%
Netherlands 2.5 At least 42.4% Below 57.6%
Netherlands 3.5 At least 22.1% Below 77.9%
Netherlands 4.5 At least 9.4% Below 90.6%
Team goals
Tunisia goal thresholds
Tunisia 0.5 At least 46.9% Below 53.1%
Tunisia 1.5 At least 13.1% Below 86.9%
Tunisia 2.5 At least 2.6% Below 97.4%
Tunisia 3.5 At least 0.5% Below 99.6%
Tunisia 4.5 At least 0.1% Below 100.0%
Scoring frequency
Both teams scoring
Both teams score 42.5%
Netherlands clean sheet 53.1%
Tunisia clean sheet 9.4%
Common scorelines
Top exact scores
1 Netherlands 2-0 Tunisia 13.9%
2 Netherlands 1-0 Tunisia 11.6%
3 Netherlands 3-0 Tunisia 10.8%
4 Netherlands 2-1 Tunisia 8.9%
5 Netherlands 1-1 Tunisia 7.4%
6 Netherlands 3-1 Tunisia 6.9%
7 Netherlands 4-0 Tunisia 6.6%
8 Netherlands 0-0 Tunisia 4.9%
9 Netherlands 4-1 Tunisia 4.5%
10 Netherlands 5-0 Tunisia 3.3%
Guide
What this simulation preview shows
This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.
Score distribution
How to read the numbers
Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.
Model note
Simulation reference, not certainty
A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.