Match analysis
Portugal vs DR Congo 
Match forecast and score distribution for Match 23, Group K, generated from the current simulator ratings.
Forecast last updated:
Goal bands
Total goals distribution
0 7.5%
1 20.0%
2 24.9%
3 21.9%
4 13.8%
5+ 11.9%
Goal thresholds
Total-goal thresholds
Total 0.5 At least 92.5% Below 7.5%
Total 1.5 At least 72.5% Below 27.5%
Total 2.5 At least 47.6% Below 52.4%
Total 3.5 At least 25.7% Below 74.3%
Total 4.5 At least 11.9% Below 88.1%
Team goals
Portugal goal thresholds
Portugal 0.5 At least 85.4% Below 14.6%
Portugal 1.5 At least 56.6% Below 43.4%
Portugal 2.5 At least 29.8% Below 70.2%
Portugal 3.5 At least 12.7% Below 87.3%
Portugal 4.5 At least 4.5% Below 95.5%
Team goals
DR Congo goal thresholds
DR Congo 0.5 At least 48.5% Below 51.5%
DR Congo 1.5 At least 14.6% Below 85.4%
DR Congo 2.5 At least 3.0% Below 97.0%
DR Congo 3.5 At least 0.4% Below 99.6%
DR Congo 4.5 At least 0.1% Below 99.9%
Scoring frequency
Both teams scoring
Both teams score 41.5%
Portugal clean sheet 51.5%
DR Congo clean sheet 14.6%
Common scorelines
Top exact scores
1 Portugal 1-0 DR Congo 15.0%
2 Portugal 2-0 DR Congo 13.6%
3 Portugal 1-1 DR Congo 9.6%
4 Portugal 2-1 DR Congo 9.2%
5 Portugal 3-0 DR Congo 9.0%
6 Portugal 0-0 DR Congo 7.5%
7 Portugal 3-1 DR Congo 5.7%
8 Portugal 0-1 DR Congo 5.0%
9 Portugal 4-0 DR Congo 4.1%
10 Portugal 1-2 DR Congo 3.3%
Guide
What this simulation preview shows
This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.
Score distribution
How to read the numbers
Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.
Model note
Simulation reference, not certainty
A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.