Match analysis
Ecuador vs Curaçao 
Match forecast and score distribution for Match 34, Group E, generated from the current simulator ratings.
Forecast last updated:
Goal bands
Total goals distribution
0 6.3%
1 17.0%
2 24.0%
3 22.8%
4 15.2%
5+ 14.7%
Goal thresholds
Total-goal thresholds
Total 0.5 At least 93.7% Below 6.3%
Total 1.5 At least 76.7% Below 23.3%
Total 2.5 At least 52.7% Below 47.3%
Total 3.5 At least 29.9% Below 70.1%
Total 4.5 At least 14.7% Below 85.3%
Team goals
Ecuador goal thresholds
Ecuador 0.5 At least 89.1% Below 10.9%
Ecuador 1.5 At least 64.3% Below 35.7%
Ecuador 2.5 At least 37.4% Below 62.6%
Ecuador 3.5 At least 17.8% Below 82.2%
Ecuador 4.5 At least 7.0% Below 93.0%
Team goals
Curaçao goal thresholds
Curaçao 0.5 At least 44.2% Below 55.8%
Curaçao 1.5 At least 11.6% Below 88.5%
Curaçao 2.5 At least 2.3% Below 97.8%
Curaçao 3.5 At least 0.3% Below 99.7%
Curaçao 4.5 At least 0.1% Below 100.0%
Scoring frequency
Both teams scoring
Both teams score 39.6%
Ecuador clean sheet 55.8%
Curaçao clean sheet 10.9%
Common scorelines
Top exact scores
1 Ecuador 2-0 Curaçao 14.8%
2 Ecuador 1-0 Curaçao 13.7%
3 Ecuador 3-0 Curaçao 11.2%
4 Ecuador 2-1 Curaçao 9.0%
5 Ecuador 1-1 Curaçao 8.2%
6 Ecuador 3-1 Curaçao 6.3%
7 Ecuador 0-0 Curaçao 6.3%
8 Ecuador 4-0 Curaçao 5.9%
9 Ecuador 4-1 Curaçao 3.6%
10 Ecuador 0-1 Curaçao 3.3%
Guide
What this simulation preview shows
This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.
Score distribution
How to read the numbers
Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.
Model note
Simulation reference, not certainty
A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.