Match analysis

Argentina Argentina vs Jordan Jordan

Match forecast and score distribution for Match 70, Group J, generated from the current simulator ratings.

Group J Los Angeles, USA

Forecast last updated:

Average score Argentina 3.53 - 0.52 Jordan Total goals average 4.06
Argentina win 90.7%
Draw 6.7%
Jordan win 2.7%

Goal bands

Total goals distribution

0 1.9%
1 6.8%
2 14.0%
3 19.6%
4 19.4%
5+ 38.4%

Goal thresholds

Total-goal thresholds

Total 0.5 At least 98.1% Below 1.9%
Total 1.5 At least 91.3% Below 8.7%
Total 2.5 At least 77.3% Below 22.7%
Total 3.5 At least 57.7% Below 42.3%
Total 4.5 At least 38.4% Below 61.7%

Team goals

Argentina goal thresholds

Argentina 0.5 At least 97.0% Below 3.1%
Argentina 1.5 At least 86.9% Below 13.1%
Argentina 2.5 At least 68.5% Below 31.5%
Argentina 3.5 At least 46.8% Below 53.2%
Argentina 4.5 At least 28.4% Below 71.6%

Team goals

Jordan goal thresholds

Jordan 0.5 At least 40.8% Below 59.3%
Jordan 1.5 At least 9.7% Below 90.3%
Jordan 2.5 At least 1.7% Below 98.3%
Jordan 3.5 At least 0.3% Below 99.7%
Jordan 4.5 At least 0.0% Below 100.0%

Scoring frequency

Both teams scoring

Both teams score 39.6%
Argentina clean sheet 59.3%
Jordan clean sheet 3.1%

Common scorelines

Top exact scores

1 Argentina 3-0 Jordan 12.8%
2 Argentina 4-0 Jordan 11.0%
3 Argentina 2-0 Jordan 10.7%
4 Argentina 5-0 Jordan 8.1%
5 Argentina 3-1 Jordan 6.8%
6 Argentina 1-0 Jordan 6.0%
7 Argentina 2-1 Jordan 5.9%
8 Argentina 4-1 Jordan 5.7%
9 Argentina 6-0 Jordan 4.9%
10 Argentina 5-1 Jordan 4.3%

Guide

What this simulation preview shows

This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.

Score distribution

How to read the numbers

Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.

Model note

Simulation reference, not certainty

A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee.

Model note: These are simulation outputs for understanding possible score patterns. They are not a guarantee of the match result.