Match analysis
Japan vs Tunisia 
Match forecast and score distribution for Match 36, Group F, generated from the current simulator ratings.
Forecast last updated:
Goal bands
Total goals distribution
0 6.0%
1 16.5%
2 23.8%
3 22.9%
4 15.3%
5+ 15.6%
Goal thresholds
Total-goal thresholds
Total 0.5 At least 94.0% Below 6.0%
Total 1.5 At least 77.6% Below 22.4%
Total 2.5 At least 53.8% Below 46.2%
Total 3.5 At least 30.9% Below 69.1%
Total 4.5 At least 15.6% Below 84.4%
Team goals
Japan goal thresholds
Japan 0.5 At least 87.6% Below 12.4%
Japan 1.5 At least 61.5% Below 38.5%
Japan 2.5 At least 34.3% Below 65.7%
Japan 3.5 At least 15.7% Below 84.4%
Japan 4.5 At least 6.0% Below 94.0%
Team goals
Tunisia goal thresholds
Tunisia 0.5 At least 52.8% Below 47.2%
Tunisia 1.5 At least 17.1% Below 82.9%
Tunisia 2.5 At least 3.8% Below 96.2%
Tunisia 3.5 At least 0.8% Below 99.2%
Tunisia 4.5 At least 0.1% Below 99.9%
Scoring frequency
Both teams scoring
Both teams score 46.4%
Japan clean sheet 47.2%
Tunisia clean sheet 12.4%
Common scorelines
Top exact scores
1 Japan 2-0 Tunisia 12.9%
2 Japan 1-0 Tunisia 12.1%
3 Japan 2-1 Tunisia 9.7%
4 Japan 1-1 Tunisia 9.4%
5 Japan 3-0 Tunisia 9.1%
6 Japan 3-1 Tunisia 6.5%
7 Japan 0-0 Tunisia 6.0%
8 Japan 4-0 Tunisia 4.4%
9 Japan 0-1 Tunisia 4.4%
10 Japan 1-2 Tunisia 3.7%
Guide
What this simulation preview shows
This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.
Score distribution
How to read the numbers
Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.
Model note
Simulation reference, not certainty
A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.