Match analysis
Croatia vs Ghana 
Match forecast and score distribution for Match 68, Group L, generated from the current simulator ratings.
Forecast last updated:
Goal bands
Total goals distribution
0 10.2%
1 23.1%
2 26.5%
3 20.4%
4 11.6%
5+ 8.3%
Goal thresholds
Total-goal thresholds
Total 0.5 At least 89.8% Below 10.2%
Total 1.5 At least 66.8% Below 33.3%
Total 2.5 At least 40.3% Below 59.8%
Total 3.5 At least 19.9% Below 80.1%
Total 4.5 At least 8.3% Below 91.7%
Team goals
Croatia goal thresholds
Croatia 0.5 At least 76.4% Below 23.6%
Croatia 1.5 At least 43.0% Below 57.0%
Croatia 2.5 At least 17.4% Below 82.6%
Croatia 3.5 At least 5.7% Below 94.3%
Croatia 4.5 At least 1.5% Below 98.5%
Team goals
Ghana goal thresholds
Ghana 0.5 At least 57.6% Below 42.4%
Ghana 1.5 At least 20.8% Below 79.3%
Ghana 2.5 At least 5.4% Below 94.6%
Ghana 3.5 At least 1.0% Below 99.0%
Ghana 4.5 At least 0.2% Below 99.8%
Scoring frequency
Both teams scoring
Both teams score 44.2%
Croatia clean sheet 42.4%
Ghana clean sheet 23.6%
Common scorelines
Top exact scores
1 Croatia 1-0 Ghana 14.3%
2 Croatia 1-1 Ghana 12.4%
3 Croatia 2-0 Ghana 10.7%
4 Croatia 0-0 Ghana 10.2%
5 Croatia 2-1 Ghana 9.4%
6 Croatia 0-1 Ghana 8.8%
7 Croatia 1-2 Ghana 5.1%
8 Croatia 3-0 Ghana 5.0%
9 Croatia 3-1 Ghana 4.2%
10 Croatia 2-2 Ghana 4.1%
Guide
What this simulation preview shows
This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.
Score distribution
How to read the numbers
Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.
Model note
Simulation reference, not certainty
A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee.