Match analysis

Croatia Croatia vs Ghana Ghana

Match forecast and score distribution for Match 68, Group L, generated from the current simulator ratings.

Group L Los Angeles, USA

Forecast last updated:

Average score Croatia 1.49 - 0.83 Ghana Total goals average 2.33
Croatia win 52.9%
Draw 26.2%
Ghana win 20.9%

Goal bands

Total goals distribution

0 9.7%
1 22.9%
2 26.4%
3 20.2%
4 12.2%
5+ 8.7%

Goal thresholds

Total-goal thresholds

Total 0.5 At least 90.3% Below 9.7%
Total 1.5 At least 67.5% Below 32.5%
Total 2.5 At least 41.1% Below 58.9%
Total 3.5 At least 20.9% Below 79.1%
Total 4.5 At least 8.7% Below 91.3%

Team goals

Croatia goal thresholds

Croatia 0.5 At least 77.8% Below 22.2%
Croatia 1.5 At least 44.3% Below 55.8%
Croatia 2.5 At least 18.8% Below 81.2%
Croatia 3.5 At least 6.4% Below 93.6%
Croatia 4.5 At least 1.8% Below 98.2%

Team goals

Ghana goal thresholds

Ghana 0.5 At least 56.7% Below 43.3%
Ghana 1.5 At least 20.6% Below 79.4%
Ghana 2.5 At least 5.0% Below 95.0%
Ghana 3.5 At least 0.9% Below 99.1%
Ghana 4.5 At least 0.2% Below 99.9%

Scoring frequency

Both teams scoring

Both teams score 44.1%
Croatia clean sheet 43.3%
Ghana clean sheet 22.2%

Common scorelines

Top exact scores

1 Croatia 1-0 Ghana 14.7%
2 Croatia 1-1 Ghana 12.0%
3 Croatia 2-0 Ghana 11.0%
4 Croatia 0-0 Ghana 9.7%
5 Croatia 2-1 Ghana 9.0%
6 Croatia 0-1 Ghana 8.2%
7 Croatia 3-0 Ghana 5.3%
8 Croatia 1-2 Ghana 5.0%
9 Croatia 3-1 Ghana 4.5%
10 Croatia 2-2 Ghana 4.1%

Guide

What this simulation preview shows

This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.

Score distribution

How to read the numbers

Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.

Model note

Simulation reference, not certainty

A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.

Model note: These are simulation outputs for understanding possible score patterns. They are not betting advice or gambling guidance.