Match analysis

Algeria Algeria vs Jordan Jordan

Match forecast and score distribution for Match 44, Group J, generated from the current simulator ratings.

Group J Miami, USA

Forecast last updated:

Average score Algeria 1.96 - 0.85 Jordan Total goals average 2.81
Algeria win 63.5%
Draw 21.1%
Jordan win 15.4%

Goal bands

Total goals distribution

0 6.1%
1 16.4%
2 24.0%
3 22.5%
4 15.7%
5+ 15.3%

Goal thresholds

Total-goal thresholds

Total 0.5 At least 93.9% Below 6.1%
Total 1.5 At least 77.5% Below 22.5%
Total 2.5 At least 53.5% Below 46.6%
Total 3.5 At least 31.0% Below 69.0%
Total 4.5 At least 15.3% Below 84.7%

Team goals

Algeria goal thresholds

Algeria 0.5 At least 85.9% Below 14.1%
Algeria 1.5 At least 58.8% Below 41.2%
Algeria 2.5 At least 31.4% Below 68.7%
Algeria 3.5 At least 13.6% Below 86.4%
Algeria 4.5 At least 4.8% Below 95.2%

Team goals

Jordan goal thresholds

Jordan 0.5 At least 57.2% Below 42.8%
Jordan 1.5 At least 20.8% Below 79.2%
Jordan 2.5 At least 5.5% Below 94.5%
Jordan 3.5 At least 1.1% Below 98.9%
Jordan 4.5 At least 0.2% Below 99.8%

Scoring frequency

Both teams scoring

Both teams score 49.2%
Algeria clean sheet 42.8%
Jordan clean sheet 14.1%

Common scorelines

Top exact scores

1 Algeria 2-0 Jordan 12.0%
2 Algeria 1-0 Jordan 11.5%
3 Algeria 1-1 Jordan 9.8%
4 Algeria 2-1 Jordan 9.8%
5 Algeria 3-0 Jordan 7.6%
6 Algeria 3-1 Jordan 6.6%
7 Algeria 0-0 Jordan 6.1%
8 Algeria 0-1 Jordan 4.9%
9 Algeria 1-2 Jordan 4.3%
10 Algeria 2-2 Jordan 4.2%

Guide

What this simulation preview shows

This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.

Score distribution

How to read the numbers

Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.

Model note

Simulation reference, not certainty

A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.

Model note: These are simulation outputs for understanding possible score patterns. They are not betting advice or gambling guidance.