Match analysis
Argentina vs Algeria 
Match forecast and score distribution for Match 19, Group J, generated from the current simulator ratings.
Forecast reference: Jun 10, 2026
Official result is now known: Argentina 3-0 Algeria ยท Final. This page shows the model's simulated score distribution for comparison.
Goal bands
Total goals distribution
0 5.1%
1 15.4%
2 22.7%
3 21.7%
4 16.8%
5+ 18.4%
Goal thresholds
Total-goal thresholds
Total 0.5 At least 94.9% Below 5.1%
Total 1.5 At least 79.6% Below 20.4%
Total 2.5 At least 56.9% Below 43.1%
Total 3.5 At least 35.2% Below 64.8%
Total 4.5 At least 18.4% Below 81.6%
Team goals
Argentina goal thresholds
Argentina 0.5 At least 88.9% Below 11.1%
Argentina 1.5 At least 64.3% Below 35.7%
Argentina 2.5 At least 37.6% Below 62.5%
Argentina 3.5 At least 18.0% Below 82.0%
Argentina 4.5 At least 7.3% Below 92.7%
Team goals
Algeria goal thresholds
Algeria 0.5 At least 54.4% Below 45.6%
Algeria 1.5 At least 18.4% Below 81.6%
Algeria 2.5 At least 4.6% Below 95.4%
Algeria 3.5 At least 0.9% Below 99.2%
Algeria 4.5 At least 0.1% Below 99.9%
Scoring frequency
Both teams scoring
Both teams score 48.4%
Argentina clean sheet 45.6%
Algeria clean sheet 11.1%
Common scorelines
Top exact scores
1 Argentina 2-0 Algeria 12.3%
2 Argentina 1-0 Algeria 11.4%
3 Argentina 2-1 Algeria 9.3%
4 Argentina 1-1 Algeria 8.8%
5 Argentina 3-0 Algeria 8.7%
6 Argentina 3-1 Algeria 7.3%
7 Argentina 0-0 Algeria 5.1%
8 Argentina 4-0 Algeria 4.8%
9 Argentina 0-1 Algeria 4.0%
10 Argentina 4-1 Algeria 3.9%
Guide
What this simulation preview shows
This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.
Score distribution
How to read the numbers
Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.
Model note
Simulation reference, not certainty
A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.