BapLab

Viking

ActiveNORPot 4UEFA Champions League 2026-27League phase

Fixtures, model forecasts and tournament paths in one place.

OFFICIAL results as of 11 Sept 2026, 16:31 UTCSIMULATION updated after Matchday 1

Season outlook

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons
Expected points
5.4
Expected league position
30.9
Top 8 (direct to round of 16)
<0.1%
Top 24 (reaches the knockouts)
10.6%

Competition state

DERIVEDLeague phase
18 of 144 fixtures completed · next up: Matchday 2
OFFICIALThis club
1 of 8 played · 0 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost
OFFICIALLast result
MD1 · Stuttgart 3–1 Viking · Lost
Next fixture
MD2 · Tue, 13 Oct 2026 · 21:00 CEST · Viking v Bayern Munich

Model inputs

MODEL INPUTwhat the match model is given
Strength rating
69 / 100
BapLab’s rating of the club’s current sporting strength, not an official UEFA ranking. The gap between two clubs’ ratings drives the expected goals in their match.
European pedigree
1.5 / 5
European history and experience. It nudges effective strength up above 3 and down below 3, a small adjustment next to the rating.
Home advantage
+0.31
Extra expected goal difference in the club’s favour in its home matches.

League-phase fixtures

8 matches · kickoff in Central European time

  • MD1Wed, 9 Sept 2026 · 18:45 CEST · Away

    Stuttgart 3–1 Viking

    OFFICIALFull time · Lost

    MODELPre-match forecastArchive time unavailable

    Home win
    70.5%
    Draw
    18.4%
    Away win
    11.1%

    xG 2.16 – 0.72

  • MD2Tue, 13 Oct 2026 · 21:00 CEST · Home

    Viking v Bayern Munich

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    5.7%
    Draw
    10.5%
    Away win
    83.8%

    xG 0.75 – 3.14

  • MD3Wed, 21 Oct 2026 · 21:00 CEST · Away

    Aston Villa v Viking

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    81.2%
    Draw
    13.0%
    Away win
    5.8%

    xG 2.60 – 0.55

  • MD4Wed, 4 Nov 2026 · 21:00 CET · Home

    Viking v Sabah

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    58.1%
    Draw
    22.9%
    Away win
    19.0%

    xG 1.80 – 0.92

  • MD5Wed, 25 Nov 2026 · 21:00 CET · Away

    Atlético Madrid v Viking

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    83.9%
    Draw
    11.5%
    Away win
    4.6%

    xG 2.74 – 0.51

  • MD6Tue, 8 Dec 2026 · 18:45 CET · Home

    Viking v Feyenoord

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    31.9%
    Draw
    25.2%
    Away win
    42.9%

    xG 1.26 – 1.50

  • MD7Wed, 20 Jan 2027 · 21:00 CET · Home

    Viking v PSV

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    24.2%
    Draw
    23.5%
    Away win
    52.3%

    xG 1.12 – 1.76

  • MD8Wed, 27 Jan 2027 · 21:00 CET · Away

    Napoli v Viking

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    74.2%
    Draw
    16.7%
    Away win
    9.1%

    xG 2.29 – 0.66

Home side first. A current forecast can change before kickoff; a completed match keeps its archived pre-match forecast and is never recalculated.

League-phase expectation

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons
Expected points after 8 matches
5.40
−0.53 vs pre-season
Expected league position 1 is best
30.94
+0.74 vs pre-season

How far the club gets

reaches at least this stage
  • Top 8direct to the round of 16 <0.1% −0.1 pp
  • Top 24reaches the knockout phase 10.6% −4.0 pp
  • Round of 16 1.3% −0.8 pp
  • Quarter-final <0.1% 0.0 pp
  • Semi-final <0.1% 0.0 pp
  • Final <0.1% 0.0 pp
  • Champion <0.1% 0.0 pp

Where the season ends

final outcome · sums to 100.0%
  • League phaseeliminated in the league phase 89.4% +4.0 pp
  • Knockout play-offeliminated in the play-off 9.3% −3.2 pp
  • Round of 16eliminated 1.2% −0.8 pp
  • Quarter-finaleliminated <0.1% 0.0 pp
  • Semi-finaleliminated <0.1% 0.0 pp
  • Finalrunner-up <0.1% 0.0 pp
  • Championwins the competition <0.1% 0.0 pp

Most likely end point: League phase.

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons, updated after Matchday 1changes compared with the pre-season forecastmodel outputs, not odds