Sabah

ActiveAZEPot 4UEFA Champions League 2026-27League phase

Fixtures, model forecasts and tournament paths in one place.

Club

OFFICIAL results as of 22 Oct 2026, 05:02 UTCSIMULATION updated after Matchday 3

Season outlook

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons

Expected points: 5.6
Expected league position: 31.4
Top 8 (direct to round of 16): <0.1%
Top 24 (reaches the knockouts): 7.2%

Competition state

DERIVEDLeague phase: 54 of 144 fixtures completed · next up: Matchday 4
OFFICIALThis club: 3 of 8 played · 1 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost
OFFICIALLast result: MD3 · Sabah 1–2 Borussia Dortmund · Lost
Next fixture: MD4 · Wed, 4 Nov 2026 · 21:00 CET · Viking v Sabah

Model inputs

MODEL INPUTwhat the match model is given

Strength rating: 67.5 / 100; BapLab’s rating of the club’s current sporting strength, not an official UEFA ranking. The gap between two clubs’ ratings drives the expected goals in their match.
European pedigree: 1.0 / 5; European history and experience. It nudges effective strength up above 3 and down below 3, a small adjustment next to the rating.
Home advantage: +0.28; Extra expected goal difference in the club’s favour in its home matches.

League-phase fixtures

8 matches · kickoff in Central European time

MD1Thu, 10 Sept 2026 · 21:00 CEST · Away

Manchester United 4–0 Sabah

OFFICIALFull time · Lost

MODELPre-match forecastArchive time unavailable

Home win
90.2%
Draw
7.5%
Away win
2.3%

xG 3.22 – 0.40
MD2Tue, 13 Oct 2026 · 18:45 CEST · Home

Sabah 2–0 Slavia Praha

OFFICIALFull time · Won

MODELPre-match forecastArchived 13 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC

Home win
25.1%
Draw
23.8%
Away win
51.1%

xG 1.13 – 1.72
MD3Tue, 20 Oct 2026 · 18:45 CEST · Home

Sabah 1–2 Borussia Dortmund

OFFICIALFull time · Lost

MODELPre-match forecastArchived 20 Oct 2026, 12:32 UTC

Home win
9.8%
Draw
15.2%
Away win
75.0%

xG 0.84 – 2.59
MD4Wed, 4 Nov 2026 · 21:00 CET · Away

Viking v Sabah

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
50.6%
Draw
24.7%
Away win
24.7%

xG 1.63 – 1.06
MD5Wed, 25 Nov 2026 · 18:45 CET · Home

Sabah v Barcelona

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
5.2%
Draw
10.0%
Away win
84.8%

xG 0.72 – 3.20
MD6Tue, 8 Dec 2026 · 18:45 CET · Away

Villarreal v Sabah

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
71.6%
Draw
17.8%
Away win
10.6%

xG 2.22 – 0.72
MD7Wed, 20 Jan 2027 · 18:45 CET · Home

Sabah v Napoli

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
19.7%
Draw
21.8%
Away win
58.6%

xG 1.03 – 1.94
MD8Wed, 27 Jan 2027 · 21:00 CET · Away

Arsenal v Sabah

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
93.6%
Draw
5.0%
Away win
1.3%

xG 3.64 – 0.34

Home side first. A current forecast can change before kickoff; a completed match keeps its archived pre-match forecast and is never recalculated.

League-phase expectation

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons

Expected points after 8 matches: 5.63; +2.02 vs pre-season
Expected league position 1 is best: 31.41; −2.34 vs pre-season

How far the club gets

reaches at least this stage

Top 8direct to the round of 16 <0.1% 0.0 pp
Top 24reaches the knockout phase 7.2% +4.4 pp
Round of 16 0.7% +0.5 pp
Quarter-final <0.1% 0.0 pp
Semi-final <0.1% 0.0 pp
Final <0.1% 0.0 pp
Champion <0.1% 0.0 pp

Where the season ends

final outcome · sums to 100.0%

League phaseeliminated in the league phase 92.8% −4.4 pp
Knockout play-offeliminated in the play-off 6.5% +3.9 pp
Round of 16eliminated 0.7% +0.5 pp
Quarter-finaleliminated <0.1% 0.0 pp
Semi-finaleliminated <0.1% 0.0 pp
Finalrunner-up <0.1% 0.0 pp
Championwins the competition <0.1% 0.0 pp

Most likely end point: League phase.

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons, updated after Matchday 3changes compared with the pre-season forecast, which also include the rating revision of 22 October 2026model outputs, not odds