BapLab

Slavia Praha

ActiveCZEPot 4UEFA Champions League 2026-27League phase

Fixtures, model forecasts and tournament paths in one place.

OFFICIAL results as of 11 Sept 2026, 16:31 UTCSIMULATION updated after Matchday 1

Season outlook

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons
Expected points
6.4
Expected league position
28.8
Top 8 (direct to round of 16)
0.2%
Top 24 (reaches the knockouts)
21.7%

Competition state

DERIVEDLeague phase
18 of 144 fixtures completed · next up: Matchday 2
OFFICIALThis club
1 of 8 played · 0 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost
OFFICIALLast result
MD1 · Slavia Praha 2–3 Lens · Lost
Next fixture
MD2 · Tue, 13 Oct 2026 · 18:45 CEST · Sabah v Slavia Praha

Model inputs

MODEL INPUTwhat the match model is given
Strength rating
75 / 100
BapLab’s rating of the club’s current sporting strength, not an official UEFA ranking. The gap between two clubs’ ratings drives the expected goals in their match.
European pedigree
3.0 / 5
European history and experience. It nudges effective strength up above 3 and down below 3, a small adjustment next to the rating.
Home advantage
+0.33
Extra expected goal difference in the club’s favour in its home matches.

League-phase fixtures

8 matches · kickoff in Central European time

  • MD1Thu, 10 Sept 2026 · 21:00 CEST · Home

    Slavia Praha 2–3 Lens

    OFFICIALFull time · Lost

    MODELPre-match forecastArchive time unavailable

    Home win
    38.8%
    Draw
    25.7%
    Away win
    35.4%

    xG 1.39 – 1.32

  • MD2Tue, 13 Oct 2026 · 18:45 CEST · Away

    Sabah v Slavia Praha

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    25.1%
    Draw
    23.8%
    Away win
    51.1%

    xG 1.13 – 1.72

  • MD3Tue, 20 Oct 2026 · 18:45 CEST · Away

    Fenerbahçe v Slavia Praha

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    53.7%
    Draw
    24.0%
    Away win
    22.2%

    xG 1.70 – 1.00

  • MD4Wed, 4 Nov 2026 · 21:00 CET · Home

    Slavia Praha v Arsenal

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    11.8%
    Draw
    16.6%
    Away win
    71.6%

    xG 0.90 – 2.46

  • MD5Wed, 25 Nov 2026 · 18:45 CET · Home

    Slavia Praha v Villarreal

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    36.7%
    Draw
    25.7%
    Away win
    37.7%

    xG 1.35 – 1.37

  • MD6Tue, 8 Dec 2026 · 21:00 CET · Away

    Bayern Munich v Slavia Praha

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    87.8%
    Draw
    9.1%
    Away win
    3.1%

    xG 3.00 – 0.44

  • MD7Tue, 19 Jan 2027 · 21:00 CET · Away

    Porto v Slavia Praha

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    62.8%
    Draw
    21.4%
    Away win
    15.7%

    xG 1.92 – 0.84

  • MD8Wed, 27 Jan 2027 · 21:00 CET · Home

    Slavia Praha v Aston Villa

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    23.7%
    Draw
    23.2%
    Away win
    53.1%

    xG 1.12 – 1.79

Home side first. A current forecast can change before kickoff; a completed match keeps its archived pre-match forecast and is never recalculated.

League-phase expectation

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons
Expected points after 8 matches
6.38
−1.40 vs pre-season
Expected league position 1 is best
28.78
+2.52 vs pre-season

How far the club gets

reaches at least this stage
  • Top 8direct to the round of 16 0.2% −1.2 pp
  • Top 24reaches the knockout phase 21.7% −13.9 pp
  • Round of 16 5.3% −4.7 pp
  • Quarter-final 0.6% −0.7 pp
  • Semi-final <0.1% −0.1 pp
  • Final <0.1% 0.0 pp
  • Champion <0.1% 0.0 pp

Where the season ends

final outcome · sums to 100.0%
  • League phaseeliminated in the league phase 78.3% +13.9 pp
  • Knockout play-offeliminated in the play-off 16.4% −9.2 pp
  • Round of 16eliminated 4.7% −4.0 pp
  • Quarter-finaleliminated 0.5% −0.6 pp
  • Semi-finaleliminated <0.1% −0.1 pp
  • Finalrunner-up <0.1% 0.0 pp
  • Championwins the competition <0.1% 0.0 pp

Most likely end point: League phase.

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons, updated after Matchday 1changes compared with the pre-season forecastmodel outputs, not odds