Slavia Praha

ActiveCZEPot 4UEFA Champions League 2026-27League phase

Fixtures, model forecasts and tournament paths in one place.

Club

OFFICIAL results as of 22 Oct 2026, 05:02 UTCSIMULATION updated after Matchday 3

Season outlook

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons

Expected points: 4.4
Expected league position: 32.6
Top 8 (direct to round of 16): <0.1%
Top 24 (reaches the knockouts): 4.2%

Competition state

DERIVEDLeague phase: 54 of 144 fixtures completed · next up: Matchday 4
OFFICIALThis club: 3 of 8 played · 0 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
OFFICIALLast result: MD3 · Fenerbahçe 2–2 Slavia Praha · Drew
Next fixture: MD4 · Wed, 4 Nov 2026 · 21:00 CET · Slavia Praha v Arsenal

Model inputs

MODEL INPUTwhat the match model is given

Strength rating: 73.7 / 100; BapLab’s rating of the club’s current sporting strength, not an official UEFA ranking. The gap between two clubs’ ratings drives the expected goals in their match.
European pedigree: 3.0 / 5; European history and experience. It nudges effective strength up above 3 and down below 3, a small adjustment next to the rating.
Home advantage: +0.33; Extra expected goal difference in the club’s favour in its home matches.

League-phase fixtures

8 matches · kickoff in Central European time

MD1Thu, 10 Sept 2026 · 21:00 CEST · Home

Slavia Praha 2–3 Lens

OFFICIALFull time · Lost

MODELPre-match forecastArchive time unavailable

Home win
38.8%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
35.4%

xG 1.39 – 1.32
MD2Tue, 13 Oct 2026 · 18:45 CEST · Away

Sabah 2–0 Slavia Praha

OFFICIALFull time · Lost

MODELPre-match forecastArchived 13 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC

Home win
25.1%
Draw
23.8%
Away win
51.1%

xG 1.13 – 1.72
MD3Tue, 20 Oct 2026 · 18:45 CEST · Away

Fenerbahçe 2–2 Slavia Praha

OFFICIALFull time · Drew

MODELPre-match forecastArchived 20 Oct 2026, 12:32 UTC

Home win
53.7%
Draw
24.0%
Away win
22.2%

xG 1.70 – 1.00
MD4Wed, 4 Nov 2026 · 21:00 CET · Home

Slavia Praha v Arsenal

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
9.8%
Draw
14.9%
Away win
75.3%

xG 0.85 – 2.63
MD5Wed, 25 Nov 2026 · 18:45 CET · Home

Slavia Praha v Villarreal

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
32.8%
Draw
25.3%
Away win
41.9%

xG 1.28 – 1.48
MD6Tue, 8 Dec 2026 · 21:00 CET · Away

Bayern Munich v Slavia Praha

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
88.1%
Draw
8.9%
Away win
3.0%

xG 3.03 – 0.44
MD7Tue, 19 Jan 2027 · 21:00 CET · Away

Porto v Slavia Praha

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
61.4%
Draw
21.9%
Away win
16.7%

xG 1.88 – 0.86
MD8Wed, 27 Jan 2027 · 21:00 CET · Home

Slavia Praha v Aston Villa

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
20.2%
Draw
21.8%
Away win
58.0%

xG 1.06 – 1.94

Home side first. A current forecast can change before kickoff; a completed match keeps its archived pre-match forecast and is never recalculated.

League-phase expectation

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons

Expected points after 8 matches: 4.39; −3.39 vs pre-season
Expected league position 1 is best: 32.59; +6.32 vs pre-season

How far the club gets

reaches at least this stage

Top 8direct to the round of 16 <0.1% −1.4 pp
Top 24reaches the knockout phase 4.2% −31.4 pp
Round of 16 0.8% −9.2 pp
Quarter-final <0.1% −1.2 pp
Semi-final <0.1% −0.1 pp
Final <0.1% 0.0 pp
Champion <0.1% 0.0 pp

Where the season ends

final outcome · sums to 100.0%

League phaseeliminated in the league phase 95.8% +31.4 pp
Knockout play-offeliminated in the play-off 3.3% −22.2 pp
Round of 16eliminated 0.7% −8.0 pp
Quarter-finaleliminated <0.1% −1.1 pp
Semi-finaleliminated <0.1% −0.1 pp
Finalrunner-up <0.1% 0.0 pp
Championwins the competition <0.1% 0.0 pp

Most likely end point: League phase.

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons, updated after Matchday 3changes compared with the pre-season forecast, which also include the rating revision of 22 October 2026model outputs, not odds