Feyenoord

ActiveNEDPot 3UEFA Champions League 2026-27League phase

Fixtures, model forecasts and tournament paths in one place.

Club

OFFICIAL results as of 11 Sept 2026, 16:31 UTCSIMULATION updated after Matchday 1

Season outlook

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons

Expected points: 8.4
Expected league position: 24.9
Top 8 (direct to round of 16): 1.8%
Top 24 (reaches the knockouts): 43.7%

Competition state

DERIVEDLeague phase: 18 of 144 fixtures completed · next up: Matchday 2
OFFICIALThis club: 1 of 8 played · 0 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost
OFFICIALLast result: MD1 · Barcelona 5–1 Feyenoord · Lost
Next fixture: MD2 · Wed, 14 Oct 2026 · 18:45 CEST · Feyenoord v Como

Model inputs

MODEL INPUTwhat the match model is given

Strength rating: 77 / 100; BapLab’s rating of the club’s current sporting strength, not an official UEFA ranking. The gap between two clubs’ ratings drives the expected goals in their match.
European pedigree: 4.0 / 5; European history and experience. It nudges effective strength up above 3 and down below 3, a small adjustment next to the rating.
Home advantage: +0.34; Extra expected goal difference in the club’s favour in its home matches.

League-phase fixtures

8 matches · kickoff in Central European time

MD1Wed, 9 Sept 2026 · 18:45 CEST · Away

Barcelona 5–1 Feyenoord

OFFICIALFull time · Lost

MODELPre-match forecastArchive time unavailable

Home win
83.4%
Draw
11.7%
Away win
4.8%

xG 2.72 – 0.52
MD2Wed, 14 Oct 2026 · 18:45 CEST · Home

Feyenoord v Como

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
38.5%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
35.8%

xG 1.39 – 1.33
MD3Wed, 21 Oct 2026 · 21:00 CEST · Away

Real Betis v Feyenoord

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
53.3%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
22.6%

xG 1.69 – 1.01
MD4Tue, 3 Nov 2026 · 21:00 CET · Home

Feyenoord v Inter

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
24.4%
Draw
23.4%
Away win
52.2%

xG 1.13 – 1.77
MD5Tue, 24 Nov 2026 · 21:00 CET · Home

Feyenoord v Porto

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
37.0%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
37.4%

xG 1.36 – 1.37
MD6Tue, 8 Dec 2026 · 18:45 CET · Away

Viking v Feyenoord

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
31.9%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
42.9%

xG 1.26 – 1.50
MD7Tue, 19 Jan 2027 · 18:45 CET · Away

Galatasaray v Feyenoord

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
57.7%
Draw
23.1%
Away win
19.2%

xG 1.79 – 0.93
MD8Wed, 27 Jan 2027 · 21:00 CET · Home

Feyenoord v RB Leipzig

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
37.6%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
36.7%

xG 1.37 – 1.35

Home side first. A current forecast can change before kickoff; a completed match keeps its archived pre-match forecast and is never recalculated.

League-phase expectation

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons

Expected points after 8 matches: 8.40; −0.26 vs pre-season
Expected league position 1 is best: 24.86; +0.67 vs pre-season

How far the club gets

reaches at least this stage

Top 8direct to the round of 16 1.8% −1.3 pp
Top 24reaches the knockout phase 43.7% −3.2 pp
Round of 16 14.7% −1.8 pp
Quarter-final 2.1% −0.6 pp
Semi-final 0.3% −0.1 pp
Final <0.1% 0.0 pp
Champion <0.1% 0.0 pp

Where the season ends

final outcome · sums to 100.0%

League phaseeliminated in the league phase 56.3% +3.2 pp
Knockout play-offeliminated in the play-off 29.0% −1.4 pp
Round of 16eliminated 12.6% −1.1 pp
Quarter-finaleliminated 1.8% −0.5 pp
Semi-finaleliminated 0.3% −0.1 pp
Finalrunner-up <0.1% 0.0 pp
Championwins the competition <0.1% 0.0 pp

Most likely end point: League phase.

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons, updated after Matchday 1changes compared with the pre-season forecastmodel outputs, not odds