Feyenoord

ActiveNEDPot 3UEFA Champions League 2026-27League phase

Fixtures, model forecasts and tournament paths in one place.

Club

OFFICIAL results as of 22 Oct 2026, 05:02 UTCSIMULATION updated after Matchday 3

Season outlook

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons

Expected points: 9.2
Expected league position: 23.4
Top 8 (direct to round of 16): 1.3%
Top 24 (reaches the knockouts): 52.9%

Competition state

DERIVEDLeague phase: 54 of 144 fixtures completed · next up: Matchday 4
OFFICIALThis club: 3 of 8 played · 1 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost
OFFICIALLast result: MD3 · Real Betis 1–0 Feyenoord · Lost
Next fixture: MD4 · Tue, 3 Nov 2026 · 21:00 CET · Feyenoord v Inter

Model inputs

MODEL INPUTwhat the match model is given

Strength rating: 76.9 / 100; BapLab’s rating of the club’s current sporting strength, not an official UEFA ranking. The gap between two clubs’ ratings drives the expected goals in their match.
European pedigree: 4.0 / 5; European history and experience. It nudges effective strength up above 3 and down below 3, a small adjustment next to the rating.
Home advantage: +0.34; Extra expected goal difference in the club’s favour in its home matches.

League-phase fixtures

8 matches · kickoff in Central European time

MD1Wed, 9 Sept 2026 · 18:45 CEST · Away

Barcelona 5–1 Feyenoord

OFFICIALFull time · Lost

MODELPre-match forecastArchive time unavailable

Home win
83.4%
Draw
11.7%
Away win
4.8%

xG 2.72 – 0.52
MD2Wed, 14 Oct 2026 · 18:45 CEST · Home

Feyenoord 3–2 Como

OFFICIALFull time · Won

MODELPre-match forecastArchived 13 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC

Home win
38.5%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
35.8%

xG 1.39 – 1.33
MD3Wed, 21 Oct 2026 · 21:00 CEST · Away

Real Betis 1–0 Feyenoord

OFFICIALFull time · Lost

MODELPre-match forecastArchived 20 Oct 2026, 12:32 UTC

Home win
53.3%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
22.6%

xG 1.69 – 1.01
MD4Tue, 3 Nov 2026 · 21:00 CET · Home

Feyenoord v Inter

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
26.1%
Draw
23.9%
Away win
50.0%

xG 1.16 – 1.70
MD5Tue, 24 Nov 2026 · 21:00 CET · Home

Feyenoord v Porto

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
40.5%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
33.8%

xG 1.43 – 1.28
MD6Tue, 8 Dec 2026 · 18:45 CET · Away

Viking v Feyenoord

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
32.7%
Draw
25.3%
Away win
42.0%

xG 1.28 – 1.48
MD7Tue, 19 Jan 2027 · 18:45 CET · Away

Galatasaray v Feyenoord

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
57.5%
Draw
23.1%
Away win
19.4%

xG 1.78 – 0.93
MD8Wed, 27 Jan 2027 · 21:00 CET · Home

Feyenoord v RB Leipzig

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
38.1%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
36.2%

xG 1.38 – 1.34

Home side first. A current forecast can change before kickoff; a completed match keeps its archived pre-match forecast and is never recalculated.

League-phase expectation

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons

Expected points after 8 matches: 9.22; +0.56 vs pre-season
Expected league position 1 is best: 23.43; −0.76 vs pre-season

How far the club gets

reaches at least this stage

Top 8direct to the round of 16 1.3% −1.8 pp
Top 24reaches the knockout phase 52.9% +6.0 pp
Round of 16 17.1% +0.7 pp
Quarter-final 2.3% −0.5 pp
Semi-final 0.3% −0.1 pp
Final <0.1% 0.0 pp
Champion <0.1% 0.0 pp

Where the season ends

final outcome · sums to 100.0%

League phaseeliminated in the league phase 47.1% −6.0 pp
Knockout play-offeliminated in the play-off 35.8% +5.3 pp
Round of 16eliminated 14.9% +1.2 pp
Quarter-finaleliminated 2.0% −0.4 pp
Semi-finaleliminated 0.2% −0.1 pp
Finalrunner-up <0.1% 0.0 pp
Championwins the competition <0.1% 0.0 pp

Most likely end point: League phase.

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons, updated after Matchday 3changes compared with the pre-season forecast, which also include the rating revision of 22 October 2026model outputs, not odds