BapLab

Real Betis

ActiveESPPot 2UEFA Champions League 2026-27League phase

Fixtures, model forecasts and tournament paths in one place.

OFFICIAL results as of 11 Sept 2026, 16:31 UTCSIMULATION updated after Matchday 1

Season outlook

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons
Expected points
11.5
Expected league position
17.9
Top 8 (direct to round of 16)
9.8%
Top 24 (reaches the knockouts)
80.0%

Competition state

DERIVEDLeague phase
18 of 144 fixtures completed · next up: Matchday 2
OFFICIALThis club
1 of 8 played · 1 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost
OFFICIALLast result
MD1 · Lille 2–3 Real Betis · Won
Next fixture
MD2 · Wed, 14 Oct 2026 · 21:00 CEST · Real Betis v Porto

Model inputs

MODEL INPUTwhat the match model is given
Strength rating
81 / 100
BapLab’s rating of the club’s current sporting strength, not an official UEFA ranking. The gap between two clubs’ ratings drives the expected goals in their match.
European pedigree
2.5 / 5
European history and experience. It nudges effective strength up above 3 and down below 3, a small adjustment next to the rating.
Home advantage
+0.30
Extra expected goal difference in the club’s favour in its home matches.

League-phase fixtures

8 matches · kickoff in Central European time

  • MD1Tue, 8 Sept 2026 · 21:00 CEST · Away

    Lille 2–3 Real Betis

    OFFICIALFull time · Won

    MODELPre-match forecastArchive time unavailable

    Home win
    45.9%
    Draw
    25.4%
    Away win
    28.8%

    xG 1.53 – 1.16

  • MD2Wed, 14 Oct 2026 · 21:00 CEST · Home

    Real Betis v Porto

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    42.1%
    Draw
    25.7%
    Away win
    32.2%

    xG 1.45 – 1.24

  • MD3Wed, 21 Oct 2026 · 21:00 CEST · Home

    Real Betis v Feyenoord

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    53.3%
    Draw
    24.1%
    Away win
    22.6%

    xG 1.69 – 1.01

  • MD4Wed, 4 Nov 2026 · 21:00 CET · Away

    Borussia Dortmund v Real Betis

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    61.8%
    Draw
    21.8%
    Away win
    16.4%

    xG 1.89 – 0.85

  • MD5Tue, 24 Nov 2026 · 21:00 CET · Away

    Slovan Bratislava v Real Betis

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    24.6%
    Draw
    23.6%
    Away win
    51.8%

    xG 1.13 – 1.74

  • MD6Wed, 9 Dec 2026 · 18:45 CET · Home

    Real Betis v Como

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    43.7%
    Draw
    25.6%
    Away win
    30.8%

    xG 1.49 – 1.21

  • MD7Wed, 20 Jan 2027 · 21:00 CET · Home

    Real Betis v Arsenal

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    17.4%
    Draw
    20.5%
    Away win
    62.1%

    xG 1.00 – 2.07

  • MD8Wed, 27 Jan 2027 · 21:00 CET · Away

    Bayern Munich v Real Betis

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    80.8%
    Draw
    13.3%
    Away win
    5.9%

    xG 2.58 – 0.56

Home side first. A current forecast can change before kickoff; a completed match keeps its archived pre-match forecast and is never recalculated.

League-phase expectation

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons
Expected points after 8 matches
11.46
+1.88 vs pre-season
Expected league position 1 is best
17.94
−4.14 vs pre-season

How far the club gets

reaches at least this stage
  • Top 8direct to the round of 16 9.8% +4.7 pp
  • Top 24reaches the knockout phase 80.0% +21.9 pp
  • Round of 16 38.5% +12.4 pp
  • Quarter-final 8.1% +2.3 pp
  • Semi-final 1.5% +0.3 pp
  • Final 0.2% +0.1 pp
  • Champion <0.1% 0.0 pp

Where the season ends

final outcome · sums to 100.0%
  • League phaseeliminated in the league phase 20.0% −21.9 pp
  • Knockout play-offeliminated in the play-off 41.5% +9.4 pp
  • Round of 16eliminated 30.3% +10.1 pp
  • Quarter-finaleliminated 6.6% +2.0 pp
  • Semi-finaleliminated 1.3% +0.2 pp
  • Finalrunner-up 0.2% +0.1 pp
  • Championwins the competition <0.1% 0.0 pp

Most likely end point: Knockout play-off.

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons, updated after Matchday 1changes compared with the pre-season forecastmodel outputs, not odds