Real Betis

ActiveESPPot 2UEFA Champions League 2026-27League phase

Fixtures, model forecasts and tournament paths in one place.

Club

OFFICIAL results as of 22 Oct 2026, 05:02 UTCSIMULATION updated after Matchday 3

Season outlook

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons

Expected points: 14.5
Expected league position: 11.4
Top 8 (direct to round of 16): 31.6%
Top 24 (reaches the knockouts): 99.1%

Competition state

DERIVEDLeague phase: 54 of 144 fixtures completed · next up: Matchday 4
OFFICIALThis club: 3 of 8 played · 3 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost
OFFICIALLast result: MD3 · Real Betis 1–0 Feyenoord · Won
Next fixture: MD4 · Wed, 4 Nov 2026 · 21:00 CET · Borussia Dortmund v Real Betis

Model inputs

MODEL INPUTwhat the match model is given

Strength rating: 83.0 / 100; BapLab’s rating of the club’s current sporting strength, not an official UEFA ranking. The gap between two clubs’ ratings drives the expected goals in their match.
European pedigree: 2.5 / 5; European history and experience. It nudges effective strength up above 3 and down below 3, a small adjustment next to the rating.
Home advantage: +0.30; Extra expected goal difference in the club’s favour in its home matches.

League-phase fixtures

8 matches · kickoff in Central European time

MD1Tue, 8 Sept 2026 · 21:00 CEST · Away

Lille 2–3 Real Betis

OFFICIALFull time · Won

MODELPre-match forecastArchive time unavailable

Home win
45.9%
Draw
25.4%
Away win
28.8%

xG 1.53 – 1.16
MD2Wed, 14 Oct 2026 · 21:00 CEST · Home

Real Betis 3–2 Porto

OFFICIALFull time · Won

MODELPre-match forecastArchived 13 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC

Home win
42.1%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
32.2%

xG 1.45 – 1.24
MD3Wed, 21 Oct 2026 · 21:00 CEST · Home

Real Betis 1–0 Feyenoord

OFFICIALFull time · Won

MODELPre-match forecastArchived 20 Oct 2026, 12:32 UTC

Home win
53.3%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
22.6%

xG 1.69 – 1.01
MD4Wed, 4 Nov 2026 · 21:00 CET · Away

Borussia Dortmund v Real Betis

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
58.0%
Draw
23.0%
Away win
19.1%

xG 1.80 – 0.92
MD5Tue, 24 Nov 2026 · 21:00 CET · Away

Slovan Bratislava v Real Betis

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
20.5%
Draw
22.1%
Away win
57.5%

xG 1.05 – 1.91
MD6Wed, 9 Dec 2026 · 18:45 CET · Home

Real Betis v Como

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
45.8%
Draw
25.4%
Away win
28.8%

xG 1.53 – 1.16
MD7Wed, 20 Jan 2027 · 21:00 CET · Home

Real Betis v Arsenal

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
18.6%
Draw
21.2%
Away win
60.2%

xG 1.02 – 2.01
MD8Wed, 27 Jan 2027 · 21:00 CET · Away

Bayern Munich v Real Betis

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
76.6%
Draw
15.5%
Away win
7.9%

xG 2.38 – 0.63

Home side first. A current forecast can change before kickoff; a completed match keeps its archived pre-match forecast and is never recalculated.

League-phase expectation

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons

Expected points after 8 matches: 14.54; +4.96 vs pre-season
Expected league position 1 is best: 11.41; −10.67 vs pre-season

How far the club gets

reaches at least this stage

Top 8direct to the round of 16 31.6% +26.4 pp
Top 24reaches the knockout phase 99.1% +41.0 pp
Round of 16 66.1% +40.1 pp
Quarter-final 19.6% +13.7 pp
Semi-final 3.9% +2.7 pp
Final 0.7% +0.5 pp
Champion 0.2% +0.1 pp

Where the season ends

final outcome · sums to 100.0%

League phaseeliminated in the league phase 0.9% −41.0 pp
Knockout play-offeliminated in the play-off 33.0% +0.9 pp
Round of 16eliminated 46.5% +26.3 pp
Quarter-finaleliminated 15.6% +11.0 pp
Semi-finaleliminated 3.2% +2.2 pp
Finalrunner-up 0.5% +0.4 pp
Championwins the competition 0.2% +0.1 pp

Most likely end point: Round of 16.

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons, updated after Matchday 3changes compared with the pre-season forecast, which also include the rating revision of 22 October 2026model outputs, not odds