BapLab

Como

ActiveITAPot 4UEFA Champions League 2026-27League phase

Fixtures, model forecasts and tournament paths in one place.

OFFICIAL results as of 11 Sept 2026, 16:31 UTCSIMULATION updated after Matchday 1

Season outlook

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons
Expected points
10.9
Expected league position
18.8
Top 8 (direct to round of 16)
8.5%
Top 24 (reaches the knockouts)
75.9%

Competition state

DERIVEDLeague phase
18 of 144 fixtures completed · next up: Matchday 2
OFFICIALThis club
1 of 8 played · 1 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost
OFFICIALLast result
MD1 · Como 4–1 RB Leipzig · Won
Next fixture
MD2 · Wed, 14 Oct 2026 · 18:45 CEST · Feyenoord v Como

Model inputs

MODEL INPUTwhat the match model is given
Strength rating
83 / 100
BapLab’s rating of the club’s current sporting strength, not an official UEFA ranking. The gap between two clubs’ ratings drives the expected goals in their match.
European pedigree
1.0 / 5
European history and experience. It nudges effective strength up above 3 and down below 3, a small adjustment next to the rating.
Home advantage
+0.23
Extra expected goal difference in the club’s favour in its home matches.

League-phase fixtures

8 matches · kickoff in Central European time

  • MD1Thu, 10 Sept 2026 · 21:00 CEST · Home

    Como 4–1 RB Leipzig

    OFFICIALFull time · Won

    MODELPre-match forecastArchive time unavailable

    Home win
    43.4%
    Draw
    25.6%
    Away win
    31.0%

    xG 1.48 – 1.21

  • MD2Wed, 14 Oct 2026 · 18:45 CEST · Away

    Feyenoord v Como

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    38.5%
    Draw
    25.7%
    Away win
    35.8%

    xG 1.39 – 1.33

  • MD3Wed, 21 Oct 2026 · 18:45 CEST · Home

    Como v Manchester United

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    29.3%
    Draw
    25.0%
    Away win
    45.7%

    xG 1.20 – 1.57

  • MD4Wed, 4 Nov 2026 · 21:00 CET · Away

    Lens v Como

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    43.1%
    Draw
    25.6%
    Away win
    31.3%

    xG 1.48 – 1.22

  • MD5Tue, 24 Nov 2026 · 21:00 CET · Home

    Como v AEK Athens

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    58.3%
    Draw
    22.8%
    Away win
    18.9%

    xG 1.82 – 0.93

  • MD6Wed, 9 Dec 2026 · 18:45 CET · Away

    Real Betis v Como

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    43.7%
    Draw
    25.6%
    Away win
    30.8%

    xG 1.49 – 1.21

  • MD7Wed, 20 Jan 2027 · 21:00 CET · Home

    Como v Paris Saint-Germain

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    16.2%
    Draw
    20.1%
    Away win
    63.7%

    xG 0.96 – 2.10

  • MD8Wed, 27 Jan 2027 · 21:00 CET · Away

    Barcelona v Como

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    76.2%
    Draw
    15.7%
    Away win
    8.1%

    xG 2.38 – 0.63

Home side first. A current forecast can change before kickoff; a completed match keeps its archived pre-match forecast and is never recalculated.

League-phase expectation

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons
Expected points after 8 matches
10.90
+1.44 vs pre-season
Expected league position 1 is best
18.78
−3.53 vs pre-season

How far the club gets

reaches at least this stage
  • Top 8direct to the round of 16 8.5% +3.5 pp
  • Top 24reaches the knockout phase 75.9% +19.1 pp
  • Round of 16 37.6% +11.2 pp
  • Quarter-final 8.7% +2.3 pp
  • Semi-final 1.8% +0.4 pp
  • Final 0.3% +0.1 pp
  • Champion <0.1% 0.0 pp

Where the season ends

final outcome · sums to 100.0%
  • League phaseeliminated in the league phase 24.1% −19.1 pp
  • Knockout play-offeliminated in the play-off 38.3% +7.9 pp
  • Round of 16eliminated 28.9% +8.9 pp
  • Quarter-finaleliminated 7.0% +1.9 pp
  • Semi-finaleliminated 1.5% +0.3 pp
  • Finalrunner-up 0.2% 0.0 pp
  • Championwins the competition <0.1% 0.0 pp

Most likely end point: Knockout play-off.

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons, updated after Matchday 1changes compared with the pre-season forecastmodel outputs, not odds