Slovan Bratislava
Fixtures, model forecasts and tournament paths in one place.
OFFICIAL results as of 11 Sept 2026, 16:31 UTCSIMULATION updated after Matchday 1
Season outlook
SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons- Expected points
- 5.6
- Expected league position
- 30.6
- Top 8 (direct to round of 16)
- 0.1%
- Top 24 (reaches the knockouts)
- 13.4%
Competition state
- DERIVEDLeague phase
- 18 of 144 fixtures completed · next up: Matchday 2
- OFFICIALThis club
- 1 of 8 played · 0 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost
- OFFICIALLast result
- MD1 · Paris Saint-Germain 6–1 Slovan Bratislava · Lost
- Next fixture
- MD2 · Wed, 14 Oct 2026 · 21:00 CEST · Slovan Bratislava v Stuttgart
Model inputs
MODEL INPUTwhat the match model is given- Strength rating
- 68 / 100
- BapLab’s rating of the club’s current sporting strength, not an official UEFA ranking. The gap between two clubs’ ratings drives the expected goals in their match.
- European pedigree
- 2.5 / 5
- European history and experience. It nudges effective strength up above 3 and down below 3, a small adjustment next to the rating.
- Home advantage
- +0.29
- Extra expected goal difference in the club’s favour in its home matches.
League-phase fixtures
8 matches · kickoff in Central European time-
MD1Wed, 9 Sept 2026 · 21:00 CEST · Away
Paris Saint-Germain 6–1 Slovan Bratislava
OFFICIALFull time · Lost
MODELPre-match forecastArchive time unavailable
- Home win
- 93.1%
- Draw
- 5.4%
- Away win
- 1.4%
xG 3.58 – 0.36
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 23.0%
- Draw
- 23.1%
- Away win
- 53.9%
xG 1.10 – 1.80
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 75.5%
- Draw
- 16.1%
- Away win
- 8.4%
xG 2.34 – 0.64
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 49.4%
- Draw
- 24.9%
- Away win
- 25.7%
xG 1.60 – 1.09
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 24.6%
- Draw
- 23.6%
- Away win
- 51.8%
xG 1.13 – 1.74
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 30.1%
- Draw
- 25.0%
- Away win
- 44.9%
xG 1.23 – 1.55
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 69.2%
- Draw
- 18.9%
- Away win
- 11.9%
xG 2.13 – 0.75
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 12.1%
- Draw
- 17.1%
- Away win
- 70.8%
xG 0.89 – 2.40
Home side first. A current forecast can change before kickoff; a completed match keeps its archived pre-match forecast and is never recalculated.
League-phase expectation
SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons- Expected points after 8 matches
- 5.56
- −0.10 vs pre-season
- Expected league position 1 is best
- 30.63
- +0.15 vs pre-season
How far the club gets
reaches at least this stage- Top 8direct to the round of 16 0.1% −0.1 pp
- Top 24reaches the knockout phase 13.4% −0.8 pp
- Round of 16 1.7% −0.2 pp
- Quarter-final <0.1% 0.0 pp
- Semi-final <0.1% 0.0 pp
- Final <0.1% 0.0 pp
- Champion <0.1% 0.0 pp
Where the season ends
final outcome · sums to 100.0%- League phaseeliminated in the league phase 86.6% +0.8 pp
- Knockout play-offeliminated in the play-off 11.7% −0.7 pp
- Round of 16eliminated 1.7% −0.1 pp
- Quarter-finaleliminated <0.1% 0.0 pp
- Semi-finaleliminated <0.1% 0.0 pp
- Finalrunner-up <0.1% 0.0 pp
- Championwins the competition <0.1% 0.0 pp
Most likely end point: League phase.
SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons, updated after Matchday 1changes compared with the pre-season forecastmodel outputs, not odds