Slovan Bratislava
Fixtures, model forecasts and tournament paths in one place.
OFFICIAL results as of 22 Oct 2026, 05:02 UTCSIMULATION updated after Matchday 3
Season outlook
SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons- Expected points
- 4.0
- Expected league position
- 33.5
- Top 8 (direct to round of 16)
- <0.1%
- Top 24 (reaches the knockouts)
- 3.4%
Competition state
- DERIVEDLeague phase
- 54 of 144 fixtures completed · next up: Matchday 4
- OFFICIALThis club
- 3 of 8 played · 0 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost
- OFFICIALLast result
- MD3 · Roma 4–0 Slovan Bratislava · Lost
- Next fixture
- MD4 · Tue, 3 Nov 2026 · 21:00 CET · LASK v Slovan Bratislava
Model inputs
MODEL INPUTwhat the match model is given- Strength rating
- 67.0 / 100
- BapLab’s rating of the club’s current sporting strength, not an official UEFA ranking. The gap between two clubs’ ratings drives the expected goals in their match.
- European pedigree
- 2.5 / 5
- European history and experience. It nudges effective strength up above 3 and down below 3, a small adjustment next to the rating.
- Home advantage
- +0.29
- Extra expected goal difference in the club’s favour in its home matches.
League-phase fixtures
8 matches · kickoff in Central European time-
MD1Wed, 9 Sept 2026 · 21:00 CEST · Away
Paris Saint-Germain 6–1 Slovan Bratislava
OFFICIALFull time · Lost
MODELPre-match forecastArchive time unavailable
- Home win
- 93.1%
- Draw
- 5.4%
- Away win
- 1.4%
xG 3.58 – 0.36
-
MODELPre-match forecastArchived 13 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC
- Home win
- 23.0%
- Draw
- 23.1%
- Away win
- 53.9%
xG 1.10 – 1.80
-
MODELPre-match forecastArchived 20 Oct 2026, 12:32 UTC
- Home win
- 75.5%
- Draw
- 16.1%
- Away win
- 8.4%
xG 2.34 – 0.64
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 52.1%
- Draw
- 24.3%
- Away win
- 23.5%
xG 1.67 – 1.03
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 20.5%
- Draw
- 22.1%
- Away win
- 57.5%
xG 1.05 – 1.91
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 27.6%
- Draw
- 24.5%
- Away win
- 47.9%
xG 1.18 – 1.64
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 67.7%
- Draw
- 19.5%
- Away win
- 12.8%
xG 2.08 – 0.77
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 12.4%
- Draw
- 17.3%
- Away win
- 70.4%
xG 0.90 – 2.38
Home side first. A current forecast can change before kickoff; a completed match keeps its archived pre-match forecast and is never recalculated.
League-phase expectation
SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons- Expected points after 8 matches
- 3.98
- −1.68 vs pre-season
- Expected league position 1 is best
- 33.54
- +3.05 vs pre-season
How far the club gets
reaches at least this stage- Top 8direct to the round of 16 <0.1% −0.2 pp
- Top 24reaches the knockout phase 3.4% −10.9 pp
- Round of 16 0.3% −1.6 pp
- Quarter-final <0.1% −0.1 pp
- Semi-final <0.1% 0.0 pp
- Final <0.1% 0.0 pp
- Champion <0.1% 0.0 pp
Where the season ends
final outcome · sums to 100.0%- League phaseeliminated in the league phase 96.6% +10.9 pp
- Knockout play-offeliminated in the play-off 3.0% −9.3 pp
- Round of 16eliminated 0.3% −1.5 pp
- Quarter-finaleliminated <0.1% −0.1 pp
- Semi-finaleliminated <0.1% 0.0 pp
- Finalrunner-up <0.1% 0.0 pp
- Championwins the competition <0.1% 0.0 pp
Most likely end point: League phase.
SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons, updated after Matchday 3changes compared with the pre-season forecast, which also include the rating revision of 22 October 2026model outputs, not odds