Inter

ActiveITAPot 1UEFA Champions League 2026-27League phase

Fixtures, model forecasts and tournament paths in one place.

Club

OFFICIAL results as of 11 Sept 2026, 16:31 UTCSIMULATION updated after Matchday 1

Season outlook

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons

Expected points: 13.5
Expected league position: 12.8
Top 8 (direct to round of 16): 30.3%
Top 24 (reaches the knockouts): 93.5%

Competition state

DERIVEDLeague phase: 18 of 144 fixtures completed · next up: Matchday 2
OFFICIALThis club: 1 of 8 played · 0 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost
OFFICIALLast result: MD1 · Real Madrid 2–1 Inter · Lost
Next fixture: MD2 · Tue, 13 Oct 2026 · 21:00 CEST · Inter v Club Brugge

Model inputs

MODEL INPUTwhat the match model is given

Strength rating: 89 / 100; BapLab’s rating of the club’s current sporting strength, not an official UEFA ranking. The gap between two clubs’ ratings drives the expected goals in their match.
European pedigree: 5.0 / 5; European history and experience. It nudges effective strength up above 3 and down below 3, a small adjustment next to the rating.
Home advantage: +0.29; Extra expected goal difference in the club’s favour in its home matches.

League-phase fixtures

8 matches · kickoff in Central European time

MD1Tue, 8 Sept 2026 · 21:00 CEST · Away

Real Madrid 2–1 Inter

OFFICIALFull time · Lost

MODELPre-match forecastArchive time unavailable

Home win
58.8%
Draw
22.7%
Away win
18.5%

xG 1.82 – 0.92
MD2Tue, 13 Oct 2026 · 21:00 CEST · Home

Inter v Club Brugge

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
66.5%
Draw
20.0%
Away win
13.5%

xG 2.04 – 0.79
MD3Wed, 21 Oct 2026 · 21:00 CEST · Home

Inter v Shakhtar Donetsk

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
71.3%
Draw
18.0%
Away win
10.7%

xG 2.19 – 0.71
MD4Tue, 3 Nov 2026 · 21:00 CET · Away

Feyenoord v Inter

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
24.4%
Draw
23.4%
Away win
52.2%

xG 1.13 – 1.77
MD5Wed, 25 Nov 2026 · 21:00 CET · Home

Inter v Stuttgart

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
63.2%
Draw
21.3%
Away win
15.5%

xG 1.94 – 0.84
MD6Wed, 9 Dec 2026 · 21:00 CET · Away

Borussia Dortmund v Inter

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
42.8%
Draw
25.6%
Away win
31.6%

xG 1.47 – 1.23
MD7Tue, 19 Jan 2027 · 21:00 CET · Home

Inter v Liverpool

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
43.7%
Draw
25.6%
Away win
30.7%

xG 1.49 – 1.20
MD8Wed, 27 Jan 2027 · 21:00 CET · Away

Slovan Bratislava v Inter

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
12.1%
Draw
17.1%
Away win
70.8%

xG 0.89 – 2.40

Home side first. A current forecast can change before kickoff; a completed match keeps its archived pre-match forecast and is never recalculated.

League-phase expectation

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons

Expected points after 8 matches: 13.50; −0.77 vs pre-season
Expected league position 1 is best: 12.78; +1.54 vs pre-season

How far the club gets

reaches at least this stage

Top 8direct to the round of 16 30.3% −11.1 pp
Top 24reaches the knockout phase 93.5% −1.2 pp
Round of 16 74.4% −4.1 pp
Quarter-final 35.9% −4.5 pp
Semi-final 14.5% −2.2 pp
Final 5.1% −1.0 pp
Champion 1.9% −0.4 pp

Where the season ends

final outcome · sums to 100.0%

League phaseeliminated in the league phase 6.5% +1.2 pp
Knockout play-offeliminated in the play-off 19.1% +2.9 pp
Round of 16eliminated 38.5% +0.4 pp
Quarter-finaleliminated 21.4% −2.3 pp
Semi-finaleliminated 9.4% −1.2 pp
Finalrunner-up 3.2% −0.6 pp
Championwins the competition 1.9% −0.4 pp

Most likely end point: Round of 16.

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons, updated after Matchday 1changes compared with the pre-season forecastmodel outputs, not odds