Club Brugge
Fixtures, model forecasts and tournament paths in one place.
OFFICIAL results as of 11 Sept 2026, 16:31 UTCSIMULATION updated after Matchday 1
Season outlook
SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons- Expected points
- 8.0
- Expected league position
- 25.0
- Top 8 (direct to round of 16)
- 1.6%
- Top 24 (reaches the knockouts)
- 42.4%
Competition state
- DERIVEDLeague phase
- 18 of 144 fixtures completed · next up: Matchday 2
- OFFICIALThis club
- 1 of 8 played · 0 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost
- OFFICIALLast result
- MD1 · Club Brugge 2–3 Aston Villa · Lost
- Next fixture
- MD2 · Tue, 13 Oct 2026 · 21:00 CEST · Inter v Club Brugge
Model inputs
MODEL INPUTwhat the match model is given- Strength rating
- 80 / 100
- BapLab’s rating of the club’s current sporting strength, not an official UEFA ranking. The gap between two clubs’ ratings drives the expected goals in their match.
- European pedigree
- 3.5 / 5
- European history and experience. It nudges effective strength up above 3 and down below 3, a small adjustment next to the rating.
- Home advantage
- +0.31
- Extra expected goal difference in the club’s favour in its home matches.
League-phase fixtures
8 matches · kickoff in Central European time-
MODELPre-match forecastArchive time unavailable
- Home win
- 30.9%
- Draw
- 25.1%
- Away win
- 44.0%
xG 1.24 – 1.54
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 66.5%
- Draw
- 20.0%
- Away win
- 13.5%
xG 2.04 – 0.79
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 47.4%
- Draw
- 25.2%
- Away win
- 27.4%
xG 1.56 – 1.13
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 51.2%
- Draw
- 24.6%
- Away win
- 24.3%
xG 1.64 – 1.05
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 25.7%
- Draw
- 23.9%
- Away win
- 50.3%
xG 1.15 – 1.71
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 54.3%
- Draw
- 23.9%
- Away win
- 21.8%
xG 1.71 – 0.99
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 50.0%
- Draw
- 24.8%
- Away win
- 25.2%
xG 1.62 – 1.07
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 54.7%
- Draw
- 23.8%
- Away win
- 21.5%
xG 1.72 – 0.98
Home side first. A current forecast can change before kickoff; a completed match keeps its archived pre-match forecast and is never recalculated.
League-phase expectation
SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons- Expected points after 8 matches
- 8.05
- −1.16 vs pre-season
- Expected league position 1 is best
- 25.05
- +2.24 vs pre-season
How far the club gets
reaches at least this stage- Top 8direct to the round of 16 1.6% −3.1 pp
- Top 24reaches the knockout phase 42.4% −11.6 pp
- Round of 16 16.2% −7.0 pp
- Quarter-final 2.9% −2.0 pp
- Semi-final 0.5% −0.3 pp
- Final <0.1% 0.0 pp
- Champion <0.1% 0.0 pp
Where the season ends
final outcome · sums to 100.0%- League phaseeliminated in the league phase 57.6% +11.6 pp
- Knockout play-offeliminated in the play-off 26.1% −4.6 pp
- Round of 16eliminated 13.3% −5.0 pp
- Quarter-finaleliminated 2.4% −1.6 pp
- Semi-finaleliminated 0.4% −0.3 pp
- Finalrunner-up <0.1% 0.0 pp
- Championwins the competition <0.1% 0.0 pp
Most likely end point: League phase.
SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons, updated after Matchday 1changes compared with the pre-season forecastmodel outputs, not odds