Bodø/Glimt

ActiveNORPot 3UEFA Champions League 2026-27League phase

Fixtures, model forecasts and tournament paths in one place.

Club

OFFICIAL results as of 11 Sept 2026, 16:31 UTCSIMULATION updated after Matchday 1

Season outlook

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons

Expected points: 7.8
Expected league position: 26.4
Top 8 (direct to round of 16): 1.0%
Top 24 (reaches the knockouts): 34.9%

Competition state

DERIVEDLeague phase: 18 of 144 fixtures completed · next up: Matchday 2
OFFICIALThis club: 1 of 8 played · 0 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost
OFFICIALLast result: MD1 · Bayern Munich 5–0 Bodø/Glimt · Lost
Next fixture: MD2 · Wed, 14 Oct 2026 · 21:00 CEST · Bodø/Glimt v Borussia Dortmund

Model inputs

MODEL INPUTwhat the match model is given

Strength rating: 76 / 100; BapLab’s rating of the club’s current sporting strength, not an official UEFA ranking. The gap between two clubs’ ratings drives the expected goals in their match.
European pedigree: 2.5 / 5; European history and experience. It nudges effective strength up above 3 and down below 3, a small adjustment next to the rating.
Home advantage: +0.33; Extra expected goal difference in the club’s favour in its home matches.

League-phase fixtures

8 matches · kickoff in Central European time

MD1Thu, 10 Sept 2026 · 21:00 CEST · Away

Bayern Munich 5–0 Bodø/Glimt

OFFICIALFull time · Lost

MODELPre-match forecastArchive time unavailable

Home win
86.8%
Draw
9.7%
Away win
3.5%

xG 2.93 – 0.46
MD2Wed, 14 Oct 2026 · 21:00 CEST · Home

Bodø/Glimt v Borussia Dortmund

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
26.5%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
49.5%

xG 1.17 – 1.69
MD3Tue, 20 Oct 2026 · 21:00 CEST · Away

Napoli v Bodø/Glimt

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
62.0%
Draw
21.7%
Away win
16.3%

xG 1.90 – 0.86
MD4Tue, 3 Nov 2026 · 21:00 CET · Home

Bodø/Glimt v Lille

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
38.4%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
35.9%

xG 1.39 – 1.33
MD5Tue, 24 Nov 2026 · 18:45 CET · Home

Bodø/Glimt v LASK

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
58.8%
Draw
22.7%
Away win
18.5%

xG 1.82 – 0.91
MD6Wed, 9 Dec 2026 · 21:00 CET · Away

Lens v Bodø/Glimt

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
55.2%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
21.1%

xG 1.73 – 0.97
MD7Tue, 19 Jan 2027 · 18:45 CET · Home

Bodø/Glimt v Atlético Madrid

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
22.4%
Draw
22.8%
Away win
54.8%

xG 1.10 – 1.84
MD8Wed, 27 Jan 2027 · 21:00 CET · Away

Club Brugge v Bodø/Glimt

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
54.7%
Draw
23.8%
Away win
21.5%

xG 1.72 – 0.98

Home side first. A current forecast can change before kickoff; a completed match keeps its archived pre-match forecast and is never recalculated.

League-phase expectation

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons

Expected points after 8 matches: 7.79; −0.21 vs pre-season
Expected league position 1 is best: 26.41; +0.70 vs pre-season

How far the club gets

reaches at least this stage

Top 8direct to the round of 16 1.0% −0.8 pp
Top 24reaches the knockout phase 34.9% −3.6 pp
Round of 16 9.9% −1.6 pp
Quarter-final 1.2% −0.4 pp
Semi-final 0.1% −0.1 pp
Final <0.1% 0.0 pp
Champion <0.1% 0.0 pp

Where the season ends

final outcome · sums to 100.0%

League phaseeliminated in the league phase 65.1% +3.6 pp
Knockout play-offeliminated in the play-off 25.0% −2.0 pp
Round of 16eliminated 8.7% −1.2 pp
Quarter-finaleliminated 1.1% −0.3 pp
Semi-finaleliminated 0.1% −0.1 pp
Finalrunner-up <0.1% 0.0 pp
Championwins the competition <0.1% 0.0 pp

Most likely end point: League phase.

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons, updated after Matchday 1changes compared with the pre-season forecastmodel outputs, not odds