Bodø/Glimt
Fixtures, model forecasts and tournament paths in one place.
OFFICIAL results as of 22 Oct 2026, 05:02 UTCSIMULATION updated after Matchday 3
Season outlook
SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons- Expected points
- 9.1
- Expected league position
- 23.8
- Top 8 (direct to round of 16)
- 1.2%
- Top 24 (reaches the knockouts)
- 50.6%
Competition state
- DERIVEDLeague phase
- 54 of 144 fixtures completed · next up: Matchday 4
- OFFICIALThis club
- 3 of 8 played · 1 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost
- OFFICIALLast result
- MD3 · Napoli 4–3 Bodø/Glimt · Lost
- Next fixture
- MD4 · Tue, 3 Nov 2026 · 21:00 CET · Bodø/Glimt v Lille
Model inputs
MODEL INPUTwhat the match model is given- Strength rating
- 76.2 / 100
- BapLab’s rating of the club’s current sporting strength, not an official UEFA ranking. The gap between two clubs’ ratings drives the expected goals in their match.
- European pedigree
- 2.5 / 5
- European history and experience. It nudges effective strength up above 3 and down below 3, a small adjustment next to the rating.
- Home advantage
- +0.33
- Extra expected goal difference in the club’s favour in its home matches.
League-phase fixtures
8 matches · kickoff in Central European time-
MODELPre-match forecastArchive time unavailable
- Home win
- 86.8%
- Draw
- 9.7%
- Away win
- 3.5%
xG 2.93 – 0.46
-
MODELPre-match forecastArchived 13 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC
- Home win
- 26.5%
- Draw
- 24.1%
- Away win
- 49.5%
xG 1.17 – 1.69
-
MODELPre-match forecastArchived 20 Oct 2026, 12:32 UTC
- Home win
- 62.0%
- Draw
- 21.7%
- Away win
- 16.3%
xG 1.90 – 0.86
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 42.1%
- Draw
- 25.7%
- Away win
- 32.2%
xG 1.46 – 1.24
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 58.2%
- Draw
- 22.9%
- Away win
- 18.9%
xG 1.81 – 0.92
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 54.0%
- Draw
- 24.0%
- Away win
- 22.1%
xG 1.70 – 1.00
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 22.9%
- Draw
- 22.9%
- Away win
- 54.1%
xG 1.11 – 1.82
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 56.4%
- Draw
- 23.4%
- Away win
- 20.2%
xG 1.76 – 0.95
Home side first. A current forecast can change before kickoff; a completed match keeps its archived pre-match forecast and is never recalculated.
League-phase expectation
SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons- Expected points after 8 matches
- 9.14
- +1.14 vs pre-season
- Expected league position 1 is best
- 23.81
- −1.90 vs pre-season
How far the club gets
reaches at least this stage- Top 8direct to the round of 16 1.2% −0.6 pp
- Top 24reaches the knockout phase 50.6% +12.1 pp
- Round of 16 14.9% +3.3 pp
- Quarter-final 1.7% +0.1 pp
- Semi-final 0.2% 0.0 pp
- Final <0.1% 0.0 pp
- Champion <0.1% 0.0 pp
Where the season ends
final outcome · sums to 100.0%- League phaseeliminated in the league phase 49.4% −12.1 pp
- Knockout play-offeliminated in the play-off 35.7% +8.8 pp
- Round of 16eliminated 13.2% +3.3 pp
- Quarter-finaleliminated 1.5% +0.1 pp
- Semi-finaleliminated 0.2% 0.0 pp
- Finalrunner-up <0.1% 0.0 pp
- Championwins the competition <0.1% 0.0 pp
Most likely end point: League phase.
SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons, updated after Matchday 3changes compared with the pre-season forecast, which also include the rating revision of 22 October 2026model outputs, not odds