BapLab

LASK

ActiveAUTPot 4UEFA Champions League 2026-27League phase

Fixtures, model forecasts and tournament paths in one place.

OFFICIAL results as of 11 Sept 2026, 16:31 UTCSIMULATION updated after Matchday 1

Season outlook

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons
Expected points
5.7
Expected league position
30.0
Top 8 (direct to round of 16)
0.1%
Top 24 (reaches the knockouts)
15.2%

Competition state

DERIVEDLeague phase
18 of 144 fixtures completed · next up: Matchday 2
OFFICIALThis club
1 of 8 played · 0 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost
OFFICIALLast result
MD1 · AEK Athens 1–0 LASK · Lost
Next fixture
MD2 · Wed, 14 Oct 2026 · 18:45 CEST · LASK v Liverpool

Model inputs

MODEL INPUTwhat the match model is given
Strength rating
70 / 100
BapLab’s rating of the club’s current sporting strength, not an official UEFA ranking. The gap between two clubs’ ratings drives the expected goals in their match.
European pedigree
2.0 / 5
European history and experience. It nudges effective strength up above 3 and down below 3, a small adjustment next to the rating.
Home advantage
+0.28
Extra expected goal difference in the club’s favour in its home matches.

League-phase fixtures

8 matches · kickoff in Central European time

  • MD1Tue, 8 Sept 2026 · 18:45 CEST · Away

    AEK Athens 1–0 LASK

    OFFICIALFull time · Lost

    MODELPre-match forecastArchive time unavailable

    Home win
    57.3%
    Draw
    23.2%
    Away win
    19.5%

    xG 1.78 – 0.94

  • MD2Wed, 14 Oct 2026 · 18:45 CEST · Home

    LASK v Liverpool

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    12.4%
    Draw
    17.3%
    Away win
    70.3%

    xG 0.89 – 2.37

  • MD3Wed, 21 Oct 2026 · 21:00 CEST · Away

    Sporting CP v LASK

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    75.9%
    Draw
    15.8%
    Away win
    8.2%

    xG 2.36 – 0.64

  • MD4Tue, 3 Nov 2026 · 21:00 CET · Home

    LASK v Slovan Bratislava

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    49.4%
    Draw
    24.9%
    Away win
    25.7%

    xG 1.60 – 1.09

  • MD5Tue, 24 Nov 2026 · 18:45 CET · Away

    Bodø/Glimt v LASK

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    58.8%
    Draw
    22.7%
    Away win
    18.5%

    xG 1.82 – 0.91

  • MD6Wed, 9 Dec 2026 · 21:00 CET · Home

    LASK v Fenerbahçe

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    31.6%
    Draw
    25.3%
    Away win
    43.1%

    xG 1.25 – 1.51

  • MD7Tue, 19 Jan 2027 · 21:00 CET · Away

    Real Madrid v LASK

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    89.8%
    Draw
    7.7%
    Away win
    2.5%

    xG 3.19 – 0.41

  • MD8Wed, 27 Jan 2027 · 21:00 CET · Home

    LASK v Porto

    Scheduled

    MODELCurrent forecast

    Home win
    23.4%
    Draw
    23.3%
    Away win
    53.3%

    xG 1.10 – 1.78

Home side first. A current forecast can change before kickoff; a completed match keeps its archived pre-match forecast and is never recalculated.

League-phase expectation

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons
Expected points after 8 matches
5.75
−0.82 vs pre-season
Expected league position 1 is best
30.05
+1.22 vs pre-season

How far the club gets

reaches at least this stage
  • Top 8direct to the round of 16 0.1% −0.4 pp
  • Top 24reaches the knockout phase 15.2% −6.7 pp
  • Round of 16 2.2% −1.3 pp
  • Quarter-final 0.1% −0.1 pp
  • Semi-final <0.1% 0.0 pp
  • Final <0.1% 0.0 pp
  • Champion <0.1% 0.0 pp

Where the season ends

final outcome · sums to 100.0%
  • League phaseeliminated in the league phase 84.8% +6.7 pp
  • Knockout play-offeliminated in the play-off 12.9% −5.4 pp
  • Round of 16eliminated 2.1% −1.2 pp
  • Quarter-finaleliminated 0.1% −0.1 pp
  • Semi-finaleliminated <0.1% 0.0 pp
  • Finalrunner-up <0.1% 0.0 pp
  • Championwins the competition <0.1% 0.0 pp

Most likely end point: League phase.

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons, updated after Matchday 1changes compared with the pre-season forecastmodel outputs, not odds