Stuttgart

ActiveGERPot 4UEFA Champions League 2026-27League phase

Fixtures, model forecasts and tournament paths in one place.

Club

OFFICIAL results as of 22 Oct 2026, 05:02 UTCSIMULATION updated after Matchday 3

Season outlook

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons

Expected points: 13.6
Expected league position: 12.7
Top 8 (direct to round of 16): 26.2%
Top 24 (reaches the knockouts): 96.5%

Competition state

DERIVEDLeague phase: 54 of 144 fixtures completed · next up: Matchday 4
OFFICIALThis club: 3 of 8 played · 2 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost
OFFICIALLast result: MD3 · Stuttgart 1–1 Atlético Madrid · Drew
Next fixture: MD4 · Tue, 3 Nov 2026 · 18:45 CET · Galatasaray v Stuttgart

Model inputs

MODEL INPUTwhat the match model is given

Strength rating: 83.0 / 100; BapLab’s rating of the club’s current sporting strength, not an official UEFA ranking. The gap between two clubs’ ratings drives the expected goals in their match.
European pedigree: 3.0 / 5; European history and experience. It nudges effective strength up above 3 and down below 3, a small adjustment next to the rating.
Home advantage: +0.30; Extra expected goal difference in the club’s favour in its home matches.

League-phase fixtures

8 matches · kickoff in Central European time

MD1Wed, 9 Sept 2026 · 18:45 CEST · Home

Stuttgart 3–1 Viking

OFFICIALFull time · Won

MODELPre-match forecastArchive time unavailable

Home win
70.5%
Draw
18.4%
Away win
11.1%

xG 2.16 – 0.72
MD2Wed, 14 Oct 2026 · 21:00 CEST · Away

Slovan Bratislava 0–3 Stuttgart

OFFICIALFull time · Won

MODELPre-match forecastArchived 13 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC

Home win
23.0%
Draw
23.1%
Away win
53.9%

xG 1.10 – 1.80
MD3Tue, 20 Oct 2026 · 21:00 CEST · Home

Stuttgart 1–1 Atlético Madrid

OFFICIALFull time · Drew

MODELPre-match forecastArchived 20 Oct 2026, 12:32 UTC

Home win
30.8%
Draw
25.1%
Away win
44.1%

xG 1.24 – 1.54
MD4Tue, 3 Nov 2026 · 18:45 CET · Away

Galatasaray v Stuttgart

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
46.8%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
27.9%

xG 1.55 – 1.14
MD5Wed, 25 Nov 2026 · 21:00 CET · Away

Inter v Stuttgart

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
59.2%
Draw
22.6%
Away win
18.3%

xG 1.83 – 0.91
MD6Wed, 9 Dec 2026 · 21:00 CET · Home

Stuttgart v Lille

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
53.8%
Draw
24.0%
Away win
22.2%

xG 1.70 – 1.00
MD7Tue, 19 Jan 2027 · 21:00 CET · Home

Stuttgart v Club Brugge

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
49.9%
Draw
24.8%
Away win
25.3%

xG 1.61 – 1.08
MD8Wed, 27 Jan 2027 · 21:00 CET · Away

PSV v Stuttgart

Scheduled

MODELCurrent forecast

Home win
45.9%
Draw
25.4%
Away win
28.8%

xG 1.53 – 1.16

Home side first. A current forecast can change before kickoff; a completed match keeps its archived pre-match forecast and is never recalculated.

League-phase expectation

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons

Expected points after 8 matches: 13.58; +2.04 vs pre-season
Expected league position 1 is best: 12.66; −4.75 vs pre-season

How far the club gets

reaches at least this stage

Top 8direct to the round of 16 26.2% +11.1 pp
Top 24reaches the knockout phase 96.5% +17.9 pp
Round of 16 61.6% +18.8 pp
Quarter-final 17.6% +6.2 pp
Semi-final 3.7% +1.3 pp
Final 0.7% +0.3 pp
Champion 0.2% +0.1 pp

Where the season ends

final outcome · sums to 100.0%

League phaseeliminated in the league phase 3.5% −17.9 pp
Knockout play-offeliminated in the play-off 34.9% −0.9 pp
Round of 16eliminated 44.0% +12.6 pp
Quarter-finaleliminated 13.9% +4.9 pp
Semi-finaleliminated 3.0% +1.0 pp
Finalrunner-up 0.5% +0.2 pp
Championwins the competition 0.2% +0.1 pp

Most likely end point: Round of 16.

SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons, updated after Matchday 3changes compared with the pre-season forecast, which also include the rating revision of 22 October 2026model outputs, not odds