Stuttgart
Fixtures, model forecasts and tournament paths in one place.
OFFICIAL results as of 11 Sept 2026, 16:31 UTCSIMULATION updated after Matchday 1
Season outlook
SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons- Expected points
- 12.3
- Expected league position
- 15.9
- Top 8 (direct to round of 16)
- 16.6%
- Top 24 (reaches the knockouts)
- 86.1%
Competition state
- DERIVEDLeague phase
- 18 of 144 fixtures completed · next up: Matchday 2
- OFFICIALThis club
- 1 of 8 played · 1 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost
- OFFICIALLast result
- MD1 · Stuttgart 3–1 Viking · Won
- Next fixture
- MD2 · Wed, 14 Oct 2026 · 21:00 CEST · Slovan Bratislava v Stuttgart
Model inputs
MODEL INPUTwhat the match model is given- Strength rating
- 82 / 100
- BapLab’s rating of the club’s current sporting strength, not an official UEFA ranking. The gap between two clubs’ ratings drives the expected goals in their match.
- European pedigree
- 3.0 / 5
- European history and experience. It nudges effective strength up above 3 and down below 3, a small adjustment next to the rating.
- Home advantage
- +0.30
- Extra expected goal difference in the club’s favour in its home matches.
League-phase fixtures
8 matches · kickoff in Central European time-
MODELPre-match forecastArchive time unavailable
- Home win
- 70.5%
- Draw
- 18.4%
- Away win
- 11.1%
xG 2.16 – 0.72
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 23.0%
- Draw
- 23.1%
- Away win
- 53.9%
xG 1.10 – 1.80
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 30.8%
- Draw
- 25.1%
- Away win
- 44.1%
xG 1.24 – 1.54
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 49.0%
- Draw
- 24.9%
- Away win
- 26.0%
xG 1.60 – 1.09
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 63.2%
- Draw
- 21.3%
- Away win
- 15.5%
xG 1.94 – 0.84
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 48.4%
- Draw
- 25.0%
- Away win
- 26.5%
xG 1.58 – 1.11
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 50.0%
- Draw
- 24.8%
- Away win
- 25.2%
xG 1.62 – 1.07
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 47.7%
- Draw
- 25.1%
- Away win
- 27.2%
xG 1.57 – 1.12
Home side first. A current forecast can change before kickoff; a completed match keeps its archived pre-match forecast and is never recalculated.
League-phase expectation
SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons- Expected points after 8 matches
- 12.27
- +0.73 vs pre-season
- Expected league position 1 is best
- 15.92
- −1.49 vs pre-season
How far the club gets
reaches at least this stage- Top 8direct to the round of 16 16.6% +1.6 pp
- Top 24reaches the knockout phase 86.1% +7.5 pp
- Round of 16 48.4% +5.6 pp
- Quarter-final 12.2% +0.9 pp
- Semi-final 2.5% +0.1 pp
- Final 0.4% 0.0 pp
- Champion <0.1% 0.0 pp
Where the season ends
final outcome · sums to 100.0%- League phaseeliminated in the league phase 14.0% −7.5 pp
- Knockout play-offeliminated in the play-off 37.7% +1.9 pp
- Round of 16eliminated 36.1% +4.7 pp
- Quarter-finaleliminated 9.8% +0.9 pp
- Semi-finaleliminated 2.0% 0.0 pp
- Finalrunner-up 0.3% 0.0 pp
- Championwins the competition <0.1% 0.0 pp
Most likely end point: Knockout play-off.
SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons, updated after Matchday 1changes compared with the pre-season forecastmodel outputs, not odds