Galatasaray
Fixtures, model forecasts and tournament paths in one place.
OFFICIAL results as of 11 Sept 2026, 16:31 UTCSIMULATION updated after Matchday 1
Season outlook
SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons- Expected points
- 8.8
- Expected league position
- 23.6
- Top 8 (direct to round of 16)
- 2.3%
- Top 24 (reaches the knockouts)
- 51.2%
Competition state
- DERIVEDLeague phase
- 18 of 144 fixtures completed · next up: Matchday 2
- OFFICIALThis club
- 1 of 8 played · 0 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost
- OFFICIALLast result
- MD1 · Sporting CP 3–1 Galatasaray · Lost
- Next fixture
- MD2 · Tue, 13 Oct 2026 · 21:00 CEST · Galatasaray v Barcelona
Model inputs
MODEL INPUTwhat the match model is given- Strength rating
- 82 / 100
- BapLab’s rating of the club’s current sporting strength, not an official UEFA ranking. The gap between two clubs’ ratings drives the expected goals in their match.
- European pedigree
- 4.0 / 5
- European history and experience. It nudges effective strength up above 3 and down below 3, a small adjustment next to the rating.
- Home advantage
- +0.36
- Extra expected goal difference in the club’s favour in its home matches.
League-phase fixtures
8 matches · kickoff in Central European time-
MODELPre-match forecastArchive time unavailable
- Home win
- 54.5%
- Draw
- 23.8%
- Away win
- 21.6%
xG 1.72 – 0.99
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 20.2%
- Draw
- 21.7%
- Away win
- 58.0%
xG 1.06 – 1.95
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 43.4%
- Draw
- 25.6%
- Away win
- 31.0%
xG 1.48 – 1.21
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 49.0%
- Draw
- 24.9%
- Away win
- 26.0%
xG 1.60 – 1.09
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 35.9%
- Draw
- 25.6%
- Away win
- 38.5%
xG 1.34 – 1.40
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 34.8%
- Draw
- 25.5%
- Away win
- 39.6%
xG 1.32 – 1.43
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 57.7%
- Draw
- 23.1%
- Away win
- 19.2%
xG 1.79 – 0.93
-
MODELCurrent forecast
- Home win
- 77.6%
- Draw
- 14.9%
- Away win
- 7.5%
xG 2.45 – 0.62
Home side first. A current forecast can change before kickoff; a completed match keeps its archived pre-match forecast and is never recalculated.
League-phase expectation
SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons- Expected points after 8 matches
- 8.83
- −0.89 vs pre-season
- Expected league position 1 is best
- 23.62
- +1.91 vs pre-season
How far the club gets
reaches at least this stage- Top 8direct to the round of 16 2.3% −3.8 pp
- Top 24reaches the knockout phase 51.2% −8.6 pp
- Round of 16 23.3% −6.3 pp
- Quarter-final 5.4% −2.3 pp
- Semi-final 1.2% −0.5 pp
- Final 0.2% −0.1 pp
- Champion <0.1% 0.0 pp
Where the season ends
final outcome · sums to 100.0%- League phaseeliminated in the league phase 48.8% +8.6 pp
- Knockout play-offeliminated in the play-off 27.9% −2.3 pp
- Round of 16eliminated 17.9% −4.0 pp
- Quarter-finaleliminated 4.2% −1.8 pp
- Semi-finaleliminated 1.0% −0.4 pp
- Finalrunner-up 0.2% −0.1 pp
- Championwins the competition <0.1% 0.0 pp
Most likely end point: League phase.
SIMULATION100,000 simulated seasons, updated after Matchday 1changes compared with the pre-season forecastmodel outputs, not odds